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cryptoz

19,612 karma · joined June 22, 2009

Interested in AI, climate, weather prediction, space

https://codeplusequalsai.com

Previously: PressureNet

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cryptoz··on Bruce Bastian, WordPerfect co-creator, has died
As other commenters have noted, "median US home price" is not a relevant measure here, where their location would have much-lower-than-median prices.
cryptoz··on Patagonia gave its staff 3 days to decide to relocate or quit
It was the North Face founder that passed.
cryptoz··on Biden-Trump debate breaks parts of Reddit, it seems
Mods of big subreddits usually break out threads into < 10,000 comments to avoid issues. /r/politics does this all the time. Not a clue why they didn't do it this time.
cryptoz··on Voyager 1 is back online: NASA spacecraft returns data from all 4 instruments
A very cynical take. I expect we’ll pass it in 20-30 years.
cryptoz··on Ask HN: What are your personal red flags when you're interviewing at a company?
Making fun of my side project.

An interviewer looked at me with this vicious, incredulous look when I described my side project in ~2019, which was a weather network built on the sensors inside phones. Guy said, “a weather app, really?! You think that’s a good use of your time in 2019? What makes you think a weather app is useful to make today?”

MFer, it was a good idea in 2011 and it’s a good idea today and it’ll be a good idea in 10 years.

And it wasn’t just a weather app omg! But he didn’t care, just kept pressing me for like 5 mins why I would ever think making a weather network service was useful. No amount of explaining the complexity or novel recently-developed techniques that made it possible would convince him I wasn’t wasting my time.

cryptoz··on Everything about Mars is the worst (2017)
> The problem with Venus cloud cities is: what's the purpose? What are people going to do there? Sit around and write software?

I mean, that sounds freaking awesome tbh.

cryptoz··on Own a weather station? We want your data
Even the Galaxy S4 phone was a beast of a weather station: onboard barometer, thermometer and humidity sensor! All can be bias corrected and useful.
cryptoz··on Google's AI-generated search results keep citing The Onion
From here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40461634
cryptoz··on Google's AI-generated search results keep citing The Onion
Aha, thanks!

Edit: it is now interesting how much power subreddit mods have over AI in the near future. Have a lot of disinformation in your subreddit? Lock it, and screw up the billion dollar AI.

cryptoz··on Google's AI-generated search results keep citing The Onion
Side note, when did Reddit unarchive posts? I remember years ago they stopped allowing new comments on a post, but here is a decade-old post with new comments!

And to stay on topic- this is exactly why ChatGPT took off. OpenAI says they were surprised by the huge response…but, their intense (and yeah controversial) RLHF really pays off with not suggesting soooo much of this wrong / dangerous stuff.

Google of course is allergic to human intervention in anything.

cryptoz··on SpaceX has grown to 87% of the tonnage to orbit
I'm excited to see how RocketLab's Neutron could maybe add a second real player. Somebody's gotta do something! But yes indeed, Starship being operational and reusbale will absolutely dominate.

We're looking at multiple Starship launches per day, right? Eventually. Each with far more mass-to-orbit capability than anybody else, and per launch. It's going to be 1,000x the rest of everyone combined.

We will need more useful metrics though. Many of Starship's tonnage to orbit will be fuel for other missions, and this will clutter the stats. Of course, tonnage-to-orbit will still be a metric. Even "useful tonnage to orbit" (which is even an Elon-touted metric I think) will be tainted by the large number of fuel launches (Which are useful of course, but not the same as active hardware).

Other than RocketLab/Neutron, realistically, what other competitors are there in reusibility for the next 10 years? Is BO going to burst on to the scene with a surprise cadence of useful orbital launches and flip the discussion a bit on strategy? - I mean, so far SpaceX is so ahead in the game based on their iterative development that any suggestion that BO has the right idea is falling flat. Clearly SpaceX has the right idea.

