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cortic

1,134 karma · joined June 27, 2016

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cortic··on Who Is Being Monitored?
> trusting that you'll be OK so long as you've got nothing to hide.

I don't think people are that stupid, they know they have everything to hide from someone, and no idea who someone is. People think they can hide in the herd, the zebra defense. So long as my stripes are the same as everyone else's the lions won't get me. And they are not wrong, its a poor substitute for anonymity but it is a substitute. Problem is with our every move cataloged and indexed, and with searching bots and AI becoming more and more complex.. Its becoming not good enough to just look the same, we have to have the same political views, the same opinions, the same interests. There are other countries that have taken this to its natural conclusion and; having grown up in a democracy, its depressing seeing the level of subjugation humans will put up with.

cortic··on The UK’s delta surge is collapsing
Not lock-downs specifically. Testing and isolating, Maybe, but it would have cost many more lives.
cortic··on The UK’s delta surge is collapsing
There actually is. The evolutionary selection pressure on most coronaviruses exists throughout its infectious stage. So in order to be more infectious for longer the coronavirus would become less symptomatic and so less serious.

But with C19 we are aggressively isolating people with symptoms. This focuses evolutionary selection pressure on the initial infectious stage. In order to be more infectious the virus increases viral load and shedding, causing more serious symptoms; which would be an evolutionary disadvantage, except isolation renders this disadvantage moot.

Also natural immunity general focuses on the nucleus of the virus, vaccine immunity is to the spike. So this forces mutations in different proteins, which has different results.

cortic··on Cancer risks increase with alcohol use, leading to over 740k cases last year
Thanks. But I think you missed my point, and my second paragraph. But if you think there is an overabundance of accuracy in scientific reporting then perhaps we frequent different places.
cortic··on Cancer risks increase with alcohol use, leading to over 740k cases last year
The abundance of pseudo scientific studies that; Confuse correlation with causation. Fail to control for anything to get an interesting conclusion. Or just exaggerate the results. Has left me to instinctively assume, just from the title that either; Cancer causes alcohol use. Alcohol use causes smoking. Or their sampling groups is in a cancer ward.

I'm not saying this is a bad study, or article. I'm just commenting on the sheer amount of crap circulating is leading to a general skepticism that seems to be filtering out people like me from even clicking the title/link to these studies.

cortic··on Mind-controlling parasite makes hyena cubs more reckless around lions
I remember an Australian study that showed a significant increase in the likelihood of men with toxoplasmosis to be involved in car accidents. There was also something about women being more promiscuous when infected. I doubt the study had proper controls, so don't take it too seriously, but i would be surprised if toxoplasmosis had no effect on the human hosts behavior.
cortic··on Getting a Covid jab is safer than taking aspirin
>The long-term effects of being infected with the disease are definitely known to be worse than any unknown..

Seems an indefensible statement. You can't possibly know how 'bad' the unknown is, its unknown.

cortic··on Aspirin could cut risk of death in cancer patients by 20%
probability of death of an individual is under 100%, as not everyone is dead yet.
cortic··on Study: A quarter of adults don’t want children – and they’re still happy
The grass will always be greener where you are not standing. But don't discount how many people regret having children later in life. There are a great many disappointments, heartaches, and estranged relationships in the world. Parents are heavily incentivized, both socially and psychologically to lie about this as well.
cortic··on Amazon devices will soon automatically share your Internet with neighbors
Faster than my first (56k) modem, that's a lot of personal data going over untrusted hardware.
cortic··on Four years after a man was executed, someone else’s DNA found on murder weapon
1, only applies if you are right about the verdict, which we can never be sure about. In fact execution almost guarantees that the criminal will re-offend if he is watching an innocent man being put to death for his crimes.

2, Its significantly more ethical to potentially give some of an innocent persons life back and make some restitution. Than none.

