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aurailious

213 karma · joined May 2, 2018

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aurailious··on China May Have $5.8T in Hidden Debt with ‘Titanic’ Risks
Midwest housing is much more affordable than a coastal megapolis and still provide a good standard of living.
aurailious··on China May Have $5.8T in Hidden Debt with ‘Titanic’ Risks
Living in China can be massively different, that's crazy.
aurailious··on China May Have $5.8T in Hidden Debt with ‘Titanic’ Risks
Last time I was in Beijing I was told not to flush toilet paper. Is that still the case?
aurailious··on The future’s so bright, I gotta wear blinders
> (or drones so effective in replacing reconnaissance aircraft)

It's a combo of this and satellites.

The only credible rumor I believe is that a even stealthier variant of the F-117 was used in the "gap" between the SR-71 and modern drones. But since then almost all ISR is done by drones, with the rare exception when the U2 is still flown.

Otherwise satellites had gotten to the point in the 90s that they could provide real time feeds so it destroyed the need for a high end recon platform like the sr-71 and all other ISR could be done by cheap drones.

aurailious··on The future’s so bright, I gotta wear blinders
Wiki says only Libya, Syria, and Algeria operate it currently. I am skeptical it has flown above Mach 3 in decades.
aurailious··on The future’s so bright, I gotta wear blinders
I don't know of any current planes that go above Mach 3. I'm not even sure if the F-22 goes above Mach 2. Outside of experimental unmanned craft, nothing goes "substantially" faster than Mach 3.
aurailious··on New Google Pixel 3, Pixel Slate, and Home Hub
They mentioned Titan security a few times.
aurailious··on ‘Goblin’ world found orbiting at the edges of the Solar System
Enough chances makes almost anything likely.
aurailious··on How China Systematically Pries Technology from U.S. Companies
I forget, what was this thread about again? Human nature or China stealing IP?
aurailious··on How China Systematically Pries Technology from U.S. Companies
Invoking whataboutism is an attempt to shut down conversation.
aurailious··on How China Systematically Pries Technology from U.S. Companies
Isn't this "whataboutism"? You shut down a conversation by trying to deflect about how others have also done something?

Like you said, two wrongs don't make a right. Just by pointing out this has happened elsewhere doesn't make the conversation about China doing it any less important or relevant. Why shut down this conversation?

aurailious··on Linus Torvalds apologizes for his behavior, takes time off
> just the quality that we need in a kernel maintainer.

I disagree this is the case. "This is how it's been done" is a terrible excuse for anything. This attempt at protection of the status quo is wrong because almost without exception the status quo is sub optimal.

> because I doubt that he could steer his ship without it

There is no reason to believe this.

aurailious··on Linus Torvalds apologizes for his behavior, takes time off
Do you have a larger set than just famous assholes? Its entirely possible they represent the exception and not the rule. In fact since they themselves then to be extraordinary I would believe that they are influential in spite of being an asshole instead of because of it.
aurailious··on F-35 Program Cutting Corners to “Complete” Development
Which isn't too much more expensive than a brand new F-16.
aurailious··on F-35 Program Cutting Corners to “Complete” Development
Oh I am aware. PAK-FA, a program that started in 2000 because the previous program for the Mig 1.44 that start in 1979 was delayed so often. And now we have the Mikoyan LMFS a program based on the Mig 1.44.

I have high confidence that the Russians will manage to eventually make a 5th gen fighter using a legacy of nearly 50 years of development. But no, the JSF program is the one that is heavily delayed.

aurailious··on Chief U.S. spy catcher says China using LinkedIn to recruit Americans
Because private sector is incredibly easy to steal from. At least the government actually cares about it.
aurailious··on F-35 Program Cutting Corners to “Complete” Development
You mean like the PAK-FA? Or maybe the F-35 successor?

What other modern plane development programs don't actually take decades?

Include Boeing and Airbus planes into that too. Include helicopters. All of it is a time consuming and expensive thing to do. We are not riveting metal together and putting piston engines in fighters anymore.

aurailious··on F-35 Program Cutting Corners to “Complete” Development
Each F-35 costs about $100M now. When you want to compare the entire project scope, you should also account for how many planes have been planned to build. Because that $1.5T number includes purchases and lifetime expenses. About 3000 planes and decades of use.

Strictly measuring the R&D places the program at $50B. A price tag that includes making virtually 3 kinds of planes for more than a dozen operators.

So when you say its cost $1.5T, then try to point to alternatives, I'd have to ask, which other alternative planes have had 3000 constructed and then operated over the course of its life in the past 2 decades? What exactly are you trying to compare that $1.5T number to?

Do you want to compare this to the Rafale, of which there are only 150?

To use a metaphor:

I went out and bought 10 bags of apples for $100, but that guy only needed to spend $10 for his bag of oranges.

aurailious··on F-35 Program Cutting Corners to “Complete” Development
This program is going to end up like the M-16. Even after its flaws are fixed the reputation isn't going to be shaken off. People still see the M-16 as unreliable even as its the most common form factor used by militaries today. Ironically the AK-47 wasn't as reliable in its initial iterations and now its simplicity is its only major advantage today.

Currently a lot of the flaws of the F-35 program have been fixed. Even the cost per fighter is reasonable now, its approaching a sub $100M cost per aircraft. Its a much better plane than its contemporaries, and its costs are in the same category.

Designing an advanced fighter aircraft in the 21st century is hard and expensive. Designing one to do 3 roles and built in the thousands is even harder. But its easier and cheaper than the alternatives. The F-35 is going to end up being a good aircraft and will fulfill what it was designed to do.

aurailious··on AMD Threadripper 2990WX 32-Core and 2950X 16-Core Review
Sounds a lot like how to play factorio.
aurailious··on EPA is allowing asbestos back into manufacturing
Deep space probes?
aurailious··on The world is losing the war against climate change
How many times have we fought wars not against ourselves?
aurailious··on The world is losing the war against climate change
We have almost certainly already lost. The challenge now is to adapt to the change. Paris was not about bringing global temp change to 0C, just limiting it to 2C.

Fortunately planet Earth won't be bothered by us too much. The cycles of ice ages we are in will "correct" most anything we do. The loss of biodiversity will probably be our only legacy.

aurailious··on Nearly Half of Americans Are Lonely
I know what half I am in.
aurailious··on Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update
Volvo will have one soon to compete with the Y.
aurailious··on The Pension Hole for U.S. Cities and States Is the Size of Japan’s Economy
Laws were changed to intentionally weaken pension funds and then articles like this are funded to further destabilize trust in them.

Another way of saying it: rich people were unhappy they have to pay taxes.

aurailious··on Boeing-Backed Startup Lands JetSuite for Electric Plane's Debut
I think there are some that have already begun to attach electric motors to, so yes, we can even replace those as well.
aurailious··on Boeing-Backed Startup Lands JetSuite for Electric Plane's Debut
Its like how about somewhere around 30 mph cars make more noise from going through the air than their engines.
aurailious··on Up to Two-Thirds of Bitcoin Transactions Have No Economic Value
I would have guessed about 100%.
aurailious··on Knative – Kubernetes-based platform to manage modern serverless workloads
This is what I am trying to figure out too. Is Knative standalone, or is it running inside your K8 cluster, or do you build a K8 cluster and run this in it exclusively?
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