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chasd00

10,008 karma · joined June 28, 2017

You can reach me at chasd00 at gmail
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chasd00··on 10-year Treasury yield climbs above 5.3% to a level not seen in 24 years
There are more 401k millionaires now than ever before. I wonder if in 20-25 years decrease in SS payout will be more palatable as people rely on other, far more valuable, retirement accounts.

On the other hand, I’ve been paying into ss for like 3 decades easy. Bitch better have my money!

chasd00··on The last time my family was replaced by technology
> It does feel a bit like building on quicksand

that's a good analogy and puts into words the way i've always felt about software development. Every so often the entire industry rolls over into something new. I've been here 30 years now and, in my experience, the skill that counts is being able learn new skills. To go back to the analogy, to build something new on top of what you've built in the past before everything is swallowed by the quicksand.

chasd00··on The last time my family was replaced by technology
There's always exceptions. To not beat a dead horse(hah!) in Texas you can still find people on horseback in the drive through line at Starbucks from time to time.
chasd00··on The last time my family was replaced by technology
reality tv star on something like real housewives. I think AI/robotics would have a hard time being that irrational and illogical consistently. That behavior is pretty unique to humans.
chasd00··on Pi.dev: You Said No MCP
I was watching something on YouTube last night and it really reminded me of informercials from the 80s/90s. Imagine trying to divine actual useful information about business, technology, and industry from infomercials..
chasd00··on NASA asked several former SR-71A staffers to help secret restart
Heh this sounds like someone’s passion project that is high enough up the food chain to demand it be done. I wouldn’t put it past Trump to flip through some old photos and then order NASA to restore the aircraft. I would take time off work and travel to see an SR-71 fly again but it doesn’t seem like the wisest use of NASA’s already too small budget.
chasd00··on California farmers are struggling to sell grapes as demand for wine drops
In the US Gen Z doesn't drink because of social isolation. Drinking was always a social thing and drinking alone has a stigma associated with it. Also, THC use has become much more socially acceptable and that has replaced a lot of alcohol use.
chasd00··on Claude partial outage
yeah this was the devops promise too. Enterprise evolved into dedicated teams to manage AWS and other infra, instead of reducing headcount it raised it. so it goes.
chasd00··on OpenAI Says It Will Not Release Newest A.I. Model Over Safety Concerns
> Sure Sama is a chronic liar, and maybe this is a farce

I’m not sure which logical fallacy this is but you’re not helping your case.

chasd00··on OpenAI Says It Will Not Release Newest A.I. Model Over Safety Concerns
Free Astra! Justice for Astra!
chasd00··on Kids turned low-traffic NPR Spotify comments into a secret group chat
i think that's a meme. My youngest says this and follows it with "how does a missile know where it is? it knows where it is because it knows where it isn't..." and on and on and on and on.

so exhausting to listen to this but i think this is where he and his crew gets it. https://youtu.be/bZe5J8SVCYQ

chasd00··on Kids turned low-traffic NPR Spotify comments into a secret group chat
My kids and their friends certainly spend a lot of time trying to get things to work. My 16 year old found some vpn client he could get running on his school laptop but he can only get past the filters by connecting to a particular gateway outside the United States (i have no idea how he figured out a client that can work nor the IP to connect to). He also showed me how he takes a thermos, puts his phone in it, pads with paper towels and then drops that in his lunch bag. When they go through the metal detectors and bag inspection (yes, includes lunch bags) they shake the thermos, nothing rattles around, and clear him through. Now he has his phone at lunch.

His HS (Townview SEM in Dallas) is ridiculous and run by less than the best to put it mildly so I don't really mind as long as he handles up on grades. heh once i was dropping him off to a line of about 50 kids standing in the rain in maybe 40F weather waiting to go through the metal detector. We went to a coffee shop instead.

chasd00··on Kids turned low-traffic NPR Spotify comments into a secret group chat
my son did this in 8th grade (last year) but I think it was a google slide deck. The teach asked all the kids in class to do a slide or something and then he figured out review comments or something and they all started a group chat more or less. I can't quite remember but he was very proud of himself when he showed me hah.
chasd00··on SpaceX's Starship launching to orbit for first time ever today
> You will also be able to use from your phone quite soon

This, I think, is a much bigger deal than a lot of people realize. A global telephone provider that works in the middle of the ocean or in the middle of the dessert or pretty much anywhere on the planet. The simplification to international travel alone would be worth switching.

chasd00··on SpaceX's Starship launching to orbit for first time ever today
If Starship can self-fund its own development then there's no reason for it to be cancelled, it's making money and an asset to SpaceX. The only way to absolutely guarantee no desirable/valuable outcome of the program is to cancel it. So i would say the question of whether that development leads somewhere desirable/valuable is now irrelevant (from a financial survival perspective). The only direction for the value of Starship to go now is up.