3, There is never cases where we are sure; There can always be new evidence or a new way to look at old evidence that changes the amount guilt or innocence. To think you can be sure for all time about a set of events, even if you were there, is just wrong. If we replace reasonable doubt with no doubt at all then No one would be convicted of anything.

cortic··on Facebook says I'm abusive content [video]
I'm sorry, i actually had £20k, and just changed it to $ without converting; £20k is about what a 'Accounts Administrator' earns (https://uk.jobted.com/salary). So that's about $28k which is about 3.5 billion, or about 18% of their 2020 profits. Still very reasonable, most businesses have to put more than half their turnover into wages..
cortic··on Facebook says I'm abusive content [video]
126,000 people, assuming a $20,000 annual salary, would be 2.5 billion, or 12.5% of youtubes revenue in 2020. That seems more than reasonable.

And when you consider only flagged videos should *need* to be watched by a human.

cortic··on Was cancer less likely in a pre-industrial world?
>How did they manage without chiropractors?

We've always had charlatans pretending to have solutions to our problems before chiropracty and homeopathy, we had traveling salesmen peddling fish oil as a cure-all and of course the power of prayer.

Not sure if it speaks to the gullibility of humanity or craftiness of private enterprise.

cortic··on Eating sardines regularly helps prevent type 2 diabetes
>The fact that foods such as sardines - which are rich in taurine, omega 3, calcium and vitamin D - have a clear protective effect against the onset of diabetes does not mean that taking these supplements in isolation will have the same effect.

The only way i can understand this statement it that Rizzolo doubts that anything in the sardines are actually affecting type 2 diabetes. So perhaps the oily taste is suppressing apatite for 'sweet' and decreasing the patients sugar intake (decreasing them cheating on their diet).

Anyway a 152 patients study is not very conclusive, in larger studies there may not be any effect there at all.

cortic··on Google can ban your Android app if they think you’ve clicked on your own ads
Namecheap are not very cheap, and they basically stole a domain from me last year by freezing my account randomly and requiring a cam-show on an unrecognized domain where i was to put my credit card on cam to verify i was myself.. i tried contacting them, as it sounded sketchy, but the deadline ran out before they replied. They refunded some of my money and kept my domain.
cortic··on Google can ban your Android app if they think you’ve clicked on your own ads
Good service, but their stupid whois privacy guard email system means you would need to turn privacy off to transfer a domain away from them, that always put me off.
cortic··on Bitcoin mining hash rate drops as blackouts instituted in China
>How is Bitcoin a boon to renewables?

It isn't, but it could be. If we had proper taxes on carbon emissions; The cheapest power would always be from renewables, bitcoin miners would invest in renewable energy which would make it cheaper in the long run as mass production scales with demand.

Energy efficiency is not important in carbon neutral energy production, and in fact can stifle development and raise prices making fossil fuels more attractive.

cortic··on Bitcoin mining hash rate drops as blackouts instituted in China
The ability to turn electricity into money is not the problem, or if it is, then lump all of modern endeavors in capitalism alongside of Bitcoin.

The problem is we (the world) are not effectively taxing carbon emissions. Right now it should be unprofitable to use coal or oil energy. If this was done right, Bitcoin would be a massive stimulus to renewables.

cortic··on Contaminated surface has under 1 in 10k chance of causing an infection
Those number are for the first 3 days. As i said i do not live alone.
cortic··on Contaminated surface has under 1 in 10k chance of causing an infection
48 million to one lottery odds, running everyday I'd expect to win once in the next 131,506 years (48m/356). -this is why you don't win for 'years'. I'd also expect one winner for every 48 million players in a day.

Now a 1/10k taken twice is 2/10k, so taken 14 thousand times it is 14k/10k. Okay so this isn't technically how you add statistics, but its close enough to see the utility in washing items.

cortic··on Contaminated surface has under 1 in 10k chance of causing an infection
A 23% chance of a 1 in 10,000 chance thing happening every 14,400 chances? That can't be right.
cortic··on Contaminated surface has under 1 in 10k chance of causing an infection
Maybe its not that accurate to count it that way, but 1 in 10,000 would mean to the layman that every 10,000 times you do this you should expect 1 case of C19, and i do this at least 720 times at every delivery. With more than 20 deliveries through the pandemic last year i have potentially touched 14,400 contaminated items which would practically guarantee a case of C19. Now i know not all of these would be contaminated, but i don't know which or how much. And since delivery drivers in my area rarely wear masks even at the house, i don't have a high amount of confidence in any delivered items.

