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ceejayoz

96,690 karma · joined September 23, 2010

Mastodon: @chris@ceejayoz.io

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/ceejayoz.io

Email: chris@ceejayoz.io

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ceejayoz··on Returning from vacation? The government can search your phone without a warrant
Plenty will say yes. We know this.

One of the Constitution's big failings is this sort of thing; deeply vague wording. What counts as interstate commerce? What counts as reasonable? What's considered press activity? What's considered illegal speech?

If you were writing a new one today, you'd define some stuff more.

ceejayoz··on Returning from vacation? The government can search your phone without a warrant
> In other words, now it's as likely to get your phone searched as in 2020.

Do you think these are random searches?

ceejayoz··on Before pixels: Modular industrial dashboards
One of my kiddos loved SnapCircuits. Similar, but more kid friendly.

https://elenco.com/snapcircuits/

ceejayoz··on Burning Man death rates – A short lesson in statistics
> It was basically a group-think public lynching…

You’ve essentially described the ending of every Survivor episode.

> they certainly wouldn’t have safety concerns as grown up (mostly) men from a small girl

I take it you’ve never had to contain a raging toddler.

ceejayoz··on Burning Man death rates – A short lesson in statistics
> degeneracy… literally sodom on earth

> like a public lynching

> all hyper liberal... the types that cannot help but judge individuals based on whether they’re in their group on not

I'm starting to wonder what "some normal thing you did" entailed.

ceejayoz··on Dots: Always-on agents
You'd have to block the conversation itself for that to be meaningful. Which would lead to a not very useful conversation.
ceejayoz··on U.S. postal inspectors shut down website selling counterfeit postage labels
Incompetence can result in cases that don't go to trial, though.
ceejayoz··on GPT-6.1 Sol replaces GPT-6 Sol after just 7 days, with near-Astra intelligence
Not every problem is best addressed by a top engineer.

Plenty of the tasks that keep a company running can benefit from good-enough (and better than the competition).

ceejayoz··on NASA asked several former SR-71A staffers to help secret restart
> It sounds like a clown-show…

Well, the President wants to redesign the Navy to look "cool" - battleships, carriers with steam catapults again and center islands. Why not the Air Force too?

ceejayoz··on Claude partial outage
I'm sure they run every model they can get their hands on in internal clusters.
ceejayoz··on Claude partial outage
They likely also have dedicated and separate clusters for their own use.
ceejayoz··on Israel Keeps Expanding into Gaza Despite Cease-Fire, Satellite Images Show
Iran both lacks the capability and has been heavily sanctioned for decades for their actions.
ceejayoz··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
> You made my point for me, thank you.

If your point is "we can't tax people because estimates aren't perfect", sure. But it's a silly point. We already tax people off estimates - if you own a house, your property taxes are assessed in exactly this fashion - an estimate of its value.

> It was "public knowledge" when his estimated net worth hit a trillion.

No. It was public knowledge when his known numbers of shares in his publicly traded companies reached a known price point.

ceejayoz··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
> For example, Tesla shares owned by Elon don't have the same value if Elon is leaving, they are less worthy.

This is, ironically, more of a guess/estimate than determining Musk's net worth is. We don't actually know that!

ceejayoz··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
It has its own Wikipedia article.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_of_Elon_Musk

That the estimates vary a bit on the edges doesn't mean they've no value. It was public knowledge when his net worth confirmably hit a trillion dollars in share holdings.

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
> Even accepting the notion that a small NASA pay-for-performance program = "subsidy" = Falcon 1 (with Musk throwing his entire $100 million fortune into starting a cockamamie rocket startup despite having zero experience in the field having absolutely nothing to do with the rocket meeting the program's goals, of course), name the subsidies that resulted in Falcon 9, in vertical-landing Falcon 9, in Dragon, in Crew Dragon, in Starship, in Starlink, in Starshield.

Again: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subsidy

"Subsidies take various forms, such as direct government expenditures, tax incentives, soft loans, price support, and government provision of goods and services."

Tesla received low-interest loans (and tax credits for their customers). SpaceX was given funds (that'll be "direct government expenditures") to develop the Falcon 9, Cargo Dragon, and Crew Dragon (and now the lunar lander). Those funds were not conditional on completion of the program (as we've seen with Starliner); they were R&D funding in milestones in hopes of a functional spacecraft at the end.

> with Musk throwing his entire $100 million fortune into starting a cockamamie rocket startup despite having zero experience in the field having absolutely nothing to do with the rocket meeting the program's goals, of course

Again with the strawmen.

"You got subsidies" and "you had nothing to do with the success" are wildly different statements. You can be both an extremely hard worker and supergenius and still need government support for your very expensive good idea.

> Your implication is that every single thing Musk and Musk's companies are doing today—Dragon, Crew Dragon, Falcon 9, Starship, xAI, Tesla, etc., etc.—are "subsidized"—again, with the "sacks of free money with dollar signs painted on them" connotation—because of that Falcon 1 program two decades ago.

