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csours

11,867 karma · joined July 28, 2012

Beep Boop I am a robot.
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csours··on CBP is monitoring US drivers and detaining those with suspicious travel patterns
100 Mile Border Zone - https://www.aclu.org/know-your-rights/border-zone

Your rights are limited in interactions with CBP, or to state the inverse: CBP have claimed more powers than traditional law enforcement. This has been true for quite a while; they have at various times been more and less careful about your rights while exercising those powers. They are being less careful now.

csours··on Short Little Difficult Books
"The Righteous Mind" by Haidt is interesting to me on the difficulty scale. From any technical analysis (like grammar, sentence structure etc), it's not difficult at all. It wasn't boring to me, and I didn't really get stuck on anything in particular, but it still took me two weeks to finish it.
csours··on Are you stuck in movie logic?
> By making implicit knowledge explicit ...

I feel like this translation is easier to misunderstand that it is to understand in many cases.

I think the effort is still good, but I also feel like people give up after a few tries. I know I do - after the third re-phrasing or re-framing you have to let things settle.

----

Once someone is "grown up", no one can raise them again.

csours··on The Baumol Effect and Jevons paradox are related
It's fine.

The biggest actual problem would be in a fire, the PLA will burn and let the fire into the wall cavity, where drywall would maintain a barrier for much longer - that is why we have drywall in the first place, it is a decent fire barrier.

csours··on AI World Clocks
Oh, Qwen, buddy, you sure are TRYING
csours··on AI World Clocks
LOVE IT!

It would be really cool if I could zoom out and have everything scale properly!

csours··on The Monks in the Casino
I feel like the internet/social media has taken over the communication paradigm, and there are conversations that simply cannot and do not take place on social media in any real depth. Deep communication between parties needs those parties to allow for the possibility of recontextualization - telling another story.

If I say that somesuch social movement is causing problems, then people in that social movement will feel attacked. Even bringing up somesuch social movement is a great way to increase vitriol on social media. It just makes people angry because people already feel justified in their anger at the demons on the 'other side'

It feels there there are too many things that are 'Agree with me 100% or we have to fight'.

I feel like the true luxury good of the future is human attention, and specifically careful emotional validation.

csours··on Australia has so much solar that it's offering everyone free electricity
See also the dark fiber build out before the telecom collapse of ~2001

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telecoms_crash

csours··on OpenAI probably can't make ends meet. That's where you come in
I feel like inferred tokens are a commodity and will be subject to commodity pricing pressure.

Which indicates to me that the value add will come from somewhere else, which would seem to be whales and addicts.

csours··on Why AC is cheap, but AC repair is a luxury
Classic Paradox of Automation - As automation gets better, two things happen:

Cost of goods goes down - think factory automation improving line rate.

There is less human intervention, but that intervention requires more expertise.

csours··on A Closer Look at Piezoelectric Crystal
Synthetic quartz growing:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFH8_uLzano

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lzHqhNoyx2o

csours··on You did no fact checking, and I must scream
I agree with the author that this is important. I do not agree that it is easy.

In some cases it is relatively easy, but in many cases it requires some subject area expertise.

I do wish it was easier to punish media organizations for slop; however any feedback mechanism would also be (ab)-used for political purposes and reputation laundering.

Modern media is a combat arena.

csours··on What Americans die from vs. what the news reports on
More concretely, a newspaper (or other media) will use facts like "Police Media Officer Jones stated that ....". It is factually correct that Officer Jones stated "....". Whether Media Officer Jones' statement is correct and comprehensive, that is another matter.

Feel free to substitute "Officer Jones" for any other occupation.

A very large fraction of news comes from media relations people at the organizations being reported on. Good news agencies will get context from another organization.

Great news agencies will sometimes do the kind of digging that makes leaders of large organizations uncomfortable. The costs in time, money, and reputation (even when you get it right) mean that even the very best news agencies can only report a small fraction of stories in depth.

csours··on Environment variables are a legacy mess: Let's dive deep into them
https://xkcd.com/927/ - Standards

Situation: There are 14 competing ways to set environment variables on Linux

We should create a universal way that just works and isn't terminal specific to set environment variables!

