(Because they are my private RSA keys)
325 karma · joined April 30, 2025
(Because they are my private RSA keys)
(I'll caveat that by saying I think machine learning fundamentals are useful for evaluating any estimator. And an ML background can be good to give one an appreciation of how hard some tasks are to estimate, such as machine translation, summarization, code generation, and others)
This is a very startling admission! I checked the Chinese (original?) version of the post, and saw the author uses the word "糊弄" (in the place of "faked"); I'm not a native speaker but I think this may come across more as a self-effacing comment on the low quality and/or effort behind their thesis, whereas the English version implies fraud. May be wise to change this!
Odd times we are living in!
> Fable 5 has safety measures that flag messages on most cybersecurity or biology topics. They may flag safe, normal content as well. These measures let us bring you Mythos-level capability in other areas sooner, and we're working to refine them. Send feedback or learn more.
Perhaps Mythos realizes the true danger in studying Chinese Archaeoastronomy that we mere mortals fail to recognize!
Fable blew me away with its detailed answer[0] showing a chain of references going from J. E. Bode's 1801 catalogue Allgemeine Beschreibung und Nachweisung der Gestirne to Gustave Schlegel's 1875 work Uranographie Chinoise. I was excited, until I checked scanned copies of the cited books and did not actually find any star with the designation "4339 Camelopardi".
Upon following up with Claude, I was forced to downgrade to Opus, which admitted that Fable's answer was likely a hallucination. Ah, well!
[0]: https://claude.ai/share/0252a3f6-3d29-4de8-a893-010181d8b4e7
It's really crazy that the most valuable companies in the world are suddenly allowing or even encouraging their employees to run programs whose entire functionality is undefined behavior right on their work computers, with access to important credentials and proprietary source code.
The stories make me wonder if Argentina is a cloning hotspot, though I may be reading too much into two stories.
To be clear, your observation that "they changed their definition of what constitutes a sev-0" is based just on your external observation of incidents and their designations, correct? I.e. they haven't officially released a statement saying they have changed their standards
Is it possible that there has been a change in the way the data are collected/recorded that even partially accounts for this sudden onset?
https://www.pangram.com/history/d06c8513-9ee3-4a1d-b02f-c1ec...
I don't see how the author is arriving at this ">99% chance" purely from the numbers provided in the article. Assuming the first (banned IP) seed and the second seed are both in the range 0.4423 - 0.4358 (a stronger assumption than is justified by the example), all this tells us is that the first and second IP addresses both have seeds in a range that would contain 0.4423 - 0.4358 = 0.65% of all Mullvad users, which 0.0065 * 100,000 = 650 users. We've eliminated >99% of users as "suspects", but we haven't actually gotten >99% accuracy in identifying an individual across multiple exit IPs.
In more Bayesian thinking, the overlap in potential seeds is great evidence to think these IP addresses represent one and the same person (or Mullvad VPN account at least), but as far as I can tell, that's not what the author is saying.
Probably a foolish question, but wouldn't there be some unavoidable loss of brightness to the transmitted light, unless the structured color somehow "knows" to transmit light in one direction and reflect it in the other direction (which seems impossible given that it is printed by an inkjet)?
Is it because they didn't want Tab to be both an input and a control character? I.e. there are some cases where you can type a Tab into an input field, and there are other cases where you can't, and it's not immediately obvious which ones are which?
All the way in 2026, I would still be sympathetic to this view.
The post title on 2026-04-18 (when this HN post was made) did not include this qualification:
https://web.archive.org/web/20260418153857/https://blog.cali...
> Population weighted density refers to the density multiplied by the actual number of people living in each area, and more closely reflects the density that people experience.
One indication of this is that they give a different value for London's population density (9.2k / km^2) than you do.
> La información habla tanto de bloqueos de dominios, URLs y de direcciones IP, caso este último que, cuando se produce, afecta a servicios legítimos si se trata de direcciones pertenecientes a servicios CDN como Cloudflare.
Another casualty of the centralized internet of our time
I know the author isn't claiming this is definitive evidence, but I think it's so comically weak it is probably not worth mentioning at all.
This is also an example of a plural suffix ("-等") which the post author paints as English/Western influence (specifically "-们")