1,250 karma · joined October 25, 2009
Interest is the ultimate rent seeking activity. The fed funds rate is a form of price fixing for banks whereby they collectively decide how much interest they can extract from the economy without killing it. Why must this be the case, the economy should be allowed to run much hotter for much longer.
Inflation is less of a risk now because of technology + globalization, right now we are experiencing significant deflationary pressure as products and labor converge towards global pricing/wages.
Our economy and government will be in very serious trouble if we have to pay higher interest on our significant national debt, so the government has a big interest (pun intended) in keeping rates low to protect its own financial solvency.
Finally, high interest rates imply money is scarce and that's far from the case now. Having large sums of money is not what it used to be, you're competing against a lot of other people and organizations seeking to deploy that money productively for a return. This generates downward pressure on market interest rates as evidenced by European Central banks going below zero to negative rates.
The whole concept of .223 is to put more propellent behind a smaller projectile. This gives the projectile more speed which makes it exceptionally lethal and accurate at very long distance. Unlike handguns that basically poke a hole, .223 generates a shockwave when it strikes at a multiple of the speed of sound.
In a word... price. Lyft's IPO will give public markets access to a rapidly growing industry at a lower valuation than Uber.
Post IPO I would guess being publicly traded would be an advantage for Lyft because they will have a broader base of stakeholders who benefit from their success.
https://cen.acs.org/articles/95/i35/Touching-thermal-paper-r...
FYI Short codes don't interchange well internationally. Also sending MMS has all kinds of challenges/limitations. If I can be helpful at all I'm... dave @ sendsmart.com.
Cheers
I'd also change your thinking/language from looking for an "idea" to looking for a problem. The distinction may seem slight but it is important + helpful. The idea is really the solution, which often isn't clear until after a lot of sustained thinking/experimenting around the problem.
I'd try to find problems that genuinely personally piss you off. Building a company always takes longer and is harder than anticipated... so you have to be completely committed.
Finally, sell it in person right away... like day 1. Go sell it to people you don't know for real money even if it's not ready yet. When you go around asking people for money you'll either get it or get a lot of really brutal feedback on why not. Either outcome is helpful at this stage.
Good luck!
Example. Joe Smith builds innovative software. He sells this to 10 local businesses for $5K/mo each. He is able to take care of his family, hire a couple folks and live the american dream... no VC required. Then someone goes to his website, signs up, studies what he's done and copies this innovative software and sells it for $2.5K/month profitably because they don't have to incur the R&D costs or the lifetime of work experience Joe needed to come up with his innovations. Joe is forced to cut prices dramatically or be out of business. Joe's default path now is he must grow to $200K/month at all costs... sell a portion of his business to VC, then try to grow it to millions a month. Then sell more to VC. Rinse, repeat. This is nuts. People should be able to have innovative businesses that aren't copied and don't have the aim of scaling to infinity to enrich VC's. This is important because unlike other businesses such as construction the marginal cost for providing software is so close to zero you can (and many companies do) round it down to zero.
I don't care if any of you agree with me. ...but ask yourself... is the tech landscape serving the guys in the garage right now? If not why not? I believe part of the reason is there is no strong protection for IP anymore. This case was an example of an egregious rip off and the offender was rightly penalized to the tune of $80m, then that penalty was upheld by an appeals court. I think that is a just outcome based on the limited info I have about it... and I am encouraged by the precedent. I hear many of you disagree, and you're certainly entitled to your opinion.
Time will tell, I view this in a hopeful way as a shift in direction.
I think companies that invest in innovative products big or small should be able to defend those innovations against being ripped off.
Yes, fights over this will be resource intensive but there are ways to fund expensive litigation if winning is plausible. And of course the expense of litigation touches on all kinds of unrelated problems.
"This also works to inhibit innovation, as companies can lock out competitors via legal machinations, as opposed to needing to innovate continuously."
You're flat out wrong here. Companies will need to create their own innovations rather than ripping off others. This will give power to the the people actually innovating and encourage companies to invest in their own R&D.
RE the 4th circuit, yes it's not the Supreme Court but it's a big decision in the right direction in my view... and suggests this and/or related issues may be heard by the supreme court.
Ultimately software is not the open source cooperative utopia that many people like you hoped for. It is a ruthless for profit marketplace, and if you ever want to give the guy in the garage a chance you have to give him a mechanism to protect his ideas... and the patent system is not that mechanism right now. Perhaps terms of use will be?
Maybe not, in any case the status quo is letting giant tech companies power and influence grow without limits... and that needs to change.
This decision should allow more competition from innovative newcomers and higher prices in software generally. Right now software is priced artificially low because very few vendors have any pricing power... because competitors can just rip off what they are doing. If that's not as easy companies with innovative ideas protected by strong ToS should be able to compete more aggressively and price their products much higher.
I believe you're going to see many companies put all their content behind an "agree" button.
This shift should also make acquisition prices go WAY up since companies will have to be priced more by the opportunity/IP rather than their replacement cost.
This is a big deal.
Related... it will be interesting to see how well autonomous cars handle mechanical failures as they (and their tires) age. Good drivers really distinguish themselves in the moments where the inputs and behaviors that are expected do not occur (ex: tire blow out).