But gosh!! There's gotta be somebody! to compete. Neutron isn't even quite at F9 level - there is no Starship competitor at all AFAIK.

cryptoz··on Veo
There's a middle ground here. I saw the northern lights with my own eyes just days ago and it was mostly grey. I saw some color. But when I took a photo with a phone camera, the color absolutely popped. So it may be that you've seen more color than any photo, but the average viewer in Seattle this past weekend saw grey-er with their eyes and huge color in their phone photos.

(Edit: it was still super-cool even if grey-ish, and there was absolutely beautiful colors in there if you could find your way out of the direct city lights)

cryptoz··on A look inside illegal drone deliveries at B.C.'s prisons
John West endured the worst, to bring you the best.
cryptoz··on GitHub Copilot Workspace: Technical Preview
This is quite similar to my idea and prototype I applied to YC with just last week. Uh-oh! Haha. I did call out GitHub as a primary competitor so I did see this coming - and I guess on second looks I'm still quite differentiated. All these new tools will overlap some but also have their own pros/cons since there are so many different ways to approach building an AI code tool!

Just yesterday I put up a cheap $5 linode running a prototype but not ready for signups yet.

https://codeplusequalsai.com/

I think I have some good ideas about how to get the the LLM to modify code - specifically working with ASTs.

I wonder how GitHub prompts the LLM to get usable code modifications out of it. How often does it encounter errors?

cryptoz··on Do loud pipes save lives? (2021)
These ones do: https://youtube.com/watch?v=64liF2VuLxI
cryptoz··on Electric bikes give more exercise than pedal bikes
A little clickbaity title there, as it seems like the habits of riders with e-bikes on average does the trick, not the individual bike itself. That is, I suppose that measured along the same route the e-bike rider would get significantly less exercise, but overall usage patterns result in more exercise for those that have one.
cryptoz··on Reddit files to list IPO on NYSE under the ticker RDDT
Also this I just saw, it sure if posted here yet https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/reddit-stock-ipo-buyers-u...

Reddit Plans to Sell Stock to Loyal Users in Unusual IPO Wager: Social-media company intends to offer shares in the offering to 75,000 of its biggest users

cryptoz··on Would von Braun's Mars landers have worked?
What’s missing from your calculation is the current Mars plans from SpaceX or others. They plan on building a colony of millions of people. In order to do that, costs must be dramatically lower and return trips must be possible.

So all the current Mars-capable rockets are being developed with the idea that there will be return trips every synod.

Maybe those ideas will fail. But there are billions of dollars going toward this goal today, and more in the future. So I would bet very much that a return trip is likely within a decade.

cryptoz··on Mark Zuckerberg explains why so many tech companies are doing layoffs
I mean, that was 100% before Elon took over though, not 1/3.
cryptoz··on Show HN: Galactic Compass – an app that points to the galactic center
What makes you say that? After some months or years of finding Mars and Jupiter in the sky it became second nature to me. You can just judge the time, don’t need a clock, look up at the sky and spot things immediately. If you’ve been practicing every day for a long time why not?

Yes they also move in the sky but you get that too. You’ll think, oh it’s April and 11pm, I know where mars is instinctively.

cryptoz··on Before he was George Orwell, he was Eric Blair, police officer
I've read this 3-4 times and can't state enough that it's my favorite Orwell book (haven't read them all, but you know).
cryptoz··on The Empire Strikes Back First Draft by Leigh Brackett (1978) [pdf]
I haven't read the script but, couldn't that be interpreted the same way it would be in the movies today? That is, the idea that Vader 'killed' Anakin by converting him to the dark side; Anakin is gone and now Vader exists - so different that the identity is different.
cryptoz··on Grabby Aliens (2021)
Oh yeah, I'm aware that you'll need multiple probes - but I imagine we could send 50 or 100 of these things starting in like 20-30 years once some of the required engineering on propulsion systems etc is done. Assuming we have the will and money to send 1, I think we'd have the will and money to send dozens.
cryptoz··on Grabby Aliens (2021)
No, we wouldn't know today. But this is knowable in about 50 years or so, if we send probes to ~550AU and use the Sun as a gravitational lens; we will then be able to get high-res (1km resolution?) photos/videos of nearby extrasolar planets themselves. This may be enough to find a spacefaring civilization. (sure, rockets aren't 1km big, but they do leave big traces. maybe we could see that)
cryptoz··on Explore interesting places nearby listed on Wikipedia
There should be an LLM version of this where places that aren't geotagged with lat/lng could also be included; Find a general place name, search for the cooridnates more specifically on the web or find clues like very-nearby places with coordinates attached, and then include those. Might have like orders of magnitude more results? Not sure how often places of interest are actually geotagged on their wiki.
cryptoz··on Ask HN: What have you built with LLMs?
I made some LLM-powered text-adventure games: https://cosmictrip.space/gameannouncement

