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caconym_

6,281 karma · joined April 15, 2016

I am a professional software engineer and amateur fiction writer. I work for $CORPORATION. All views expressed here are my own.
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caconym_··on Driver Ticketed for No Insurance Just Because Flock (YC 2017) Said She Didn't
> Didn't those all involve major crimes?

I'm not sure about all, but many did (at least, a serious crime was alleged), which is why I described them as "far worse examples". But they are examples of the same pattern (cops blindly trusting the surveillance oracle), so severity of the alleged infraction/crime apparently won't protect you in either direction.

caconym_··on Driver Ticketed for No Insurance Just Because Flock (YC 2017) Said She Didn't
> Why is the "scrap of paper" a problem now

You misunderstand. I am attempting to present the situation from the point of view of a hypothetical police officer, especially one who may be motivated to view the information in front of him in a certain way that will justify him writing a ticket.

> if the cop thinks it's fake they can call the insurance company and confirm

I expect that the cop in question would not have been willing to do this, if asked to.

> In Georgia, where one of the incidents took place, the cops can lookup insurance status in real-time

I expect that the cop in question had no interest in doing this, or in divulging to the victim that he had the capability to (if, indeed, he was aware of the possibility himself).

Neither of the former two facts is good, but they are facts nonetheless, and holding the officer in question accountable for the error or related broader misconduct will have no preventative effect, because it's impossible to hold American police officers accountable in any meaningful way (i.e. a way that serves as a deterrent in future situations).

---

The first part of the point I'm trying to make is that if we give cops access to surveillance software that purports to tell them whether or not somebody is driving with insurance, they're inevitably going to treat that data as ground truth in many cases. It doesn't matter that you think this officer should have taken the paper as authoritative, or gone to these other sources to verify it: he failed the test and trusted Flock instead, because Flock is a slick commercial product consciously designed to make its users trust it and use it more and rely on it more.

Saying 100% of the blame lies with the cop here (as the comment I originally replied to does) is pretty similar to saying 100% of the harm resulting from teenagers getting addicted to social media is their own fault, and the tech companies who designed their platforms to be addictive to teenagers and chased growth at any cost are blameless. Why don't the kids simply not use social media? It's so easy! Personal responsibility!

The difference is that in the case of cops and Flock (etc.), the harm is turned outwards onto other innocent people.

caconym_··on Driver Ticketed for No Insurance Just Because Flock (YC 2017) Said She Didn't
The thing you need to realize is that reality is the way it is and as a result cops are going to behave the way they do and there's nothing we can do about it in the near to mid term. You appear to think what the cop did here is stupid, and that means you think many cops are stupid, because we've seen far worse examples of "surveillance platform trumps reality according to cop" stories in the news recently. And if you think cops are stupid in this particular way then it would be hard not to agree with me as far as: they can not, in aggregate, be trusted with access to surveillance tools whose outputs are not 100% reliable.

So whose responsibility really is that? Should the governments that purchase surveillance tools, and the companies that sell them, be held accountable for the (predictable) harms they enable? Or should we ignore them, ignore the fact that we all knew this was going to happen and the fact that it keeps fucking happening, and just blame the individual cops? (which, as we all know, amounts to nothing.)

The fabric of our society continues to be eroded by these big moneyed interests because we (the public, the parts of our government that are supposed to protect us from predation) continually and happily swallow all the disingenuous mealy-mouthed bullshit they spew to deflect past, present, and future responsibility for predictable harms. If we keep swallowing then we are headed for bad times. I am done swallowing.

caconym_··on Driver Ticketed for No Insurance Just Because Flock (YC 2017) Said She Didn't
Why should a police officer trust a scrap of paper somebody could easily have faked vs. a massive networked software system that claims to have the up to date ground truth? What if, for instance, the victim got her insurance cards and then stopped making her monthly payments?

(Incidentally, I assume paper insurance cards will cease to be considered valid before too long, and handing your unlocked phone to a cop will be coercively normalized.)

Cops aren't intellectually inclined (or equipped, for that matter) to second guess a surveillance tool that's showing them an unequivocal answer to a question. This is 100% on Flock for selling a tool to users they know won't reliably question its output, despite whatever bullshit CYA terms and conditions come attached to it, and then failing to ensure that its output is correct.

caconym_··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
None of the things named in your comment, on either side of the line, really matter.

