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djannzjkzxn

489 karma · joined January 20, 2020

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djannzjkzxn··on Waymo raises first external investment round
Does everyone get that treatment? Seems like it would hurt recruitment of experienced engineers. I won’t work for mystery bucks when there are plenty of companies (including Google) that pay well with liquid stock.
djannzjkzxn··on Waymo raises first external investment round
Issuing debt doesn’t give up any of the upside like selling stock does. This is more like Apple selling off some portion of the iPhone business in exchange for cash. I think most people would interpret that as bad news for iPhones.
djannzjkzxn··on StrongTowns: Market Correction Time
Is it just me or is there a very basic math error here? The chart compares the sum of deficits (aka the increase in cumulative debt) over several years to the increase in GDP. But GDP is an annual measure. You can’t say that the debt is directly paying for the increased GDP as depicted here, because in fact the quantity measured by GDP resets each year. If one dollar spent by the government once can create one dollar of GDP not only this year, but also keep creating another dollar of GDP for each year in perpetuity, that would actually be a pretty good investment! The basic macro answer would be that a dollar of government spending gives you a dollar of GDP this year only (perhaps with some constant multiplier), so this would be a great result for proponents of government spending.

We ought to compare annual debt to annual production, or cumulative debt to cumulative production.

djannzjkzxn··on FCC Proposes to Fine Wireless Carriers $200M for Selling Customer Location Data
The post I responded to said the fine “should be significant compared to what they can afford”. This isn’t the standard economic formula (which I agree with). It’s a different standard that would have companies that can afford more pay larger fines.
djannzjkzxn··on FCC Proposes to Fine Wireless Carriers $200M for Selling Customer Location Data
Do you mean more profitable companies should be fined more than less profitable companies for the same scale of wrongful behavior? If one wrongdoer happens to have other lines of business that generate a lot of cash but aren’t implicated in the misbehavior, they should get a more severe punishment? I think the endgame from such a punishment regime is companies will reorganize their corporate structure to section everything off from such liabilities.
djannzjkzxn··on CDC: Possible ‘community spread’ coronavirus case in Bay Area
The reason to stockpile food before the coronavirus is so you don’t have to go to the store and buy groceries. This reason doesn’t apply to water and I don’t think there’s any chance the utilities are going to shut down. Even if everyone gets infected, the death rate is low enough the there will still be people keeping stuff running.

Stockpiling some water makes more sense in California where the water is piped in from far away and we are at risk of big earthquakes that can break those pipes.

In an apartment, your best bet for adding water storage is probably stackable 7 gallon jugs like this: https://www.rei.com/product/618168/reliance-aqua-tainer-7-ga...

A gallon per day per person is enough.

If you have land and want to store more, you could get 55 gallon water barrels.

djannzjkzxn··on Mapping Coronavirus, Responsibly
IMO, during the first half of an epidemic, when a small portion of the population is infected and infections are growing exponentially, it makes sense to use the absolute number of infections. Then later when infection is widespread and the curve looks logistic, it makes sense to give the proportion of infected. I think we are clearly in the first half when it comes to coronavirus.
djannzjkzxn··on ‘People You May Know’ helped Facebook grow exponentially
There’s no need to speculate - the article we are commenting on informs us that happened through email contact sharing.
djannzjkzxn··on ‘People You May Know’ helped Facebook grow exponentially
The article provides some relevant details:

> Facebook said it used to have a step in the account verification process where some users had the option to confirm their email address and voluntarily import their email contacts onto the site. The feature was meant to help them find their friends more effectively and improve ads, according to the company.

> That process was redesigned in May 2016. While the language, which explained the step, was removed, the feature itself was not, Facebook said. Hence, email contacts were still being uploaded to the site without users being aware of that fact.

The claim isn’t that the feature was created by accident. It’s that they failed to disable the feature in the backend when they removed parts of the UI. I can definitely see how this could happen by accident due to poor communication between managers and engineers across different teams. You could also choose to believe that it was an intentional error.

