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baybal2

13,766 karma · joined June 12, 2016

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baybal2··on Infineon chip flaws to disrupt IONIQ 5 EV production
> You have to have control over the fundamental aspects of your business or you are just a hat riding on top of someone else’s.

Amazon Microsoft Google are hats riding on top of CPU vendors.

And these hats, honestly speaking, are doing much better than semis.

baybal2··on FlightRadar24 crashes due to surge in users tracking SPAR19
BTW, Nancy has just landed in the Republic of China
baybal2··on Business Retreats and Sanctions Are Crippling the Russian Economy
Russia passport holder, though I moved out of Russia in 2007.

Moscow, Petersburg - Putin spends extraordinary amount of money to hold the veneer of normalcy. I would say that urban poor are now seeing even more money as the city hires more janitor, drivers, and carpenters.

Rest of Russia — life like in North Korea, as it always been for the past 30 years.

Most impacted — Yikaterinburg, Kazan, Novosibirsk, Vladivostok. These are the only few cities in Russia with working economy without artificial economic boosting. Whatever non-military manufacturing there been is down. Chem is down as high-tech catalysts been all imported. Recreational/services/entertainment ­— dead as few middle class people powering it are leaving. IT — double digit personnel loss, double digit industry shrinking.

baybal2··on Saudi Crown Prince unveils plans for $500bn structure to house 9M people
> There was also a very telling interview with architects, builders, concept people etc... and after talking about Neom in all enthusiasm for a bit the interviewer asked each a simple question: would you live in Neom?

Another question, WHO will live in Neom? Saudi Arabia only have 19-20 million native citizens, the rest are all expats.

baybal2··on Tech booms fuelled liveability busts in Silicon Valley and Bengaluru
I would object, The Indian technocrat cohort is giant, and makes most of high grade ICS officials. Tons of engineers there, an irrefutable fact.

On other hand, I would say civil service in India is horrifically elitist, and values degrees, over competency, and real experience.

baybal2··on Tech booms fuelled liveability busts in Silicon Valley and Bengaluru
Americans are prone to "projection," not learning, but using their closest experiences to explain new things, even when most obvious rational explanation stands against it. "Everything must be like in America."

I have tons of Indian friends, and spent months on assignments in South Asia.

There is absolutely no contest to the idea that IT been overwhelmingly, massively beneficial for South India, far exceeding all maladies. Anybody coming with an idea like "lets bulldoze Bengaluru because hipsters say so," or punitively tax IT will be skinned alive there.

Anti-development agenda does resonate within the country at all sans few communist holdout areas. It is universally outside party discourse, nationalists are for the IT, congress are for IT, even communists are for IT lately, and whomever says otherwise will be voted out faster that you can blink.

Similarly, people pooing on manufacturing relocating to South Asia have zero idea how damn glad people are for new factories coming there. Valley hipsters coming to "save oppressed workers" are surprised when the same workers, and union leaders come to violently lash out at them.

baybal2··on Bluetooth remains an 'unusually painful' technology after two decades
Bluetooth is governed way better than any other comm standard. For example, WiFi implementation incompatibilities are legendary, and solving them is left to device makers instead of a specialist body. Certification is also non-existant.

For Bluetooth, at least for a major vendor, it's unthinkable that they wouldn't be able to come to Bluetooth SIG, and call out the issue, and have it worked on until it's solved. But more usual, issue will be highlighted at the certification, and test stage.

baybal2··on Is the smart grid all hot air?
I finished a project on a smart meter with a remote disconnect in late 2021 for an African client.

You would not believe how much more money they began to make once they started selling power using scratch cards. It was n-times the difference.

People, paradoxically, spend more when they can easily see how much they spend.

baybal2··on System76 Lemur Pro Linux laptop with 14 hours of battery life
> entirely our own design and architecture, with no white-label or pre-existing ODM/OEM parts

My impression was that Quanta does way more for Framework than final integration. Well, good to see that somebody takes on the design themselves today.

> The cost of developing a from scratch laptop like ours is closer to the mid seven figures.

With most of that being the cost of buying the reference design, and access to the documentation I believe?

I last worked on a budget Atom laptop back in 2014. Back then the docs were freely available with enough good Googling, as well as commercial quantities of Atom chipsets sold around Intel's channel. Now I believe it's near impossible without going through an Intel approved IDH.

baybal2··on System76 Lemur Pro Linux laptop with 14 hours of battery life
Impressive it is for an "OS brand, yet it's just another relabelled Tongfang laptop, so people really need to blame not OEM, but people who keep buying from them instead of designing own hardware.

Designing a laptop from scratch may be an adventure with a budget close to $200k-$300k, but there are tons, and tons of US brands who can pull this financially. Yet, even the "innovative" Framework laptop is mostly OEM work. It seems no Western brand took risk designing own hardware since nineties.

I've been a privy to Dell's plans for launching a low-end sub-brand for Asia few years ago, before the COVID.

Every contact manufacturer they been considering was exuberant about an opportunity to launch something original under Dell's brand, but Dell's MBAs were horrified of the prospect giving franchisees permission to run own designs: "what if they will make something too good, and compete with our main brand?", "what if they will screw up the design, and degrade our brand?", "how we will square this off with our part suppliers if we will divert them to another party?"

I myself would've eagerly taken an opportunity to spin up my own laptop brand, with original design. It's far, far easier than most these fellows imagine, and certainly shouldn't cost many millions.

baybal2··on Former PM Abe Shinzo dies after being shot
> I'm frankly shocked looking at the top level comments I've read so far.

> I ask my fellow Americans in near disbelief: have you become so desensitized that this news does not move you?

Not desensitized, but infantilised beyond belief, including here on HN.