Reading, writing, and critical thinking skills matter. You don't have to "write structured interpretations of 1950s texts [you] have no emotional connection to" or practice "handwriting, and reading stuffy texts from front to end" to develop those skills (very loaded language, nice job!), but you have to put a lot of time into doing something, ideally somethings, where you're the one doing the heavy intellectual lifting.

Or, we can just write these kids off as a generation incapable of thinking or building by themselves without AI tools that do the thinking and building for them. Honestly, it's probably already too late. The way we've allowed kids of all ages to be exposed to these tools is basically equivalent to handing out cartons of cigarettes in a preschool.

caconym_··on Global bond yields hit 2008 highs, raising stakes for big borrowers
Sounds like a self-fulfilling prophecy. If you draw a line between capital and consumers, and the latter are so tightly squeezed as a result of the "privilege" imbalance that they can barely afford housing, health care, child care, etc., how do you expect them to engage in entrepreneurship? How do you expect them to efficiently allocate their labor?

Meanwhile we see an absurd consolidation of capital that leaves consumers with fewer and fewer choices for basic products and services, allowing capital to make those products and services worse and more extractive. Rinse and repeat. The contempt for consumers and attitude that capital should be "privileged" manifests in our government's total indifference to the former's plight, despite the well known fact that they are the engine of our economy.

How do you think it's going?

caconym_··on OpenAI’s Navier-Stokes release included a Lean 4 formal proof
I really truly honestly am not sure what to make of this result from $20M in compute, 10K+ parallel agents (smells like brute force), and a pre-existing approach that was already bearing fruit. I know the models are good---I use them every day and continue to be impressed---but how much better than the benchmark of the best publicly available models is this supposed to be? It seems impossible to say.
caconym_··on AirPods 5
To be fair, I don't expect anything electronic to survive going through the wash unless it has hardcore waterproofing (eg a dive computer). I was pleasantly surprised by the way my airpods kept working.

I don't remember whether my first airpods were the gen1 pros or the gen2 pros, but you may have been a victim of early teething issues. I don't really have anything negative to say about the ones I've owned.

caconym_··on AirPods 5
> overengineered sound makers that breaks the moment you drop them.

Which ones are those? I've owned a couple of generations of airpods and dropped them probably hundreds of times (both in the case and out of it) and it has never had any detectable effect on their appearance or functionality. I even had a pair go through the wash and they still mostly worked afterwards (only issue was that the ANC performance was worse and slightly weird).

caconym_··on I resigned from Anthropic today
Some people claim Astra is significantly better than anything else and significantly more token-efficient, and others (like you) say it's meh and way more expensive to boot. I really don't know what to think.

Kind of a tangent, but one thing I am curious about is to what degree the Navier-Stokes result announced today was primarily a brute-forced result based on the 'program' previously established by researchers to find counterexamples (blowups), or whether the model actually added significant/novel intellectual value beyond its ability to run at arbitrary parallelism. With 10K agents and a staggering $15M in compute (IIRC), I am feeling like a lot of the former may have been involved, but I don't really understand either the problem or the approach (or, indeed, the solution).

Obviously the potential for parallelism and coordination between so many agents is quite scary by itself, but I think brute force by 10K mediocre AI mathematicians is much less scary than ~one AI mathematician reasoning its way through the problem where all human attempts have failed. It seems fairly obvious that massive parallelism lends itself to brute-force counterexample-finding, and I suspect it isn't a coincidence that most of the touted AI math results have been counterexamples.

It's all still quite scary, but coming full circle: I really don't know what to think.

caconym_··on Muse Spark 1.3
+1. I've used the recent Gemini Flash models and I've used Opus 5, and the latter makes the former look like a box of broken crayons. Unless Flash 3.8 and/or this Muse Spark model are a much bigger deal than people seem to think, I will eat my hat if either one can come close to Opus 5 in actual real life "long-horizon software engineering" tasks.

