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elp

405 karma · joined March 8, 2016

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elp··on How, Exactly, Could A.I. Kill Us?
And how exactly would it do that? This isn't a bad sci-fi movie. I'm guessing anything dangerous is kept in a sealed container under lock and key, not in a fancy plot device that allows the AI to vent it.
elp··on How, Exactly, Could A.I. Kill Us?
And other experts with experience in both LLMs and virus's have pointed out that is complete nonsense. There is no lab that could somehow achieve that without human assistance. To built it which cost enormous sums of money and require technology that doesn't actually exist yet.

And if AI can somehow manage to achieve that then surely it could also cure cancer, or any of a thousand other dread diseases or conditions. If that's true then not using AI to cure those things would in itself be unethical.

An AI that can hack other computers can also be used to find security hole in systems so that they can be patched long before some evil hacker(tm) tries to exploit them.

I'm still waiting to see a real explanation of how AI will somehow cause genuine wide spread death and destruction. Even harder if that is somehow possible why another AI system couldn't help prevent it in the first place.

elp··on Ask HN: Why the sudden "AI Regulation" posts?
There is some serious lobbying going on. My favorite one from this morning was this nonsense: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/09/14/an-ai-dea...

I think that OpenAI and Anthropic have over extended themselves. It's not that their products aren't good and won't bring in lots of money.

The bucket loads of cash coming in is still tiny compared to the hundreds billions of dollars invested. Then hardware keeps getting more expensive so trying to grow capacity is hard while open weight models like Qwen are excellent putting a limit on how much they can put prices up before consumers switch.

Regulatory capture to prevent or slow down competition is the only thing they have left without there being an existential crisis for them( rather than human kind).

elp··on 216M Spy TVs – The LG Smart TV Problem [video]
A cheap 4k generic android media box is less than $70 on Amazon. There are dozens of them. I use one because half the apps on my old smart TV don't work anymore. The android ones are always up to date and the UX is better.

Is there any TV on the market that flat out wont work if it can't see the internet?

elp··on Be skeptical of OpenAI's rogue hacker agent story
I love the Economist but the are hopeless with AI. Most of their articles on subject sound like they were written by the Anthropic marketing department.

Their Insider video interview things are sponsored by Anthropic. Supposedly "Insider is a product of The Economist and thus editorially independent" but it's hard not to raise an eyebrow.

elp··on Ask HN: If OpenAI hacked HuggingFace, why aren't OpenAI prosecuted?
They aren't getting prosecuted because everyone involved has made nice and turned it into a marketing exercise.

I heard about it on the radio (local Johannesburg radio station) before I saw it on HN. The economist had a full article up about it before the end of the day, and in the evening Sky news had talking heads up chatting about what it all meant while clearly being clueless.

Someone spent a LOT of money to turn this into a PR exercise for both companies. We'll never hear the entire story about what happened but I'm sure there was a lot of handshaking going on behind the scenes.

elp··on The great AI data centre cover-up
https://archive.is/m9ulx
elp··on Global review confirms mRNA vaccines are safe, effective and full of promise 
For comparison the death rate from the vaccine is around 0.0001%.

Yes they didn't want the hospitals to get full. That's when the younger healthy people who would have recovered can't get the medical care they need to survive.

You had to have spent covid in a pretty sad friendless hole not to know friends or family who ended up in hospital during the peaks.

elp··on The SpaceX IPO will be the theft of the century
I'm willing to bet that most funds will just change their reconstitution process to give themselves a much longer period to add new IPO stocks to their portfolios and end up avoiding most of the drama.

On the other hand if they don't I'm making popcorn because the lawsuits and political fallout if / when this goes wrong is going to be epic.

elp··on The SpaceX IPO Will Be the Theft of the Century
Elon Derangement Syndrome I presume.

Some of the pessimists are absolutely perma-bears who hate any thing to do with Elon to the point of madness, but still doesn't change the fact that this IPO makes no financial sense no matter how reasonably you try to look at it.

I listened to all 3 hours of the Dwarkesh interview with Elon. I would really really love to see mass drivers on the moon, but all the facts were obviously made up on the spot. This wasn't just the usual Elon exaggerating. It was pure fantasy stuff. All the hard engineering questions were just being hand-waved away along with reasons of why the data centers couldn't be here on earth.

