500 karma · joined October 22, 2014
Java may not be sexy or purty, but it works and you can actually hire people to do it.
To produce a two ton truck, you need to use more than two tons of resource, that much is obvious. But how many resources go into the production of my copy of GTAV? Or my blue-ray of The Lord of the Rings? Or my viewing of a show on Netflix? The marginal resource usage is pretty much nil, just some electricity, paper of plastic. The resources expended in producing the work itself can be significant, but they are amortized among the many millions of copies.
Now obviously there are limits. Humans need physical stuff to survive, that's not going to change any time soon. There's a limit on the amount of actual stuff we can make. But there's no clear limit on the value of that stuff. We keep finding new ways to make little pieces of plastic or bunches of electrons in wires valuable all the time.
I'm not convinced that the sum total of all these benefits plus the current infrastructure that is needed to maintain, dispense and detect/punish abuse on them is significantly larger than the total expenditure on UBI.
Of course, all the people that you let go from the benefits departments initially will end up on UBI, so that's not really a big win. But eventually they will find employment elsewhere, hopefully.
In fact, most of the productivity increases are in industries where the value produced is not directly coupled to the resourced consumed. The software industry is a great example.
I've helped a few organisations solve this bootstrap problem by helping out with candidate selection and interviews, but many other just don't ask for help.
Seriously, I see an amazing amount of people that deploy basic vanilla decision trees (no boosting/bagging, no particular thought about features etc) without any real thought or reason. It has become one of my main "ML smells".
It's about as much work as writing the code in the first place, but it has saved me a lot of times when I or someone else had to go and work on it.
I think Blendle (or something like it) is a necessary step on the way to netflix-for-news, but I'm happy to wait this one out.
Their loss I suppose.
http://hamsterworks.co.nz/mediawiki/index.php/Mandelbrot_NG_...