(I'm not happy about the above being true, but it's the reality I seem to inhabit.)

caconym_··on Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1
IMO it will work better in some contexts than in others. If rhythm isn't a concern then yes, it could always be omitted.
caconym_··on Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1
it got want to use em dash. but decide: do? q is if appropriate. check martian websner blog. verdict yes---emdash + comma interchangeable---proceed---judgment superficial however no desire dig deeper style irrelevant effect on reader irrelevant meter and rhythm irrelevant restate equivalence with comma established::chain unbroken::consider semicolon? consider ellipsis consider comma consider sentence break all no. preference for emdash est fiat. and all nail shapeds are for hammering.
caconym_··on Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1
Well, I disagree! https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49527581

It's fine in the sense that when a bad writer writes something I can usually understand what they're trying to say.

caconym_··on Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1
Emdashes and commas aren't interchangeable, and your example there demonstrates one great reason why. The emdash establishes a discontinuity rather than one thing flowing into another, which is why the tomatoes don't merit one but the Ferrari does: you are using the emdash to emphasize the situational irony.

Going back to Anthropic's post:

> They’re the world’s most advanced models for coding and knowledge work---and their research capabilities offer an early glimpse of how AI models will contribute to scientific progress.

The first thing directly implies and flows smoothly into the next---or would, if not for the awkward emdash. There is no discontinuity, no twist or shift in context, no implied question and provided answer, no punchline. It's just distracting.

caconym_··on Ubisoft's FOR HONOR will block SteamOS / Linux players starting September 10
You seem to be fixated on picking apart the wording of my original comment, so let me help you understand it:

> There are obviously few or no hard technical blockers preventing Valve and the Linux community from supporting any game that runs on Windows

'Few' there is doing a fair amount of work: it allows that some significant (or "hard" if you prefer) blockers may still exist (this is consistent with my own observations of game compatibility in aggregate). So your (implicit) insistence that I claimed there are no blockers is obviously nonsensical already. But, furthermore, I went on to say this:

> unless it's been specifically engineered to block Linux

Which precisely describes a game that previously worked on Linux, with anticheat even, but now has been updated to remove that compatibility! It also describes a game whose anticheat has been configured that way since launch.

Also, your implication that "hard technical blocker" and "not worth it to implement" are interchangeable is ridiculous in any scope, whether you're Valve deciding whether to commit tens or hundreds of man-years to Proton development or a one man shop considering a hacky workaround in a client's dated web framework.

You are just barking at the mailman. I'm done here unless you can respond to the actual substance and nuance of my comments rather than a strawman.

caconym_··on Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1
Yes, I know what an emdash is---I've been using them in my writing since long before they came to the fore of the AI writing conversation. Anthropic's use of the emdash in the fragment I quoted is clumsy and reads poorly relative to the obvious alternative, a comma.
caconym_··on Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1
> We’re introducing Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1. They’re the world’s most advanced models for coding and knowledge work—and their research capabilities offer an early glimpse of how AI models will contribute to scientific progress.

I'm not an emdash hater but this isn't how you use them. It should be a comma.

caconym_··on Ubisoft's FOR HONOR will block SteamOS / Linux players starting September 10
So your claim is that it's actually impossible to implement "efficient" anticheat on Linux? That's interesting. But it's not the same thing as "the cost of overcoming this technical blocker is presumed to be higher than the loss of revenue they're incurring from losing your business", so I am not quite sure what point your comment is supposed to be making.

If your point is simply that the publishers think this is a good business decision for them, that's obvious, because they're a business and they aren't going to make decisions they think are bad. But I am not sure how your muddled logic about feasibility feeds into that point.

caconym_··on Ubisoft's FOR HONOR will block SteamOS / Linux players starting September 10
Given how dogshit Windows 11 is, and how dogshit the Xbox-branded apps have consistently been in the last 10 years or so (it's genuinely impressive how bad they are), it's hard to see why a new Microsoft thing wouldn't have all the same problems. They just don't make software to serve the user anymore.
caconym_··on Ubisoft's FOR HONOR will block SteamOS / Linux players starting September 10
Same.

There are obviously few or no hard technical blockers preventing Valve and the Linux community from supporting any game that runs on Windows, unless it's been specifically engineered to block Linux, and publishers of those games will simply not be getting my money anymore. If Windows was still as pleasant and non-invasive as eg KDE Plasma on Cachy, it would be a different story, but I haven't used it in months (previously I did my desktop gaming in a windows VM) and the feeling of relief is almost tangible. Windows 11 is _so fucking bad_.

