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diceduckmonk

833 karma · joined August 29, 2022

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diceduckmonk··on Cities Aren't Loud: Cars Are Loud (2021) [video]
Japan has cars, but it’s quiet.
diceduckmonk··on The Staff Engineer's Path – Book Review
FWIW, the founder of HashiCorp created Vangrant when they are in college.

Why did Terraform end up being the dominant product? Product-market fit. That’s not just engineering, but bringing to market a product at the time when people need and understand it. This includes marketing and educating. Also, Terraform has an ecosystem of prebuilt providers. NPM as a package manager is not as well designed as other systems, but it’s arguably been the most successful. While the internal prop tech you mentioned may be more advanced, it’s not obvious you had the right product people with vision to build out that ecosystem. Most managers and product people at large companies aren’t tech savvy beyond buzzwords

diceduckmonk··on The Staff Engineer's Path – Book Review
> They don't have this kind of people

Because the people with vision and conviction would be running their own startups

diceduckmonk··on Ask HN: Is YC becoming less of a home for hackers and more for MBA-types?
I feel the the quality of HN discussions been downtrending, and recent months have personally felt disengaged. I’ve been wondering how much of this being the current tech market being a brain / time drain. I would have thought there would be a renaissance of startups and projects with layoffs and all, but maybe it’s far too early to tell
diceduckmonk··on Ask HN: Is YC becoming less of a home for hackers and more for MBA-types?
> its hard to imagine that the founders built them for any reason other than to make money

Ultimately, startups are about making money.

diceduckmonk··on Math prodigy runs market-making empire
> every single one of billions of trades, someone is always wrong... every person I have spoken to in finance clams up immediately when I mention anything remotely quantitative. It's not just because I'm being boring, they know they are playing a game of poker that is never not-on.

No serious financial professional would expect their strategy or any strategy in existence to be 100% correct. A strategy that is correct 51% of the time is more than good enough. You diversify and hedge, and build up an uncorrelated portfolio. Suppose you've honed in on alpha strategy. You probably don't even want to optimize and fit in further, with past data. Instead, you find a beta strategy that is uncorrelated and run those two together. With the amount of capital firms the likes of Citadel are working with, it's impossible to trade in a single product, and so scaling up, in the case of an MM, is to trade everything all at once.

This is also repeated in the article. "[CitSec CEO] diversifies the firm’s earnings so it can better stomach an occasional loss in any part of its business"

> current strategies are not information problems that need new science, they are work problems that piece together solved ones, and whose efficiencies come from competency in related domains

Applied math is not about pushing mathematical theory, necessarily. Then there is a difference between theory and practice, and there is a difference between practice and sizing trades with this scale of AUM. Academics can talk and write papers about LLMs or CRDTs, but they aren't going to be the ones who will be affective at bringing it to market.

diceduckmonk··on Language models still struggle with the concept of negation
> "there are some species of bats that give live birth" - all species of bats give live birth

ChatGPT is being more logical to be honest.

It’s true, some species of bats give live birth.

To assume all bats give live birth might be committing the fallacy of induction.

diceduckmonk··on A third of scientific papers may be fraudulent
> There's also a lot of second-rate research published which is likely of no value to anyone, and only serves to clutter things up and make it more difficult for researchers to sift through the literature.

Sounds a lot like the packages released on NPM.

diceduckmonk··on Your IQ isn't 160. No one's is. Stratospheric IQs are like leprechauns
"You don’t need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with 160 IQ beats the guy with 130 IQ" - Warren Buffett
diceduckmonk··on Google I/O 2023
Maps ?
diceduckmonk··on De-dollarization: Not a matter of if, but when
> because it’s already biggest(network effect)

This is exactly what is downtrending. Nations fear being sanctioned and holding on to dollars they can't use

> and most stable(military/economic might/feed back effect from being global currency)

This is also what is being questioned. There is domestic turmoil and the US economy is funky.

I'm just paraphrasing Ray Dalio's recent discussions and extensions on his dialogue on the rise and fall of nations.

diceduckmonk··on Shopify will be smaller by about 20% and Flexport will buy Shopify Logistics
Enough people losing their jobs, cutting spending habits, will create that mass psychosis.

Tech is a small part of the economy, but cities like Seattle that have built restaurants and services catering to the tech crowd will see further fallout. There was this idea that Seattle would be this next big metropolitan area, but tech implants have found it’s not for them after a few years

diceduckmonk··on Show HN: Neat – Minimalist CSS Framework
NPM forces package names to be different.

