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GnuCash is solid. One thing that I love: I have full control over my data, and its stored as a simple xml (also supports SQLite, but why use more complex when simpler works just as well?)

I have a few (comparatively minor) complaints about GnuCash, but they're around UI. Things like: it would be nice to assign all matching (eg Regen) transactions to a selected account, and stuff like that.

But overall, having something that is A) simple and B) I control fully, beats everything else.

The principles of free software show, I guess.

It's interesting to imagine a world where the USA government would use these as weapons, mandating different content for allies vs enemies (like China uses tiktok).

Lots of people in Pakistan? Could be dangerous, let's feed them garbage and keep them in ignorance. Back home? Hide astrology entirely.

You have a point, but it still makes sense to report before tax performance. Before tax performance depends on model only, but after tax performance depends on model and the user. this website couldn't report that even if it wanted.

Seconding the sentiment <3

Thank you.

OT

There's a link to Trello. Trello is so incredibly slow, even on the app. Does anyone wanna suggest a lighter alternative?

Does this use OSM? Does anyone understand how to integrate your own data with OSM (like this project does) without having to actually add it to OSM?

> One of the most frustrating results I found is that A/B split tests often resolved into a winner within the sample size range we set; however if I left the split running over a longer period of time (eg a year) the difference would wash out.

Doesn't that just mean there's no difference? Why is that frustrating?

Does the frustration come from the expectation that any little variable might make a difference? Should I use red buttons or blue buttons? Maybe if the product is shit, the color of the buttons doesn't matter.

Sharing facts about Republicans is elections interference in the same way that reality has a liberal bias.

Question from a fellow European - Germany has conscription? What?

Yeah. As a European I feel humiliating how fumbling the EU has been to respond to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and feel glad that our American friends are around to pick up the slack even though I'd be happier if we didn't need them :-/ so thank you on behalf of my moronic continent.

In the same way that England isn't the UK, reddit isn't HN.

If you want to complain about a subreddit, go there.

Fortunately Enron Musk is here to defend free speech.

In practice this is just Goodhart's law itself. It's not distinct. In Goodhart's law

> when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure

If you ask someone "could you give me an example" you will see that in the example the measure that becomes a target is already a proxy. Even the example that the author presents, the good that cares a lot about testing its students... How does the school test its students? With exams. But that's already a proxy for testing students knowledge...

But overall excellent article.

No one is spending 900 on earth exploration.

You should watch some Russian media to see the stuff they say. I think you'd gain some appreciation for our side.

What a stupid comment. How much is spent on defense affects exactly nothing to the question of how much work can be done with 25bn

Submarine article placed by Cohere. Wtf is cohere.

As I said in a sibling comment, the interesting version of EMH is "all publicly available information is already incorporated in the price".

People who believe it to be false, also believe that "if I analyse all information about some stocks I might find some which are priced less than their intrinsic value, wait for everyone else to come to the same conclusion, and once the price has appreciated to intrinsic value, I can sell it"

People who believe it to be true believe that the above is futile, because whatever price you see is already the intrinsic value so every time you try and buy at discount youre actually unknowingly buying at intrinsic value, and so you make no profit on each buy.

I agree it's a good argument.

My point is that the argument "the underlying activity is already illegal so the things that make it possible shouldn't be ", is stupid. It comes from a place of ideology. The ideology of "let's organize everything as they should be, not how they are". So I presented a similar arguments (with guns) which I hoped everyone here would see is a good one. And you did, so task successful! :-)

I've only read the abstract. One thing I would like to read about is, if the phenomenon is real what's the mechanism for it. Is it that people on screen have the tendency to change tab to look at memes every other paragraph? Is it that they associate screens with entertainment, and even without acting on it the brain gets too lazy? Or what?

> and the difference you’re arbitraging isn’t decreasing

You literally said this, which means _infinite_ capacity. But now you're omitting that.

So what I'm reading is that your position is "EMH can only be falsified if someone finds infinite free money". Alright, this is what I call the church of the Efficient Market.

I don't know if you're trolling or just ignorant. I'm leaning towards trolling. Either way I've lost interest the conversation.

There's various versions, usually named weak version, strong and strongest. I don't remember which one is which, but the one I find interesting is "all publicly[1] available information is already incorporated into the prices". This is not a statement of absolute certainty but a statement on expected values. The reason I said your claim is dumb is that it's equivalent to "EMH says there's no infinite free money". I'm pretty sure everyone agrees there's no infinite free money, that's so obvious we don't even give a name to that hypothesis.

[1] how to define what publicly means exactly is also a question on itself which is important but not theain point here.

By "go away" I thought you meant over time by people exploiting it it would disappear. If you have two exchanges trading the same instrument, whenever the instrument is priced differently you can buy one and sell the other. This will "nerve go away" because it will still be true 20 years from now. Of course that every time such an opportunity occurs itself it has finite capacity.

So, I misunderstood what you meant, but what you meant is even dumber than I thought. What you're saying is a source of free money. That has nothing to do with EMH whatsoever.

In HFT there are loads of arbitrage opportunities that don't go away by using it if you're the fastest.

EMH disproven guys.

I think you're focusing on superficial stuff. As long as it works correctly, I don't care what color de website is.

If you believe the EMH you shouldn't compare stocks to lottery tickets. It sounds like you just don't want to look too closely.

Let's try differently. What evidence would you require to conclude "EMH is false"?

Edit: I have to make this edit because someone will point it out. YES I realize I didn't actually answer your question but the thing is this has been discussed ao thoroughly that I don't think i have anything new to add.

> Weschler says that he used to buy beaten-down bonds of companies that were in less dire straits than they seemed to be

Anyone knows how to see and buy publicly traded bonds?

I wish this would shut up the disciples from the church of Efficient Market, but I know that it won't.

> If the underlying activity is a crime, we already have laws to deal with that.

Why should guns be illegal, we already have a crime against killing.

Breathtakingly idiotic.