96 karma · joined August 9, 2017
But homeostatic awakening is continually underway, from 20th century discourse of technique and enframing to our modern drives for global sustainability. Would it not be wise to err on the side of caution, reaching for the stars at some slowest effective rate (Elons per millenium;) until we know more?
Another concern is civilization may execute both futures parallelly via splitting: where some 'elite' Gosper glider-like sets off from home planet, and the Gosper glider gun remains to reset the cycle. If collapse assumed this is your K shaped recovery.
The Fermi paradox does not overly worry me for some reason. Everything Is just so improbable really.
As other commenters have pointed out, interdependence is variously seen as preventing or leading to conflict. The former in the Liberalist school, when two countries both see war as too costly to their mutual interests. The latter in the Realist school, when interdependence is weaponized as a point of control or viewed as vulnerability.
The trade expectations model (Copeland) argues that high existing interdependence but declining expectations leads to conflict, while a statusquo that is relatively independent but with increasing expectations can be peace-inducing. I admit the expectations model is somewhat circular reasoning, cyclical really. Though it is statistically explanative of historical conflicts in the 19th and 20th century.
https://twitter.com/jeffdean/status/1524612819160735745?lang...
another paper toward Earth sized multi scale models (5 minutes)
>adversarial ideological positions ... on the topic of speech
my parse of this is:
"what you are permitted to say about the Overton window differs between countries"
I suppose we had long reached metalevel propagandizing.
https://webdocs.cs.ualberta.ca/~chinook/publications/solving...
I expect future battlelines being drawn around decentralized stablecoins. Tether is private and carries SPOF risk.
"They're saying.. 'Thanks for the fish'.
Please put tulip bubble in new context.
If you subscribe to emergentist theory of mind or integrated information theory of consciousness [3][4], compared to what comes, still a dissolute level of being.
There is an argument of telos here. [4] I like to think of it as a cosmic historical process. Is it circular or linear? Maybe the geometric metaphors are lacking.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collective_unconscious
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergentism
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integrated_information_theory
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teleological_argument
(Also the frontispiece on Hobbes' Leviathan is great visual representation of this old idea.)
Yeah. Sounds a lot like the dig-up-all-the-carbon-burn-then-bury-it-again civilizational project going on the past 100, and next 100 years.
What exactly was the purpose to "re-arranging small bits of matter near the surface of the earth" again? [1]
Basically I wanted to make a comment about greedy exploitation-exploration trade-off strategies here but will stop short at this kind of eliptical passing remark.
[1] paraphrasing Russell in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/In_Praise_of_Idleness_and_Othe... it is appropriate given current moment
Others' progress is our progress too.
Hello, I'm wondering how you calculated this figure
My guess is bury it somewhere else.
"Do not lose your faith. A mighty fortress is our mathematics." -Stanislaw Ulam
A PoData* for today could definitely have much written on ethics, and also epistemology and even metaphysics.
I wholeheartedly agree with your sentiment, SEP is an astrounding resource.
My point here is to say worth valued in effects viewed as secondary.
Compare contrast Lucian of Samosata's "True History", sometimes considered the prototypical sci-fi story, describes a lunar voyage borne on wind and water (I am reminded of a taller ladder to the moon),
"a waterspout suddenly came upon us, which swept the ship round and up to a height of some three hundred and fifty miles above the earth. She did not fall back into the sea, but was suspended aloft, and at the same time carried along by a wind which struck and filled the sails...it was an island with air for sea, glistening, spherical, and bathed in light"[2]
is it possible to recreate a running program from just it's source?
(lacking a compiler, development and production environments, and perhaps user inputs)
so my feeling is, not really, to an approximation
I'm happy for their team to go far this tournament as much as the next guy, but what in the world are you talking about?!