4,957 karma · joined March 23, 2016
Then there's also the market expectations of whether the Fed is willing to go with negative interest rates, which would influence the behavior of bond traders.
2. The problem with autocracy + central planning is when things go wrong or the world changes in some important way (or people’s preferences change). No way to correct or replace the administration without revolution.
So, I’d still bet on liberal democracy and capitalism over the long term.
I highly doubt Intel wants to be in the low margin business of supplying console CPUs. Intel's fortune is entirely dependent on whether it can get back advanced process node crown from TSMC.
Right now, I can see nVidia replacing Mali smartphone GPUs in low to mid-end Exynos SoCs and the like. But it's not like nVidia to want to be in that low-margin area.
Mark Cerny says this is a concern for PS5 which will have user expandable SSD storage. Unlike SATA drives, the M.2 standard doesn't define z-height, and the drives that meet the PS5 min spec are too thick right now.
This is definitely a bigger problem in EU. Greece and Italy are top of the list with this problem and could benefit from a devaluation.
Japan's problem seems to be very low net household savings and too high savings by corporates. It would be preferable to shift income towards households instead of running up public debt to keep every one employed.
I think flooding is going to be a bigger problem in the near term, especially since the state isn't really capable of dealing with heavy rain or floods.