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avs733

5,626 karma · joined October 6, 2015

ex semiconductor engineer, social science researcher, entrepreneurship researcher, quantitative geek, serial founder, engineering professor.
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avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
but you can pledge the debt itself.
avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
and is arguing that the problem with the sale is that the people he owes money don't have any money because he hasn't paid them.
avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
Ignoring the fact that he lost for not participating and for lying throughout the process...which is why we are were we are...its worth reviewing what he actually did.

A really entertaining podcast has actually done a series of episodes on the depositions in the case. If you are curious about the facts heres a list of those episodes:

https://knowledgefight.libsyn.com/size/25/?search=Formulaic+...

Be warned they are...long and detailed.

avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
The second highest bidder was Alex Jones
avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
>A transfer will be fraudulent if made with actual intent to hinder, delay, or defraud any creditor.

If they get it less, later, or more chaotically, or if that was the intent it is.

avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
but if we launder it through law talking then it cannot be questioned.
avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
> There was no public auction of InfoWars. That alone is a stain on the whole process. The objective of a bankruptcy court is not to institute some arbitrary meta-ethical standard. It is to deliver maximum cash to the creditors in a fair manner.

Again, maximimum value not cash.

avs733··on Bankruptcy judge rejects sale of Infowars to The Onion
Taking the judges decision at face value here is fundamentally the problem - because it relies largely on Alex Jones as an arbiter of reality.

The judge seems to take Jones, the guy who lost the auction, as the arbiter of what happened. That is a problem and not just because of the strong potential for bias, and not just because the trustee would be a more obvious source of truth - because he ran the auction. Its a problem at a deeper level because the judge seems set on taking Alex Jones as a good faith actor. Every step in the court process has shown that not to be true. We aren't here randomly and this bankruptcy doesn't exist in a vacuum.

Even setting aside that nonsense. THe judge seems confused on the difference between money and value. Thats the type of thing an undergrad gets wrong.

avs733··on Company claims 1k% price hike drove it from VMware to open source rival
Caveat emptor may be legal in capitalism, but it is not a great way to be a coworker which was the point.
avs733··on The reproducibility crisis and other problems in science: John Ioannidis [video]
not neccesarily? It depends on what the claims are. If prior art says 'this is impossible' then a study with one result that is hard to replicate is an interesting insight about the margins. If it is commonly accepted wisdom, we may need to address what that is. If it is your experiment, it doesn't mean your result is wrong but it means it should be significantly questioned. If I say its more that is on me...if I say it is what it is then the results are the results.

I think it is a growing, and problematic, misconception that science is about just reporting facts. It is about adding knowledge...soemtimes that is new facts, but more often it is theories, observations, and questions increasingly at the margins of randomness and probability as our species grows and learns.

avs733··on The AI reporter that took my old job just got fired
the prevailing argument in favor of investing in AI is its potential.

the prevailing argument against using AI is its current lack of potential.

Those things are inherently in tension, think of it as hiring a new employee straight out of undergrad. You are hiring them based largely on the employee they will become...with increasing expectations over time balanced against increasing variability in outcomes over time. However, if one year in that employee continues to suck at their current job, their long term potential doesn't really matter. Moreso, the long term potential is no longer credibly evidenced by the inability to progress at doing the current job.

This is an investment gone bad in the current state of things. It doesn't matter what might happen it matters what did. The investment was made based on the perception of astonishing velocity, and it seems that we may need to calibrate our spedometers.

avs733··on School did nothing wrong when it punished student for using AI, court rules
There are times I have passed students simply because it isn't worth it to not.
avs733··on OpenAI, Google and Anthropic are struggling to build more advanced AI
Hype gonna hype. I’m not saying he is wrong I’m saying his opinion would be the same whether it’s true or not because his value depends on it being his opinion.
avs733··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
I really enjoy knowledgefight. Although I’m not sure I can continue listening after this week.
avs733··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
But if you already believe it the facts can still support it even if they are wrong. They feel right.
avs733··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
they perform insightfullness
avs733··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
'its old so we can assume everyone shares the same information and perspective' is a bad way to do decision making and argumentation full stop. Topic and perspective independent.

One of the things I used to see pushed back on, but it seems to have gone by the way side recently, is not citing the original source but rather citing the someone saying something about the source. Its increasingly pervasive in all types of research adn contributes to a giant and slow moving slide of meaning creep.

The OP mentions that reviewing the history would inform the discussion. You dismissed being informed and simply provided a truism - specifically accepted a truism common from oen side. If the issue is confidence in integrity, but there never was an integrity issue, then fixing an integrity issue is neither possible nor a solution to the confidence problem.