The encouragement to run away, and shelter from "scary world" and outrage produced people who cannot hold a serious adult conversation about war, death, and personal duty for longer than a few minutes.

You either get completely emotionally deaf types like the top poster, or, on the opposite, types who outright descend into hysteria.

RIP Abe.

baybal2··on Former PM Abe Shinzo dies after being shot
https://www.dawn.com/news/1652510
baybal2··on Homeland security workers indicted in scheme to silence China critics in U.S.
Look at Ukraine, and how Russia flooded it with possibly 10,000+ of its spies.

You read stories of ones who were caught, and you cannot make it it up. Their main recruitment target are idiots in places of high power.

KGB recruited more agents than real spies. They had many more people doing lobbying, covert propaganda, and subversion, than peeking into Western secrets.

They really valued their high profile spies, but their influence agents — "pomogaikas" were near disposable. Finding idiots in places of power was always easier than finding smart, ideologically motivated betrayers fit for espionage assignents.

baybal2··on Starlink Maritime
It's better than InMarSat, or any other regional fixed satellite communication system big time
baybal2··on Large-scale ‘sand battery’ goes online in Finland
> But yep great insulation in the network is a requirement.

Indeed, even with "free" heat from CHP you can get an economic net loss.

Every house connected is a lot if piping, most of it unproductive — heating empty space, and losses in piping. So CHP district heating work best with large apartment buildings, and worst with single family housing.

This way Danish 65C° district heating for detached housing may be the worst example of district heating adoption.

And even if you do have only commie block style apartments, you may still end with having to add extra heat from local boilers in very cold climates. There regions in Russia where heating eats 1/3 of regional GDP.

But an overall, does district heating makes sense? Hell yes, and it must be made mandatory in the West one way, or another, along with policies to prevent counterproductive outcomes.

baybal2··on Flip-Chip Integration of a GaSb Semiconductor Optical Amplifier W Si Photonics
I am sceptical about microrings.

The big point of putting optics on chip, or at least close to the chip is to reduce power consumption.

Huge terabit class router chips spend 1/3 of TDP to drive PHYs.

If you just replace a power hungry copper transmitter with a power hungry optical transmitter, you don't gain in power budget, and lose on cost.

baybal2··on Billion-record stolen Chinese database for sale on breach forum
Surprise, it's 2022, and XP is still a de-facto standard Windows version, with hacked Win7 slowly gaining.

Why? Tons of Software was written for XP, and then abandoned without any support. Many of that stuff in the government sector. A lot of online banking clients outright say "only works on XP," and copyright years reads 2006.

This is similar how Android 7+ support was almost nuked in China for nearly a year because Tencent didn't want to port Wechat to newer APIs cuz "nobody uses Android newer than 4.X in China"

baybal2··on The first million-transistor chip: The engineers’ story
The first million transistor chip was such a big thing, but the first trillion transistor one didn't even get a press release.
baybal2··on Germany records first monthly trade deficit since 1991 as inflation soars
> Friendly reminder that trade deficits are not inherently bad.

Whether trade deficits are good, or bad depends on your monetary policy.

In case of Germany, it was definitely bad after them having such low interest rates for so long.

It was Germany's pride — it's manufacturing industry which took damage from low rates the most.

baybal2··on Ask HN: Can competitors catch up to Apple Silicon?
Yes, otherwise they wouldn't have gone into own chips with such low volumes. Even now their volumes probably don't afford for them making much money on such big chips if we compare them to top tier competitor SoCs.
baybal2··on GTK: Consider dropping the X11 back end
Indeed, they are the most toxic, and abrasive OSS community so far. GNOME ecosystem went from 3000+ developers to low hundreds, and around ~30 active core maintainers. The most spectacular OSS failure story.
baybal2··on Ask HN: Can competitors catch up to Apple Silicon?
The question is "Would they, and do they need it?"

For as long as it can't run Windows, it's not a competitor.

A mass market chip will never survive the yield on such extremely large dies.

Most of mass market chips will be many times smaller physically to make money.

Apple does not make money on these chips.

baybal2··on India’s biggest businesses are tapping green hydrogen as a future fuel
Biggest use of hydrogen today is to make heavy oil lighter. Then, it's fertiliser.

If there will be a massive double digit global switch to EVs, green hydrogen becomes uneconomical to produce.

baybal2··on 40% of Google users now connect via IPv6
I meant that they use NAT64, and it goes to Google over native v6
baybal2··on Nothing's Carl Pei thinks everyone else's smartphones are boring
Teenage Engineering

P.S. Carl immigrating to Britain is certainly marks an end of the era for Chinese tech industry, he was probably the last of young stars still living in China

baybal2··on 40% of Google users now connect via IPv6
There is a huge phone network/ISP called Jio there. I read they are using 624 only.
baybal2··on What? More 8-Bit Microcontrollers?
There are Padauks, Holteks, Sonixes and others most EEs in the West never hear about
baybal2··on Extreme heat, drought will permanently scar California and its social fabric
No desal water will be enough for agriculture.

Only multigigawatt nuclear desal can privide so much fresh water economically.

baybal2··on Raspberry Pi Pico W: your $6 IoT platform
Yes, and that's why ESP32 can be so cheap. They just run the WiFi stack on the same core, and they got very good know-how on the side of hardware<->RTOS interaction how to make it viable (very hard.)

Imho, non-wireless-intergrated MCUs will go extinct in IoT very soon.

They also have the best mixed signal out of every other scrawny IoT startup who uses off-the-shelf IP.

baybal2··on TSMC to customers: It's time to stop using older nodes and move to 28nm
Yes, much more than from 28 to 22 or 16. 40nm+ are planar transistors, and below are FinFETs
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