ed_balls

yes, it seems they changed the strategy to Aleppo/Grozny

Depends on what you mean by experts. The strategist I know said this is a political decision. They don't want to inflict too much damage to avoid bloody insurrections in the future. Russian aircrafts are not that precise. What is more, UA army received manpads. It's not worth it.

> German multinationals (in the energy sector such as Siemens, Wintershall) have removed it from their strategies because Nuclear technologies inefficient and bear a lot of risks. New reactor types don't work as promised.

Do you mean NuScale or Hitachi BWRX-300?

Poland, Slovakia and Bulgaria will give them MiGs

I should say "use civilian drones NOW" not in 2006.

> Im surprised there hasn’t been more news of drone usage similar to the Armenian Azerbajian war.

There was but no idea if this is reliable footage. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWTk4tasLvE https://9gag.com/gag/a8173Le

UA forces have a very similar strategy. They are heavily decentralised. Which has a surprising side effect, apart from mentioned. Because enemy's command is decentralised it takes them up to 4 days to cease fire. It's better to start the negotiation sooner.

What is interesting about Hezbollah is that they use civilian drones. I haven't seen any reports of using civilians drones in this conflict. Army should buy thousands of civilian drones and just attached hand grenades. You can wreak a lot of chaos in the night. Antonov airport is a good target. Another idea is to use cars in self-driving capabilities as bombs.

But in todays world where your enemy has enormous intel, letting him know that there is a risk of guerrilla warfare may stop him from invading in the first place.

The stronger you stand on the escalation ladder the better.

The first casualty of War is Truth. It could be staged, he could be lying to be seem more sympathetic and avoid torture. The fog of war is there, but know almost nothing.

Depends on the costs. In my location is too expensive for a single house (it cost more that a heap pump with aircon and recuperation)

There is also risk for the future. What if there is some corruption and private entity would take over trying to squeeze money from the people cause it's a monopoly?

> tank crews and troops were told that they were doing an exercise and kept completely isolated

Most likely they are lying to look more sympathetic - there is a video of a Ukrainian soldier asking questions to a captured tank crew member. He said "We were told we are doing exercises". Ukrainian solder responded "I've hearing the same shit since 2014"

Connecting district heating is not a good investment anymore (unless it's a building with 20+ flats and you want to save space in the apartments)

Triple glazed windows, 25+cm insulation, heat pump + heat recuperation, solar panels and you have a passive home. No need for gas which is a fire hazard.

I'm afraid if Russia lose the war, Putin may not be available.

Dec-Feb is better cause the ground is frozen so the heavy machinery won't be stuck in mud. Currently is warm, Russian army has a problem and have to use roads for tanks, which means they are easer pickings.

nukes for sanctions and no software? What are they gonna do? Nuke Apple HQ?

Nukes are unusable, no one wants to be a king of a desert. Turkey killed Russian soldiers and downed their planes. No nuclear response QED.

Of corse they do. They do not operate in vacuum. If 10k Russian soldiers die and their mothers would go to street, what would Putin do? Beat them up? They may not have a man power to arrest all of them and place to put. This may cause some people in places like Dagestan to revolt. Workers in a tank factories could go to strike.

Putin and buddies to have to calculate that risk. It may cause a cease fire.

I suppose the easiest one would be to DDoS any website/service with ties to the Putin and band.

but people around him are not.

I hope it's abundantly clear to anyone that Putin and buddies cannot be trusted. Whenever some politician suggest any deals with them, shut him/her down.

because RFN has a nuclear umbrella from US. Hungary does not have one.

I should probably add "caused by a nuclear war between Russia and other country"

> they should have embraced reforms

They tried that in the 90s. There are two problems. They don't want to be a colony for Western powers. Russia is a collection of a few different nations. You have to hold it by a strong hand, otherwise you have a civil war e.g. Chechnya.

So they want to do it now on partner relations with Europe. Russia will provide, natural resources, transportation link to Asia, you can relocate polluting factories to Siberia, you get access to our market and labor. Also, you we will provide security and balance China. You don't need those pesky Americans. In return Russia wants, capital, tech and modernisation of the country.

So Europeans, do you want EU from Lisbon to Vladivostok or war?

trains and artic route.

Polish-Russian War (1605–1618) and Unity Day.

It was not accidental. A plane capable of caring nuclear bombs was in their airspace.

I'm not comparing anything - I was referring to "end of the world". According to Turkish strategist, nuclear weapon is not usable, so they have no problem to retaliate.

End of world is impossible.

> end of the world

They are all rational actors. Turks killed Russian solders in Syria, where they nuked? Putin is bluffing.

In case of aggression, you have to sand your ground, there is no other option.

They care deeply. China is >10x in pretty much everything. They don't to be a vassal state of China. Russia has lost the independence twice - threat from Asia and threat for united countries between Moscow and Berlin.

I'd speculate the whole action is to force the West to a new deal with Russia, so they can balance China.

If Putin will take over Ukraine and the army will be in next to Hungarian's border, who will invest in Hungary?

This is extremely short-sighted. I hope you will kick him out in a month.

but not in 10 years

> I watched Putin's speech

I've seen it as well. My guess is that Covid made a huge dent (Low gas prices and economic problems). Putin has to direct this anger somewhere.

This is the swan song of the Russian state. People living in the Soviet sphere see how other countries are developing. Ukraine had a higher GDP per capita than Poland - now it's 4x lower. It's true for every single place from Kaliningrad, Caucasus to Vladivostok. They are worse off than their neighbours for purely political reasons.

Only thing that holds everything together is the authoritarian regime with strong military and natural resources. The problem is the world will become less dependent on fossil fuels and mining in Siberia is more expensive than pretty much everywhere. Russia won't be able to pay for the army.

This is an existential threat to the Russian state. My prediction is that around 2030 there will a civil war, 2nd Chechnya.

heat pump and solar. cheaper and less risky.

Hn hug of death. Does anyone have a mirror?