585 karma · joined August 3, 2022
I feel like being able to look inside the clockwork should not distract us from being amazed at how wonderful a system can be.
As a correct pianist (lots of classical study, and sometimes I am paid to play in bars), this seems very weird to me. I don't see how doing this could be any useful for learning, it seems like a waste of effort.
I have nothing to do with that conflict but I don't like how confident some people are that they're on the side of the Good, thus that they could do whatever to their opponents. (Cf Kasparov who wanted to nuke Russia at the beginning of the war)
I fully disagree, they compare Gemini 1.5 Pro and GPT4 only on context length, not on other tasks where they compare it only to other Gemini which is a strange self-own.
I'm convinced that if they do not show the results against GPT4/Claude, it is because they do not look good.
Up to know, all technological revolutions have occurred in an exponentially growing economy. That's why Schumpeter's "creative destruction" was not a problem: it was compensated by the opening of new areas for growth, mostly unlocked by consuming more resources.
But now we are hitting the limits of the planet, and amongst others the limit of extraction rhythm for most our materials. So the exponential growth can't continue. (apart from the growth from technological progress, which will be much lower)
That's where the argument doesn't hold: we do not have a growing supply of work anymore, so the increased productivity of some workers will just prevent the others from working.
From a few crappy photos of your face, you can generate photos of you in nearly every setting: so I think all the "studio" part of a commercial photographer's job is toast.
OpenAI's lead is phenomenal: remember that they managed to put GPT4 on top of the leaderboard for one year and counting, while all others (except maybe Anthropic) struggle to have their model in the top3 for more than a few months.
Indeed, the Latin verb "confabulor has the meaning of "discuss, converse" [0], not specifically "inventing things", and Romance languages already have words derived in sound and meaning from this classic Latin sense. For instance French already has "confabuler" meaning "speak familiarly with someone" [1]. Thus in Romance languages, this proposed usage of "confabulate" imported from the psychiatric word could be understood poorly due to preexisting similar-sounding words that do not include the notion of "making things up".
Just proposing thoughts here, not advocating for a final decision. Maybe it's still good to adopt this wording!
[0] : https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/confabulor#Latin [1] : https://www.dictionnaire-academie.fr/article/A9C3479
[0]: https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/39843/are-socra...