djannzjkzxn··on Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?
These rates are taking the number of confirmed cases and dividing by the number of hospitalizations. The problem is that minor cases usually don’t get detected so they don’t get included in the denominator. A single confirmed case might correspond to a thousand infections. It’s too early to know.
djannzjkzxn··on CDC: Possible ‘community spread’ coronavirus case in Bay Area
It’s going to take more than a couple weeks for this to take its course.
djannzjkzxn··on Federal safety official slams Tesla, regulators for misuse of its Autopilot tech
Depending on the numbers, the “saves more than it kills” standard may be 99.9% or 99.9999%. You need data to answer the question and any claims should be backed up by numbers, followed by a bunch of analysis. It’s definitely not something we can prove about currently sold technology with a one-line quip.
djannzjkzxn··on WHO says it no longer uses 'pandemic' category, but virus still emergency
In the past week it’s been discovered that the virus has spread in two developed countries - South Korea and Italy. Already a bunch of countries have created travel restrictions and it’s only a matter of time until the restrictions increase. If a similar outbreak is discovered in the UK while you are there, you might become subject to similar restrictions. You’d be unlucky if it happened while you are there, but it wouldn’t be shocking. We’re trying to predict the policy response to an unknown future so it’s very hard to say.
djannzjkzxn··on California Legislature Proposes a Universal Basic Income Program
I doubt the average lifetime bureaucrat can find such employment. Regardless, I don’t think the union will let the state ever put them in the position to need to try.
djannzjkzxn··on Guide to Equity Compensation
It’s hard in theory, easy in practice if your options are worth millions. I have friends who did it. I don’t know too many of the details but they made some kind of contract with a financial firm to sell the upside from the stock without actually “selling” the stock. The fees are not terrible, like single digit percentages. These firms don’t want to talk to you if you have a small amount of equity because it isn’t worth the overhead to make a transaction.
djannzjkzxn··on California Legislature Proposes a Universal Basic Income Program
I think the California State Employees Association would have something to say about their members’ total comp decreased from ~six figures to 12k/year.
djannzjkzxn··on Trump administration backs Oracle in Google fight
I’m really skeptical that Republicans know or care about politics in Google’s work culture. I think the only big story to come out about it, the James Damore one, mainly got discussed from a gender angle and most Republican politicians would prefer if that conversation didn’t happen at all.
djannzjkzxn··on Kickstarter employees vote to unionize
I was only responding to a particular point in the parent comment.
djannzjkzxn··on Kickstarter employees vote to unionize
> Given how many ordinary working class Americans voted for Trump, painting them all as Nazis and then insisting that such a fundraise remains live would seem to be the opposite of what unions historically stood for.

The Nazis won a plurality of the popular vote, so it’s not exactly a great distinguishing factor for Trump.

djannzjkzxn··on Pay up or we’ll make Google ban your ads
If there’s only one group running the scheme it works, but if there are many, it becomes very difficult to coordinate and limit repeated demands. Soft of like how oil producers can only keep the price up if everyone joins the cartel. Each member will make more money if they defect.
djannzjkzxn··on HQ Trivia shuts down after acquisition falls through
Questions about Disney products sound more like efforts to promote Disney products than attempts at a trendy style.
djannzjkzxn··on Apple Pay on pace to account for 10% of global card transactions
I’d say if you’re already using your phone while waiting in line, Apple Pay is faster. Otherwise, tapping a credit card is faster.
djannzjkzxn··on Apple Pay on pace to account for 10% of global card transactions
To clarify for readers (doesn’t matter for you), terminals that support Apple Pay probably also support tap room pay with credit cards that have that feature. It’s just as fast as Apple Pay (once you have your card out).
djannzjkzxn··on I ordered a box of boxes from The Packaging Wholesalers via Amazon.ca
I think the error mostly benefits the seller of the boxes, or at least doesn’t hurt them, so they won’t have much incentive to fix it.
djannzjkzxn··on Who Marries CEOs, Doctors, Chefs and Janitors (2016)
This seems unsurprising if you know male dancers. It’s almost entirely gig work. The difference between an employed dancer and his unemployed friend is that the employed one is having a good month.
djannzjkzxn··on Ask HN: What Skills to Acquire in 2020?
Appreciating anything that you aren’t already a fan of is a skill. You can also develop the skills of enjoying hip hop, metal, spaghetti westerns, rock climbing, etc.
djannzjkzxn··on EU lawmakers snub Apple's pleas, vote to push for charging cable standard
If the report is saying almost 100% of phones sold follow the reg, then they must be saying Apple are in compliance, right? I don’t see how you can get near 100% of phones without including the iPhone.

Also, take a look here:

> Additionally, a voluntary approach may have had the advantage of having a wider scope, compared to the regulatory option, for example, it may have covered both ends of the charging cable.

>However, given the unsatisfactory outcome so far of the progress in the voluntary option, the Commission will shortly launch a study to assess costs and benefits of different options, including the regulatory one.

This seems to say fairly clearly that only a voluntary option would cover both ends of the cable. Then it says they are looking at the regulatory option instead of the voluntary option. It doesn’t seem to contemplate a non-voluntary regulation covering both ends of the cable.

I don’t think I’m being pedantic or obtuse here, just reading the doc plainly.

djannzjkzxn··on ‘McMillions’: ex-cop orchestrated $24M McDonald’s Monopoly scam
Monitoring with cameras seems like an advance in technology that lowers the need for managers in the room. But it’s still a check as advocated earlier in the thread.
djannzjkzxn··on ‘McMillions’: ex-cop orchestrated $24M McDonald’s Monopoly scam
A security camera on the register seems like the easiest way. If the cashier’s count doesn’t match the sum of customer transaction then watch the footage until you see them pocket the money.
djannzjkzxn··on EU lawmakers snub Apple's pleas, vote to push for charging cable standard
Apple has worked on wireless proximity charging where the device merely needs to be within a few feet of the charger. I hear there are serious engineering challenges that make this hard to achieve but I don’t think they will remove the port with the current QI charging experience. Maybe there will be a charging battery you can just throw in the same bag as the phone and the phone will charge.
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