No, the opposite. Falcon 1 is the single least subsidized part of it. It was the one big bit Musk completely self-funded.

They demonstrated an ability to get to orbit (after almost going bankrupt), which gave NASA the confidence to subsidize them in a larger project.

Please, read, then react to it.

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
> many, many people are going to take away from that that "Musk received $38 billion in grants, gifts, and otherwise free money from taxpayers"

Maybe you're projecting your own beliefs about government subsidizing things a little on other people. The government made a risky bet; that's one of the important things governments exist for. Sometimes they pay off (SpaceX), sometimes they don't (Starliner).

Perhaps the next time someone correctly notes SpaceX got subsidized you might lead with the clear positive cost savings you eventually defended them with?

> What was your purpose in insta-citing that article…

It was the first reputable source that came up in Google? It gives several specifics that directly match the Wikipedia definition of a subsidy?

> because of that Falcon 1 program two decades ago

Falcon 1 got them the subsidies. It was the most unsubsidized part of SpaceX!

> If believing that makes you feel better about the accomplishments of someone you admit to greatly disliking, congratulations.

I can be a big SpaceX fan and still wish the man running it hadn't gotten brainworms.

> And before you deny doing so, you are the one who wrote…

Why would I deny that? I asserted Starlink has been subsidized, and stand by that claim. I'd thought we'd settled that point handily by now.

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
And in retaliation, you pretend the meaning of "subsidy" is some deep unknowable thing instead of a pretty clear dictionary definition for a while?
ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subsidy

> A subsidy, subvention or government incentive is a type of government expenditure which redistributes from tax payers to individuals, households, or businesses. Subsidies take various forms, such as direct government expenditures, tax incentives, soft loans, price support, and government provision of goods and services.

SpaceX benefited from the italicized items in this definition.

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
> You and I, and everyone else, knows what "Musk got subsidies" means to the mentally reddited of the world…

That he should be grateful for the taxpayers support? That government interventions can, at times, be highly successful?

Do you base every conversation on "what would the dumbest Redditor think"?

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
> By that logic, every US university with federal funding is being subsidized à la Musk.

That is correct.

> Every small business that gets an SBA loan—the type of low-interest loan that the Post article highlights—is being subsidized.

Yes.

> Meanwhile, in addition to Boeing being paid substantially much for its half of the program, the company received a $300 million special, uncontracted payment in 2016 (not disclosed until 2019) to further accelerate development.

"Boeing is subsidized" is not a controversial statement.

> On the civilian side, SpaceX saved NASA $2 billion for just one payload

Yes, this is why we do subsidies - they (potentially) pay off. We subsidize healthcare for poor people because it saves us money in the long run. We subsidize infrastructure because it helps the economy. We subsidize critical manufacturers for national security reasons.

How is it you're reading "x is subsidized" - a simple fact - to mean "subsidizing x is bad" - a matter of opinion that varies from subsidy to subsidy and company to company?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subsidy

"A subsidy, subvention or government incentive is a type of government expenditure which redistributes from tax payers to individuals, households, or businesses. Subsidies take various forms, such as direct government expenditures, tax incentives, soft loans, price support, and government provision of goods and services."

ceejayoz··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
What asset's value doesn't change?

A painting can be valued. A vintage car can be valued. A movie script can be valued. My house's value changed a bunch during COVID; I'm still taxed on it! Each is an asset; none of these examples can be perfectly valuated; each may see its value change dramatically over time, but you can still estimate its worth pretty well.

Hell, I can put my house address on Zillow and get an estimate in real time.

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/interactive/2025/e...

You're correct that "we'll pay you to launch this satellite" isn't a subsidy. But "we'll pay you to develop this satellite launcher, and this cargo capsule, and this crew capsule, with the explicit goal of kickstarting a new launch provider" is.

Things like the EV tax credit also apply, considering Musk has leveraged his Tesla holdings to help SpaceX at times.

And to be clear: this was a very good use of public funds, whatever I think of Musk these days.

ceejayoz··on Google’s Project Suncatcher to put ML infrastructure in space
> Starlink didn't get any subsidies.

If you don't count the launcher it rides on, and the company that owns both.

ceejayoz··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
Mitch McConnell's?
ceejayoz··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
https://www.google.com/search?q=%24TSLA

C'mon, man. We know Musk's net worth. It's public knowledge!

ceejayoz··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
> Assets are real, but not the valuation of them.

Valuing assets is a routine, widespread thing.

You can't just handwave away the fact that the real world exists.

ceejayoz··on Toyota is taking the Corolla electric
Temperature? Music? Defroster?
ceejayoz··on Toyota is taking the Corolla electric
They've been making concept cars that entire 20 year period.

They just get completely watered down for production. As will happen here. That's why they're concepts.

ceejayoz··on Unknown number of Texas voter registrations went unprocessed due to DPS error
Yep, they can do that.

Nothing says the 1996 law can't be undone (as it's not an amendment), and states can permit noncitizen voting outside of the Federal context if they feel like it. That's Federalism for you.

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