Don't forget, there are no politicians involved here. No election cycle for teams to switch and cancel the other side's work out of spite. SpaceX is only beholden to its shareholders.

chasd00··on SpaceX's Starship launching to orbit for first time ever today
My favorite headline so far "SpaceX's Starship reaches orbit for the first time, then returns early and blows up in a fiery explosion" - livescience.com. So many people when faced with a SpaceX success just can't stand it. It's getting comical.
chasd00··on SpaceX's Starship launching to orbit for first time ever today
> Starship wouldn't be a very effective missile IMO.

that's putting it mildly, a war where ICBMs are used would be over before they could get the road closed to roll Starship and a booster to the pad...

chasd00··on SpaceX's Starship launching to orbit for first time ever today
> skeptic would claim their engines can’t take a real launch payload weight.

full duration full throttle burns of Raptor3 are common and I'm pretty sure a part of qc for each new engine anyway. Payload weight doesn't strain the engines, once they're throttled at 100% then they're throttled at 100% no matter how much or how little payload there is.

chasd00··on The problem is not AI code, but not knowing about system architecture or intent
> I can't read the source code since it's 8 million lines of code and written in a programming language I don't know and in a language I don't speak.

^ This is the real world. Some comments talked about how maintainability is king and you just can't keep a mental model together of what the LLM produced. In real life software there is no single person with a mental model of how the system works end to end. In the most ideal scenario you have an architecture diagram, some readme's, and a runbook of how to use the system or get it running in a dev environment. Everything else is manually tracing through mountains of code of wildly varying quality.

coding harnesses are god sent tools when it comes to analysis and maintainability of existing code bases (including code they have produced).

chasd00··on The problem is not AI code, but not knowing about system architecture or intent
> because they’ll pull ahead, but if I can stay in the game until years 2 and 3…

well as you said, the market will decide in the end. You may be even further behind in years 2 and 3. btw, we're already in "year 2 or 3" territory for some, i wonder how those companies are doing vs their competitors who adopted AI full throttle?

chasd00··on SpaceX's Starship launching to orbit for first time ever today
I use to watch the nasaspaceflight and everyday astronaut streams but the official one is best for the actual launch. The other two are good for the commentary because if you ask a question in the chat they’ll sometimes answer it.
chasd00··on AI companies in race to demonstrate their model most threatening to humanity
I’ve never seen CEOs work so hard to make the public aware of how dangerous and out of control their flagship product is. It makes me automatically assume they’re scheming about something else like regulatory capture to protect their market.
chasd00··on Tells of a Slop UI
Even better would be some UI expert come up with an application interface for 10 common use cases. Then, give that to a group of designers, say it’s AI generated, and ask them to point out AI tells.
chasd00··on Ask HN: Who's still keeping a DOS machine up because the business depends on it?
This was one of the promises of Java. You write your application and then you get a virtual machine (JVM). As time goes on you only maintain the virtual machine while the application remains the same.
chasd00··on Excel now supports multiple values in a single cell
It’s a common pattern in enterprise IT to take a useful spreadsheet and turn it into an application. Without fail, they turn into a forever chase of excel features re-implemented (and poorly) on some front end. Entire teams dedicated to features that would be two clicks away in excel ootb.
chasd00··on Zelensky says Russia has widened attacks to hit Ukraine's data centres
What Putin is feeling out is the very real possibility he uses a nuke on Kyiv or invades/attacks a NATO member and Europe just wrings their hands and turns away.

edit: there's no difference between launching a conventional cruise missile and one armed with a nuclear warhead. You'll only know after the attack not before.

chasd00··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
That article is ridiculous “More expensive tomorrow, more affordable today”. It reads like a predatory credit card offer and is full of what if’s.

High property taxes pushing down the sales price of a house does not help the buyer or seller. The buyer is going to pay the same, just more in taxes vs the loan, and the seller is going to get less because high taxes have reduced the value of their home.

chasd00··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
What if the person who owns the land is working class? That’s who property taxes hit the hardest, working class people with a mortgage.
chasd00··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
Drive through New Mexico, there’s a lot of land.
chasd00··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
Isn’t California one of the richest states in the richest nation? Does that government really need more revenue?
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