Situation: There are 15 competing ways to set environment variables on Linux

csours··on Ryanair flight landed at Manchester airport with six minutes of fuel left
Wow this has a lot of replies!

Yes, you get a lot of the energy back, BUT there is a huge problem!

Large airliners incur a LOT of additional drag to slow down while landing. Some of that is entirely intentional, some is less intentional.

It is highly preferred to deploy the landing gear before touching down. Failure to do so may lead to a hard landing and additional paperwork, so airlines do not allow the captain to exercise their own discretion.

Extending the flaps maintains lift at lower speed, and higher flap settings allow even lower speed. The highest flap setting generally also deploys leading edge slats.

If the wheels of the airliner touch down and detect the weight of the plane then spoilers kill the lift of the wings, air brakes fully deploy, as well as thrust reversers.

All of these things add drag, which uses up all that energy you've been converting.

The upshot is that each landing attempt uses a LOT of energy, and you have to use fuel to replenish that energy after every attempt.

In other words, yes you get it back, but only for one landing attempt.

csours··on Examples are the best documentation
The "Real" documentation is the implementation. Prioritize making the source code available and understandable.

Examples are very nice. One way to create examples is with test cases. Test cases can also be packaged with source code!

csours··on Seeing like a software company
Dunbar's number and the fractal nature of managing things in the real world.

You manage surface area, not volume or area, and the coastline is pretty bumpy.

csours··on A mechanic offered a reason why no one wants to work in the industry
Disclosure: I work for General Motors (on software, not as a design engineer), this is solely my own opinion and experience.

An automotive assembly line consists of many "footprints" chained together. Each footprint is scheduled to have the same amount of work (in seconds). That work rate is also called the line rate, often expressed in jobs per hour. So 70 jph could also be expressed as 51.4 seconds per footprint.

Working backwards from the time you drive the finished vehicle off the end of the line, a truck assembly plant works like this:

                                     v Engine line -------------
    Final Line <-- Chassis (frame) -------------
                 ^ Trim Line (body)--------Paint Shop <------ Body Shop <--- Stamped Metal
Or in mermaid:

    graph TD

      subgraph Chassis Shop
        Fr[Frame Line] -->EM
        EM[Engine Marriage] -->C
        C[Chassis Line] --> BM
        BM[Body Marriage] -->F
        F[Final Line]
      end

      subgraph Engine
        E[Engine Line] --> EM
      end

      subgraph Body Assembly
        B[Body Shop] --> P[Paint Shop]
        P --> T[Trim Shop]
        T --> BM
      end

Anyway, each set of tasks in a footprint takes the same amount of time, or they get split up to take the same amount of time.

So setting the engine on the frame must not take longer than 51.4 seconds, and setting the body on the frame also must not take longer than 51.4 seconds. (Along with all of the other ~~1,000 assembly footprints)

As a matter of simple evolution, no design that takes longer will be produced, because it does not survive the first round of selection: Assembly.

Designs that survive Assembly may eventually need Maintenance, but by then the genes have already been passed on.

Now you may say that Engineers are smart enough to fix both problems, but I don't believe in Intelligent Design.

Snark aside - maintenance falls under "residual value", and "residual value" may be a luxury that the automaker cannot afford.

    *** To be clear, I am using 51.4 seconds as a stand-in exemplar for many other requirements in the assembly process.
----

Show me the outcome, and I will describe the incentives ~ Inverse Munger

Automotive design engineers have to satisfy MANY criteria, the following items entail LISTs of requirements, not a single req.

    - the part must function (includes failure modes)
    - the part must be manufacturable (make the part itself)
    - the part must be assembl-able (it has to fit with the parts around it)
    - ... be lightweight, environmentally friendly, comply with government requirements
    - 
    - then, to actually exist:
    - the part will be prototyped in a pre-production environment
    - a component plant will be set up to manufacture that part
    - the manufactured part will be tested to ensure that it still meets the design criteria
Every part of this process will make your design engineers sad and tired.

Now, once you have all the parts you need to make a vehicle, you can design the vehicle so that all those parts work together.