Combine that with the fact that Elon will retain complete control of SpaceX. Yeah no. I wouldn't be crazy enough to short the stock but I really don't want any of my money in it either.

elp··on Musk vs. OpenAI Verdict: Musk Lost
It's been fascinating comparing different news sources reporting on this.

If you listened to some of the more X/ Musk friendly new sources this was going to be a slam-dunk and Musk would win. Some of the more left leaning press had the slam-dunk going the other way

Meanwhile the jury took less than 2 hours to throw it out for being filed to late. But I guess that doesn't make news.

I presume this is going to go to appeal.

elp··on Show HN: Running the second public ODoH relay
My, admittedly cynical, view of it is that the main selling point is that you share your data with the person running the ODoH server.

The truth is that very very few people run their own recursive nameserver. The entirely reasonable assumption for any authoritative nameserver, like .com, is that the query is being asked on behalf of someone else and knowing that a user of your nameserver asked for the ip of sexysheep.com doesn't give them a lot of useful info.

I'm think many ISPs actually sell a lot of data from their recursive nameservers, but I'm willing to bet that almost no-one bothers to sniff port 53 udp traffic going elsewhere.

My vote for the best privacy option is always going to be just run pi-hole with your own recursive nameservers.

elp··on How to build a lunar mass driver – Casey Handmer's blog
I listened to Elon's interview on I think it was Dwarkesh (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BYXbuik3dgA) and it was way past just talking up his book for the IPO.

I so wanted it to be true but all his claims, including this mass driver, had numbers that were so outrageous that it was obvious he was just making it up as he went along. All the hard engineering issues were just hand-waved away and all the trivial issues with doing things back down on earth instead were magically insurmountable. This is a modern "Selling swampland in Florida" scam.

elp··on DNSSEC disruption affecting .de domains – Resolved
That only worked because the attacker didn't understand dnssec. If they had unsigned the domain first and then hijacked it they would have succeeded.

I haven't been able to find any cases of genuine dns hijack attacks in the last few years. Would love to know if anyone else can?

Only about 40% of the crypto companies seem to use dnssec. Seems like a target rich environment.

elp··on OpenClaw surpasses React to become the most-starred software project on GitHub
Most of those stars were on the first weekend. It's impossible to get that many stars that quickly in any remotely organic way.
elp··on CEOs Say AI Is Making Work More Efficient. Employees Tell a Different Story
I think the real issue is that its still in its painful growth stage and we have a way to go until we will start to understand better where its good and where its a disaster.

I have a co-worker who is really good at herding agents. I've seen him do work in an afternoon what would take more than two weeks without AI, but some of his other work ends up being so bad the rest of us want to string him up by his thumbs.

Its impossible to tell from just looking before hand what the result will be.

elp··on CEOs Say AI Is Making Work More Efficient. Employees Tell a Different Story
https://archive.is/PZ2Kv
elp··on Fast Is a Moat
What's old is new again. I remember getting taught this in business school back in the early 2000s.

It's also counter intuitive but it can dramatically keep your costs down as well. If costs are based on the time spent then the lower the time the lower the costs.

elp··on GitOps Considered Harmful for MVP
We use it heavily in our Kubernetes environment. Everything beyond the basic install goes into a repository. As soon as someone commits a change, ArgoCD running on the cluster picks it up and rolls it out automatically.

For version 1/MVP work, you absolutely shouldn’t bother with this. It’s a complete waste of resources when you should be focusing on growth or launching the product. Compared to doing it by hand, it’s slower, clumsier, and just another layer of complexity your team has to deal with.

On the other hand, for long-running, stable systems, it’s awesome! We know exactly who rolled out a change and when. From the commit messages, we know why the change happened—even years later. We also make a point of adding Jira (Hawk Tuah) ticket numbers so we can track the details more easily. And if something goes wrong, it’s simple to roll back to an older version.

This approach is perfect for large, long-term maintenance systems—but poison for a brand-new project.

elp··on Alibaba's new AI chip: Key specifications comparable to H20
I'm sure there are LOTS of issues that need to be addressed, but the demand for the chips are so high that the incentives are overwhelmingly in favor of this continuing. If the reported margins on the Nvidia chips are as high as the claims make it out to be (73+% ??) this will easily find a world wide market.