Again, I see this everywhere - from polite conversation to academic discourse adn it troubles me about the larger state of knowledge and knowing in the world.

avs733··on A new dental scam is to pull healthy teeth to sell you expensive fake ones
I'll add - I have taken to asking for an incorrect second opinion. Did this by accident the first time and it has worked well since.

Dentis A says tooth on the left side needs a rootcanal.

Ask Dentist B for a second opinion on the tooth on the other side of my mouth.

If they 'agree' I probably don't need either one.

avs733··on OpenAI to Become For-Profit Company
Uber for legalizing your business model
avs733··on Britain to use "AI" to answer taxpayer's letters
we'll have AGI whenever people decide that AI is smart enough to save them money over competent people in a broad scale fashion...whether that happens before AI understands the tax code is a rates problem.
avs733··on Please do not attempt to simplify this code
maybe just labeling it journalistic license would be simpler and more accurate.

I doubt any of the people who actually write the code would stand by when that claim was made and not clarify it to 'we only found one bug'.

avs733··on Phish-friendly domain registry ".top" put on notice
this was validating. I actually did it twice...once last night, forgot, and then did it again this morning.
avs733··on CrowdStrike fixes start at "reboot up to 15 times", gets more complex from there
I understand the logic of this but it is somewhat based on the assumption - which most industries have in droves - that people in THAT industry are the competent bullwhark against stupidity.

I consulted for a company for a while where the 'sysadmin' was the owner's mother - who bought laptops from walmart. Not only could she NOT have approved updates like this, even if she could she would have she wouldn't have had any knowledge whatsoever with which to make a determination if it worked.

In an abstraction, the problem really is with externalities. These approaches to updates exist because people who CAN'T do what you describe are likely a more dominant part of the threat model than this happening to people you do describe. The resulting fix, as we're seeing, is very reliable until it isn't...and if the isn't is enormous in scale the systems aren't setup to fail gracefully.

If you want to make a rule...require graceful failure.

avs733··on Tour de France: How professional cycling teams eat and cook on the road
speaking from experience - I puked during a fair number of runs in the process of getting there. I mix calories in my hydration with gels just to try and get the balance right. Its not stable but its better after about 4 years of work. I have ound that if I don't do a good job of eating, what you describe happens about 6-10 miles AFTER I stopped caloric intake.
avs733··on Tour de France: How professional cycling teams eat and cook on the road
what is also missing is the ability to process calories in.

900-1000 calories might mean that in is optimal - but think about eating a full meal from mcdonalds every hour while massively extering yourself.

Training your gut matters and I've never seen anything that suggests much beyond 400 calories per hour is possible during meaningful exertion.

avs733··on Tour de France: How professional cycling teams eat and cook on the road
I am far FAR from the tour de france but I do train for and run ultramarathons.

When I started the general guidance seemed to be about 200 calories (50g of carbs) per hour during training and races. I followed that or a little above for a long time, and constantly had problems both physically and cognitively near the end of races.

It took about a year to get used to fueling heavier (for me...about 400 calories per hour or 100g). Lots of figuring out digestion and timing and sources and other factors. But once I got there it was transformative...I could push much harder for much longer without a deep bonk and recovery was faster. More importantly, my ability to think/plan/make decisions at the end of races was orders of magnitude better.

I'd bet if you went to an aid station around 80 miles on a 100mile ultra marathon you could pretty reliably identify who had been on the 200cal end of the spectrum and who had been on the 400 + end.

avs733··on Seeing Like a Data Structure
>now we have fair trials at the state level.

Another framing is that we now have a larger and more formalized structure for trials that we perceive as more fair because it is more structured.

avs733··on I'm a Former Surgeon General and I Couldn't Believe My $10k Medical Bill
My wife had to go to the ER 24 yrs after delivering our second kid because of a medical error during post partum care at the same hospital. She sat in the ER from 9pm until 6am 72 hrs after giving birth and was offered the womens bathroom to pump in. She never saw a doctor or got past triage despite the delivery unit telling her to go to the ER immediately. We got a 4.5k bill, insurance paid most of it, but we’ve refused to pay the deductible on principal.

After to many of these we just have a family policy that we are the final arbiters of a reasonable and fair medical bill given the error rates in billing. We have a high enough credit score that collections doesn’t scare us.

avs733··on MIT abandons requirement of DEI statements for hiring and promotions
> There are a handful of contexts where it makes more sense, like for a HR person potentially

In academia, faculty functionally ARE HR people - with significant power

avs733··on MIT abandons requirement of DEI statements for hiring and promotions
perhaps he wasn't. clearly we are at an impasse

Maybe put some value and engage with someone's articulation of their personal experience as opposed to simply dismissing it because it does not comport with your world view.

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