If you find out that you have to change the design of a part while you are designing the vehicle, this pushes back your project completion date. This makes the spreadsheets upset, and the spreadsheets take it out on your stock price.

----

Ok so "why don't they just" make the design better for the next model year?

Because those engineers have been assigned to another project! Also, design changes incur costs, which pushes out the program pay-off period.

You amortize Research and Design costs over the actual vehicles produced. Those vehicles have to be competitive in the market - price per value.

The Value Proposition for maintain-ability/repair-ability is not readily apparent at time of purchase.

This is why "residual value" is a luxury. No one gets to pick all of their own success criteria.

~~~ Again, this is all just like my opinion.

csours··on Jeff Bezos says AI is in a bubble but society will get 'gigantic' benefits
"Commodity Tokens"
csours··on Don't avoid workplace politics
Book Recommendation: High Conflict by Amanda Ripley

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EE_MEu7xn8Y

https://www.amazon.com/dp/1982128569

csours··on How to make sense of any mess
Designed by History vs. Designed by Intent

---

Working on a legacy codebase last year I kept repeating to myself: They made it work, they didn't make it sensible.

csours··on Rereading books
Even "simple" books can be surprising. On my first reading of Jurassic Park I had no idea that it was about startup culture - no really! It's not even from the Sci-Fi section of the bookstore!
csours··on Waymo has received our pilot permit allowing for commercial operations at SFO
If you can design the product and environment to fit automation, then automation can be quick and effective.

The less you can change about the product and environment, then automation run slower and less effectively.

Air liner operations could be automated, but the minimum equipment list would be more stringent, the destination airport would not be able to take any equipment out of service for maintenance, visibility minimums would increase, takeoff and landing operations would require more slack time.

Besides all of that, the owner of the airplane would still want to have some crew on board.

In short, it's not worth it yet.

===

There is also the paradox of automation: Automation generally makes the hard parts harder and the easy parts easier.

csours··on Waymo has received our pilot permit allowing for commercial operations at SFO
It's kind of funny how you can both be right.
csours··on The Obsolescence of Political Definitions (1991)
Before taking their current conservative role, one of our Supreme Court Justices was briefly associated with the radical left.
csours··on The Obsolescence of Political Definitions (1991)
> give the pretense that the duopolistic political parties are backed by ideologies rather than by constantly shifting power dynamics.

I feel like it's very easy to get angry about politics, so speaking clearly is difficult.

I would like to point out that the power dynamics do not always shift randomly, or by the will of the people (be that citizens at large, or party-line voters). The power dynamics have been shifted with intention.

Apart from that intentional push for power, we also have social media dynamics. It feels like online self-critique is always towards the extremes. Once someone becomes energized or activated on a topic, they may start to feel that even trying to understand other viewpoints will cause harm.

csours··on EPA Seeks to Eliminate Critical PFAS Drinking Water Protections
MAHA! The US admin is 5 special interest groups in a trench coat.

===

To be clear, some of the Make America Healthy Again goals are quite reasonable to me. I wish they had started with those.

csours··on “Learning how to Learn” will be next generation's most needed skill
I know we're all good little rational kids here, but even rationalists need to learn about emotions. Strong emotional responses are currently holding back human advancement. If you look closely at history, it has been always thus.

** "in my opinion" is always implied, unless a source is given **

Reading about airline crashes has radically changed how I view blame.

The way I was raised and the choices I made as an adult have given me a relatively rare point of view: people are made of humans, and humans are made of animals, and animals have limited capabilities.

I can explain someone's actions, or I can excuse someone's actions, and the difference is largely in the mind of the beholder.

Social punishment is micro and macro. On the macro it looks like shared morality and it feels like safety. On the micro it looks like emotional invalidation and it feels like danger and isolation.

csours··on Charlie Kirk killed at event in Utah
I agree. It's hard to capture 'the vibes' in a history book. For example, I firmly believe that in 70 years, almost no one will be able to explain 'wokeness' or the anti-wokeness backlash.
csours··on Charlie Kirk killed at event in Utah
I don't like that I'm starting to understand Magical Realism

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magical_realism

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