But do we really want a registry for CSS?

diceduckmonk··on Show HN: Neat – Minimalist CSS Framework
2KB without minification or gzip, almost fits entirely on one screen. Looks great on my iphone, too.

Would have gotten the point across better to just inline the CSS source on the landing page, or linking to the CSS file, instead of having to download a ZIP.

diceduckmonk··on Ask HN: Why is TSMC so competitive in semiconductor fabrication?
Competitive in economics and the market means they can provide a good at a lower price than competitors. Either TSMC has no competitors, or they are beating them. If they don’t have competitors, it’s a sign other newcomers can’t compete, so they’re still competitive.
diceduckmonk··on Ask HN: Why is TSMC so competitive in semiconductor fabrication?
That theory fails to account for Japan's failed semiconductor industry.
diceduckmonk··on Software firms across US facing tax bills that threaten survival
> the irs hasn't offered too much guidance on how this tax change works.

They didn't offer too much guidance for trading crypto either. I reported my trades as you would for stocks. They ended up auditing me and charging me for $300k in profits when I made $3k (they did not recognize cost basis of my trades, yet decided to respect the sale proceeds) circa 2015. Meanwhile, people who did not report at all probably got off the hook.

diceduckmonk··on ATC staff shortages: 11,000 flights cut from NYC and DCA in summer 2023
Just checked out the requirements to be an ATC and you have to be 30 years old or under in order to apply.

https://www.faa.gov/levelup

diceduckmonk··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
If you can’t manage small amounts of money, you can’t manage large ones
diceduckmonk··on SpaceX alums are branching out and shaping the startup economy
It’s not probable, it’s guaranteed at FAANG.
diceduckmonk··on Former Hiroshima Branch of the Bank of Japan
As well as Korea, Indochina, Philippines and more. It’s strange people make Japan the victim and forget about all the other countries that don’t have Anime and other nerd pop culture exports
diceduckmonk··on Former Hiroshima Branch of the Bank of Japan
> I think he is saying that FDR stopped selling oil to Japan

Sure, but then maybe don’t start a war with all of Asia. There was a high degree of grandiosity and hubris where they thought the way out of a losing strategy and resources was to double down and go after more

diceduckmonk··on Former Hiroshima Branch of the Bank of Japan
You mean like how the emperor of Japan who killed more people wasn’t tried as a war criminal? And a shrine to him and other war criminals persist at Yasakuni Shrine, and similar, where large festivals are celebrated every year?
diceduckmonk··on Former Hiroshima Branch of the Bank of Japan
Well if you know about Okinawa, then you should know the Japanese were conscripting middle school Ryukyuans who are not ethnically Japanese (Yamato) , as well as using this ethnic group as human body bags and a buffer state to slow the invasion into the Japanese mainland. Most of those civilian casualties were not treated as Japanese (Yamato) by the Japanese government and people, and were second class citizens, maybe not even as the darling colony they treated Taiwan as. If anything, the victims of Okinawa is a testament to the evils of Japan imperialism / colonialism during WWII more so than it does America. The imperial Japanese government kidnap the leaders of Okinawa, and forced Okinawans into assimilation. In years prior, Okinawa had become a puppet state and used to proxy trade from Japan, as there were trade embargoes between Japan and China. The Japanese didn’t care about the ethnic majority of Okinawa then, and still don’t care now (Okinawa is the most impoverished of Japan’s prefectures), but when it comes to painting America as evil, then yes, Okinawa is conveniently Japanese
diceduckmonk··on $39 Cooler Master case turns your old Framework Laptop parts into a tiny PC
What a weird colloboration. Now take my money!
diceduckmonk··on Binance sees $2B in outflows as troubles compound
And even if they didn’t, OP’s logic is not self evident.
diceduckmonk··on The Prospect of an AI Winter
I remember a hype cycle called “BigData”. Companies now realize data science that big of a step to business analytics of the 90s.
diceduckmonk··on Iceland long term visa for remote workers
A Domino’s pizza there is $30 for a medium.
diceduckmonk··on Google Bard waitlist
It feels like Google Fi is in maintenance mode. Someone got their promotion and moved on. I used to this the Deprecated by Google memes were harsh, but that will be the last time I rely on a Google product for work or life.
diceduckmonk··on Google Bard waitlist
FYI, If you are abroad for longer than a year, they will shutdown call and data access for your Google Fi. Learned the hard way. That said, their technical support was absolutely robotic and useless, and might as well be replaced with Bard, whatever state its in.
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