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emckay

406 karma · joined December 11, 2015

DM me on twitter: @eric__mckay
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emckay··on Public Montessori programs strengthen learning outcomes at lower costs: study
Low participation rate shouldn't matter too much for an RCT right? Just makes the sample smaller so finding statistically significant results is harder.

Different levels of Montessori authenticity make the results even more impressive. They do have some inclusion criteria, like 2/3 of the teachers must be AMI/AMS certified but even so I'd expect a lot of these public school montessori programs to be less "true montessori" than what you'd get at a fully certified AMI/AMS school.

emckay··on Children aged 2-6 successfully trained to acquire absolute pitch (2012)
I couldn't find any apps that use this method to try it with my 3 y/o, so I started working on my own here: https://eguchi.app .

I'd love feedback if anyone is interested in trying it!

emckay··on Morons Funding the Fight Against Morons
Another similar idea is mission hedging.

If there is a company that you believe is causing some harm, you can buy shares of that company and donate any proceeds to a charity that cancels out that harm.

For example, if you are worried about climate change, you can buy shares of an oil company and pledge to donate the proceeds to an organization lobbying for a carbon tax.

If the oil company does well, the carbon tax lobby will need more financing, which you'll be in a position to provide as a shareholder of the oil company.

This idea was developed by economist Brigitte Roth Tran: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2017042pap... .

Hauke Hillebrandt also has a great write up: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iZp7TtZdFyW8eT5dA/...

emckay··on Fossil fuel divestment has ‘zero’ climate impact, says Bill Gates
Exactly! Thanks for the kind words.
emckay··on Fossil fuel divestment has ‘zero’ climate impact, says Bill Gates
Awesome projects! I'd love to hear your thoughts. I'll shoot you an email tomorrow.
emckay··on Fossil fuel divestment has ‘zero’ climate impact, says Bill Gates
Here are the promised citations:

1. $10 trillion divested: https://gofossilfree.org/divestment/commitments/

2. Chevron's shareholder proposal: https://www.asyousow.org/resolutions/2017/12/31/chevron-corp...

3. Chevron makes up about 1% of the S&P 500. 1% * 10% * $10 trillion = $100 million = 78 million shares of CVX at price during 2018 shareholder meeting

4. If 78 million shares voted YES on proposal instead of NO, vote would have passed with 52% in favor (as opposed to 54% in original post)

---

Also, for those interested in other arguments against divestment:

1. Economics Nobel Laureate Oliver Hart wrote a paper calling on companies to maximize shareholder "welfare" (including environmental concerns) not just financial value. In this paper he explicitly calls for a fund that uses engagement rather than divestment. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3004794

2. Luigi Zingales (co-author of above paper) calls on UChicago graduates not to divest, but to engage in his 2019 convocation address: https://promarket.org/dear-graduates-heres-what-you-can-do-t...

3. In the New Yorker, philosopher William MacAskill goes into more detail than Bill Gates on why divestment is ineffective: https://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/does-divestment-...

emckay··on Fossil fuel divestment has ‘zero’ climate impact, says Bill Gates
Resolutions like this one are non-binding. The real power held by shareholders is to fire directors, so if a company's board doesn't comply with the shareholder resolution the shareholders can vote against the directors at the next annual meeting.

In practice, companies "mostly meet" or "completely met" their commitments in response to shareholder engagement 89% of the time according to a 2015 report by Ceres [0].

[0] https://www.ceres.org/sites/default/files/reports/2017-03/Ce...

emckay··on Fossil fuel divestment has ‘zero’ climate impact, says Bill Gates
We're creating an S&P 500 index fund that aggressively uses shareholder engagement to get companies to reduce emissions through their supply chains.
emckay··on Fossil fuel divestment has ‘zero’ climate impact, says Bill Gates
Divestment also results in less shareholder oversight of emission heavy companies because environmentally conscious investors are selling their shares to investors with less scruples.

This isn't just theoretical.

According to Fossil Free, asset managers with about 10 trillion under management have committed to divesting.

If you assume 10% of that is tracking something like the S&P 500, then these investors have sold about 80 million shares of Chevron.

In 2018, shareholders introduced a proposal asking Chevron to limit its methane emissions. That proposal failed with 46% of the vote.

80 million shares would have been enough to swing the vote to 54% in favor.

I quit my job a couple of months ago to fix this problem. You can learn more at greengovernance.org or by emailing me at (hn username)@greengovernance.org

(typed this from my phone on a plane but I will add citations later when I get to my computer)

emckay··on Fighting climate change may be cheaper and more beneficial than we think
Really sorry about that :(

I'm using TinyLetter by MailChimp, and I don't have any control over that page. I'll look into other providers in the future.

emckay··on Fighting climate change may be cheaper and more beneficial than we think
This is a big part of the problem, but there is some hope!

Shareholders of the big oil and gas companies have started to recognize the long-term threat of climate change. There were 87[0] shareholder proposals last year that asked firms to adopt emission reduction targets, disclose lobbying expenses, or take other action that would result in lower emissions.

Most of these failed, largely because the big institutional investors voted against them.

Shameless plug: I'm trying to solve this problem by creating a governance-first index fund [1].

[0] https://voting.greengovernance.org [1] https://greengovernance.org

emckay··on Ask HN: What are you working on?
You can sign up for our email newsletter at https://tinyletter.com/GreenGovernance or follow on Twitter https://twitter.com/GreenGovernance
emckay··on Ask HN: What are you working on?
Thanks! Those are all interesting questions -- and also quite hard to answer without a lot of research into each individual company.

One thing my fund will push for is more consistent and granular emissions disclosures across firms so that shareholders have a better idea of where firms are "spending" their emissions and identify inefficiencies.

emckay··on Ask HN: What are you working on?
I quit my job last month to work full time on (what I think is) an under-explored area of climate change: how institutional investors block shareholder proposals calling for firms to adopt more climate-friendly policies. I have just published the first bit of research with data on how 500+ funds from the big 3 fund managers voted on climate change-related proposals in 2018: https://voting.greengovernance.org .

Later this year, I'm planning to launch a "governance-first" ETF that gives investors the same exposure as other funds but is much more aggressive in fighting climate change.

I'd love any feedback! Feel free to email me at <hn-username>@greengovernance.org

emckay··on Ask HN: Who Here Is Working to Fix the Environment?
I quit my job last month to work full time on (what I think is) an under-explored area of climate change: how institutional investors block shareholder proposals calling for firms to adopt more climate-friendly policies.

I have just published the first bit of research with data on how 500+ funds from the big 3 fund managers voted on climate change-related proposals in 2018: https://voting.greengovernance.org . Later this year, I'm planning to launch a "governance-first" ETF that gives investors the same exposure as other funds but is much more aggressive in fighting climate change.

I'd love any feedback! Feel free to email me at <hn-username>@greengovernance.org

emckay··on Show HN: Does your index fund flight climate change?
Creator here. Please let me know if you have any questions! This was a lot of fun to build.

I scraped SEC filings to track how 500+ mutual funds voted on proposals related to climate change. The raw data is 376mb, which I parse and filter down to 2.5mb of JSON files. Gatsby creates a GraphQL interface with that data, and I query that to create 1600+ pages of static content. The build is pretty fast: 40s locally, 90s on Netlify's free-tier build server. I'd definitely recommend Gatsby and Netlify for anyone considering a similar project!

emckay··on Half of US stock fund assets are now invested in index funds
I quit my job a couple weeks ago to start a company that does exactly this. If anyone is interested in learning more, feel free to reach out at [hn-username]@greengovernance.org.