And I'm working on a webapp that is a kanban board where LLM and human collaborate to build features in code. I just got a cool thing working there: like everyone, having LLM generate new code is easy but modifying code is hard. So my attempt at working on modifying code with LLM is starting with HTML and having GPT-4 write beautfulsoup code that then makes the desired modification to the HTML file. Will do with js, python via ast, etc. No link for this one yet :) still in development.

cryptoz··on Bard's latest updates: Access Gemini Pro globally and generate images
> https://i.imgur.com/kEa0z4y.png

The one on the left can definitely be called a cute cat. But the one on the right - well...

cryptoz··on I don't want anything your AI generates
> I don't like the idea of it being trained on anything I've written or created[1].

I'm more curious about this part - because I'm the opposite. I'm ecstatic that having open source code on github over the last ~12 years means that you have contributed to machine intelligence. What a wild thought and how super cool that everyone who contributed to the internet also gets to contribute to AI.

I can't imagine being upset that your output into the world is accelerated and incorporated into what eventually will be AGI. It's an honor, really.

And obviously I disagree with the rest of the post. But trying to add something useful to the discussion - why are so many people offended that AI is learning from them? Do they see it some other way? As exploitation? But you are the one who put the content out there! If you didn't want others to see and use and learn from your content, it has always been rule #1 that you shouldn't put it online. Is this not drilled into everyone by this point in time?

> These tools will improve ... I don't think this is a good thing.

First time I've heard this one. Who doesn't want the tools to improve? You don't want to have an option to be excluded from the AI training that you were so upset about? You don't want to have an option to get paid for being included in training? You don't want models developed that don't use copyrighted content? You don't want anything to be better?

You want ChatGPT to continue hallucinating forever? You don't want OpenAI to reduce the harm that comes from it hallucinating?

I find it hard to believe that people who are so viciously against AI really mean everything they say. To so confidently state you want the world to halt progress on the most innovative and useful inventions of our time that can measurably improve people's lives is a hot take indeed.

cryptoz··on Confirmation of ancient lake on Mars
It's a lot of people here - HN does occasionally love a space story, but typically Mars stories are met with insults, sarcasm and vitriol for those who are interested in it.

Edit: The effect is so strong, I have occasionally wondered if it is a concerted effort to get more people to start Mars startups, like nerd sniping. "Hurr you can't go to Mars like ever!!" -> "....just watch me". lol.

cryptoz··on Confirmation of ancient lake on Mars
I only see this opinion on HN really. HN as a community is obviously large and split, but the virtriol here against people that are interested in Mars science, habitability, etc is so intense. People here have told me to go live in my mom's basement and shut up about my interest in Mars. Or to go bury myself in Nevada. Or go live in Antarctica. And it's always said with such disdain, effectively insulting and hate-filled comments towards those who are interested or curious about something.

I'll never let the HN Mars-hate-fest ruin my curiousity - but boy is it annoying to read sarcastic comments about how dumb people are for being interested in something.

Go ahead though I guess. We all know you are well aware that living on a different planet is quite different from living under Nevada. Your hyberbole is ridiculous and it's like, do you want us to really think that humanity as a whole would agree that living on Mars is "exactly" the same as like, living in a basement in Nevada?? Uh-huh.

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