It was also frustratingly predictable from the moment the US started trying to limit the sales of the chips. America has slowed the speed of Chinese AI development by a tiny number of years, if that, in return for losing total domination of the GPU market.

elp··on Florida to end all school vaccine requirements
The covid response was done poorly done in classic knee jerk style and a bunch of authoritarian aholes used it as chance to act like authoritarian aholes. Also yes once the virus evolved to Omicron to avoid the vaccine we probably didn't need all the boosters they tried to push.

But the medical community was acting with the best knowledge they had at the time as imperfect as it was. Tell me how did taking the vaccine harm any child? It wasn't painful. Immediate side effects were minimal to non-existent. Myocarditis and Carditis incidence was something like 65/million. Even then most of those recovered without any treatment. Median hospital stay for those that needed it was 2 nights and most recovered without permanent issues.

I think the final death toll from the vaccine was estimated at around 1/million. Meanwhile at the height of the delta strain the death toll for anyone infected was well over 1/100 ( more than 10% for the over 60s).

The fallout doesn't make rational sense.

elp··on SSL certificate requirements are becoming obnoxious
Unless I'm completely misunderstanding things Letsencrypt has been doing this since 2020 https://letsencrypt.org/2020/02/19/multi-perspective-validat...

I.e they check from multiple network locations in case an attacker has messed with network routing in some way. This is reasonable and imposes no extra load on the domain needing the certificate all the extra work falls on the CA, and if Letsencrypt can get this right there is no major reason why "Joe's garage certs" can't do the same thing.

This is outrage porn.

elp··on Owls in Towels
I know this is completely off-topic and I'm sure it has been posted before but looking at "Angry Burritos" is definitely the most relaxing thing I've done all day.
elp··on More women than expected are genetically men (2016)
The para-Olympics thrive with dramatically smaller numbers than trans women can manage. A 3rd category would do just fine.

The muscular changes that happen during puberty are permanent. No amount of testosterone suppression will change that. In how many sports do any trans-women end up on the podium vs their numbers in that sport?

The boundaries are really not that fuzzy at all.

elp··on Scientists may have found a way to eliminate chromosome linked to Down syndrome
I feel you.

I've got a 13 year old daughter with DS. We don't have 6 hours of screaming but she has definitely thrown her share of hissy fits. My personal favorite was driving into my son's snooty private boy's school while she was sitting in the back without a shirt on (She was 12 at the time).

Or the time she decided to sit down in the middle of a busy street while we were trying to cross it and we ended up dragging her across the road skinning her feet and almost getting hit by a truck.

Usually she is happy and has tons of personality but it really does make things harder at times.

I should probably add my that my usual comment when anyone asks is that having a kid with DS sucks but not as badly as a lot of other disabilities.

elp··on The Costs of Deploying Rust Microservices
Am I missing something? There's nothing specific to rust over anything else in the article and seems to be a mostly hand-wavy "How to use rust with Shuttle" article.
elp··on Where are the right-wing scientists? Everyone's on the left like me
https://archive.ph/r1lQd
elp··on Ask HN: Is HN slowly starting to experience enshitification?
That might be true but that doesn't mean we want to talk about it all day long every single day.

Obviously HN's moderation and flagging system is a long way from perfect, but in general it does work.

elp··on Whether having a baby ruins your life or not
Kids especially once the second one arrives kill your money, your sex life, your free time and they will probably destroy at least one item that has sentimental value to you.

Feel squeamish about bodily fluids? Don't worry the kids will cure you. Nothing like trying to do a Matrix style bullet time dodge when you are changing a nappy and the cold air makes your son let loose with a stream of pee.

And then they look at you and giggle and the world is perfect. Wouldn't change it for the word, but enjoy life first then have the kids. Its not worse just very very different and you can't go back.

elp··on Explosive sex toys and cosmetics: the story behind the DHL parcels plot
Between this story, the cable sabotage (https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-sabotage-undersea-cab...), the UK spy network (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqx0v599wqvo) and a bunch more this is clearly real.

Can someone explain what Russia gets out of this? I would have thought if anything it would be more likely to harden attitudes towards them.

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