HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

divebomb

1 karma · joined January 11, 2016

submissionscomments
divebomb··on How SWARM INTELLIGENCE enables groups to make predictions that beat the odds
I'm starting to think that this event, while clearly atypical ( i don't think they'll hit the Preakness Superfecta) represents the second most impressive thing to happen in AI this year behind Alpha Go.
divebomb··on A.I. turns $20 into $11k in Kentucky Derby bet, wins “holy grail” of gambling
This is actually kind of remarkable.
divebomb··on A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k
Well, keep in mind they ran the predictions twice, once two weeks before the race, and then again after the lineup was determined in the middle of the week, switching one horse. I don't know what the odds were at that time.

And, if anyone else has a winning Superfecta ticket, I haven't seen it. So, it's not like this was some easy pick.

divebomb··on A.I. wins the Superfecta at the Kentucky Derby, turns $20 bet into $11k
It's also worth pointing out that they were challenged to make this pic by a reporter in advance of the Derby. They weren't just throwing out a random guess, they met the gauntlet that had been thrown down once already. This is a remarkable achievement in the face of skepticism.

If you read the CEO's statement in the original article, he wasn't claiming omniscience, but that horse-racing was certainly difficult to predict.

The better question is not, "will they hit the Preakness Superfecta?" but, how do UNU's picks do against the average guy at the track?

I'd bet they're pretty dang good.

divebomb··on Researchers pit Swarm AI against 469 gambling pros on Super Bowl prop bets
unless it had access to historical sales / endorsement / dumping data.

Lots to think about here.

divebomb··on Researchers pit Swarm AI against 469 gambling pros on Super Bowl prop bets
I wonder which demonstrates more intelligence - picking the winner of the game, or who the MVP will thank first?

It seems like Madden ( or a computer AI ) could do the first, but only a human could do the second.

divebomb··on How 75 Average Sports Fans Keep Beating the “Experts” at ESPN Picking NFL Games
yep. Gotta have the balls to let it ride sometimes and he's clearly playing with house money.

Even if put half his winnings up, he'd have been in a no risk situation with a chance to win 400 total.

divebomb··on How I Made 700% Returns by Gambling with UNU
Who does the "swarm" have this weekend? Are you gonna let it ride??
divebomb··on 75 Average Fans Crush ESPN’s Bowl Picks by Using A.I
Great game last night. Alabama is on a different level, but Watson gives Clemson a chance to beat anybody, anywhere. Odd that the "experts" didn't see that and picked Oklahoma.
divebomb··on Can A.I. Turn Average Fans into Experts?
I'd much rather listen to the average fan's opinion than Stephen A Smith, so I wouldn't be surprised if normal people were able to make better predictions, too.

What I'd like to see is an ESPN where the predictions have some consequence to them - you're gonna call yourself an expert? Prove it.