-To be honest i massively underestimated how often i touch some of these items in the first few days, coffee jars alone get touched 40+ times, jam and butter 12+, bread 18+, diluting squash 14+.

cortic··on Contaminated surface has under 1 in 10k chance of causing an infection
I sanitize the items in the garage, as i fill a sanitized crate, then my hands, then lift them into the house. Its quick and easy, it also allows me to reduce contact with the driver.

To be honest i massively underestimated how often i touch some of these items in the first few days, coffee jars alone get touched 40+ times, jam and butter 12+, bread 18+, diluting squash 14+. even if i wash my hands after stowing away and subtract that number I'd probably be left with an average number of touches well over 6 after stowing.

cortic··on Contaminated surface has under 1 in 10k chance of causing an infection
120 items on my average delivery, assuming a driver or stacker is infected that could mean every item is contaminated. I touch them 1-2 times to put them away, 3-4 times as i open and use the items.. So that could be 720 'touches', and that may be cheating as i am counting my many fingers as 1 and i don't live alone. So each contaminated delivery could risk infection as much as 1 in 14 (10,000/720). Through this pandemic i have had 21 deliveries. The twenty minutes it takes to wash them seems a very reasonable precaution.
cortic··on Florida state of emergency with millions of gallons of “radioactive wastewater”
The owners of Chernobyl (the government) didn't declare bankruptcy and piss off, they spent massive moneys containing the problem. So, socialize profits, socialize losses.

Trying to stop catastrophes from happening needs regulation and incentives, both of these things are broken in capitalism by its nature. But its not impossible to have regulation and incentives in either capitalist or socialist projects.

cortic··on Marketplace flagged over 800 social media posts with Covid-19 misinformation
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-55045639

In the UK the advice is still "Vaccination should only be considered for pregnant women when the potential benefits outweigh any potential risks." Whatever the hell that means, goes on to say "There are no specific safety concerns with the vaccines - but they were not tested on pregnant women."

Neither the BBC nor yourself are explaining why the immune system would not attack the protein its being told to attack in the body, or pointing to any large studies including pregnant women taking the vaccine and the rates of miscarriage.. Either of these things would be valuable.

cortic··on Marketplace flagged over 800 social media posts with Covid-19 misinformation
>Claims that vaccines cause sterility

This is the issue with misinformation, its usually based on a legitimate concern that was suppressed instead of answered; There was an issue with a protein in placental? tissue being similar to the spike protein, this is why the vaccine isn't recommended for pregnant women unless they are at high risk.

Now the layman knows the spike teaches the immune system what to attack, and puts two and two together, and assumes the vaccine will make all women sterile. I would love to put this argument down when i see it, but no one has explained why this isn't the case.. so I'm left with "surly they wouldn't do that" which is not a compelling argument.

cortic··on How We’ll Know an AI Is Conscious
*My choices and everything i will do in my life is either Newtonian, and so was decided long before i was born. Or random and so not within my control. -The only issue we have with this statement is the definition of 'my' becomes difficult to pin down.

So of-course, replicate my cells and their states and you replicate 'me', in every sense of the word. In fact since none of the atoms in my body were there 20 years ago i have replicated myself, a few times in my life.

An algorithm with changing perimeters produces different results, a stroke just changes the parameters like any other event, the information in the brain is the result of the algorithm and the iterative basis of the algorithm moving forward in time.. that is what intelligence is, artificial or natural (which itself is semantics).

cortic··on How We’ll Know an AI Is Conscious
We are basically an algorithm. In fact we are an 'information' algorithm on top of an instance of a genetic algorithm. AI is the same, an 'information' algorithm on top of an instance of a hardware algorithm.

The selection process that makes up the rules of the outer algorithm and start position of the inner can be said to be different but this is semantics.

So if you are right and an algorithm can never ever gain 'consciousness' as we define it, then we are not conscious.

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