I understand that there may be some semi-legitimate arguments around anticheat, but a) not my problem, and b) back in the day we dealt with cheaters by having a persistent dedicated server community with admins ready to kick or ban. The publishers took that away from us.

caconym_··on Omarchy: Any User Process Can Escalate to Root
There's a segment of people who are into customizing their desktop environment as a hobby and end in itself.

Personally I've never really been into it, and these days I have a broad and revolving set of machines I have to use, so this sort of thing is absolutely not worth the bother. I just install KDE Plasma and use the computer.

caconym_··on No AI Fridays
I don't think this is true at all. If you don't have AI then either you build what you need to build and learn how to do it along the way, or you build nothing and learn nothing. There is no option to build something but learn nothing, but that's the default outcome with AI. To learn how to build something AI built for you, you need to build it again on your own, which I dare say very few AI users are doing for nontrivial projects.
caconym_··on Data centers raise nearby temperatures by up to 4 degrees in Phoenix
gives a whole new meaning to 'vertical integration'
caconym_··on License plate reader searches should require a warrant
> A difference in degree (of usefulness and speed), not in kind.

IIUC courts have signaled in several cases that this distinction matters to them, which is good, because it's such a vast difference in degree that it arguably does become a difference in kind.

Police require a warrant to attach a GPS tracker to your car, or to directly obtain your cell phone location records. Why should access to networked ALPRs that compile an equivalently granular record of your movements be treated any differently? IIUC it was this exact line of reasoning ("detailed, encyclopedic, and effortlessly compiled" data equivalent to GPS tracking, for which a precedent had already been established) that supported the decision that now requires warrants for cell phone data (in Carpenter v. United States). Extending the same logic to networked ALPR data would seem obvious if we had the same SCOTUS.

caconym_··on The SpaceX Sham
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49264831
caconym_··on The SpaceX Sham
My understanding based on reading first hand accounts is that very few people who tried for a retail allocation got anything close to what they asked for. Total retail allocation was apparently around 20% of the IPO.

Hard to get a few shares so you can say you have some? Probably not.

caconym_··on The SpaceX Sham
Worth noting that it actually opened at $150 on public markets. It's kind of funny how we call the $135 figure the "public offering" price when there is really nothing public about it. Maybe it made more sense in some past era when it was more difficult for third parties to make private pre-IPO investments.

Not that there's anything particularly unusual about this. High profile tech companies almost universally (actually I am not aware of any moderately recent exceptions at all) fall below the actual public opening price in the days or weeks following the IPO. I honestly don't know why anybody buys them.

caconym_··on Underwater oxygen loss threatens earth's stability, researchers warn
> Ozone hole? Not sure how much of that was cyclical vs in human control.

If you don't know, maybe you should look it up instead of touting your ignorance in a public discussion forum? Your ignorance is not noteworthy. And while you're at it, you can educate yourself on climate change and proposed solutions to it, too. You seem to be suffering from several significant misconceptions, likely because you're bought into a narrative spun out by political hacks with zero understanding of the relevant scientific principles/knowledge and a vested interest in never changing that.

caconym_··on Most Americans say "not in my backyard" to AI data centers
Yeah. IMO anyone arguing (explicitly or otherwise) that these facilities don't come with enormous negative externalities for people unlucky enough to live near them is either ignorant or being disingenuous. There is no need to lean on contentious minutiae like the water usage thing to show that this is true.

If AI development has such strategic urgency and importance that this desperate rapid expansion at any cost is reasonably justified on national security grounds, the government should be coordinating access to land and power and making people whole when their communities are impacted. Instead, you see unlucky everyday Americans left holding the bag while datacenter operators trick and bribe their way into building these projects and then run roughshod over regulations (e.g. how many open cycle gas turbines are you permitted to have running in your parking lot, mr. Musk?) because there is nobody willing to enforce them.

Honestly, any attempt to dismiss this all as groundless NIMBYism is unbelievably disgusting and makes me think that China and Russia are not the only parties running influence operations here. I do indeed see a strong push to frame the anti-datacenter position with weak/unsupported points (e.g. water usage) rather than strong and supported points (noise, electricity use, carbon footprint).

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