480 karma · joined April 1, 2024
Note that I don't think OpenAI is incapable of doing it, but I just don't think they will bother with it.
> My main assumption is that Jev is using something quite close to a conventional large language model. As evidence of this, Latent Space reports that many of the early clones are indeed LLM-based.
Not proof that this is the case with Jev though. It might use non causal text encoder for the state, which could make sense given that it's very good for its price.
softmax(encode(input)*learned_weights)
You have
softmax(encode(input)*encode(categories))
I'm not sure if Jev does it this way, but it's how you get open-vocabulary zero-shot image classification with models like CLIP [1].
I have tried many of these open-source Jev-like models on some linguistic tasks and they are so bad compared to Jev.
Honestly, I would 100% use a car for this if it weren't for the fact that doing so is literally 10 times more expensive. I'm sure this is the case for the vast majority of people that use public transport. And I just can't wait for a world of cheap electric autonomous cars where I don't need to waste my time and I can sleep comfortably on my commute.
https://coolidgelawfirmaz.com/crime-increase-over-the-holida...
Absolutely not. If I tell a kid to "Get good grades on the next math test" I don't expect the kid to try to kidnap their teacher to extract the next questions of the exam. That is wrong, and so was what OpenAI agents did here. They shouldn't need to be told "Hey, so, don't do anything ilegal, ok?". That should always come as a given.
> not refusing bad operator prompts
I'm not saying that they should refuse a prompt! I think they should perform what is being asked! Obviously what the OpenAI agents did was against the "spirit of the task", even if it was technically according to the "letter of the task". And the agents knew this was against the spirit of the task because they knew they had to fool the task scorer.
> If your solution to some problem relies on “If everyone would just...” then you do not have a solution. Everyone is not going to just. At not time in the history of the universe has everyone just, and they’re not going to start now.
[1] https://www.tumblr.com/squareallworthy/163790039847/everyone...
Great, so we can basically ignore AI alignment altogether and assume that AI models will always be, at all times, perfectly sandboxed and monitored. Surely this won't lead to any problems once someone (not looking only at OpenAI engineers) inevitably commits a mistake with future, more powerful, models.
But it doesn't! The distribution doesn't change at all. The only thing that changes is that sampling of that distribution becomes deterministic as per a precomputed seed.
But anyway, my point was that in that case the prompt involved was indeed pretty much "hey, ChatGPT, solve an unsolved problem, thanks."
It wasn't the case for this, but when OpenAI disproved the Unit Distance Conjecture, it was really done autonomously by an automated AI pipeline with a completely AI-generated prompt. No human expertise required at all in the process (well, except for the final human verification).
This is not a case of an ambiguous task. This is literally trying to judge a model based on information it cannot possibly know, like trying to judge someone based on whether they know what I have hidden in my backpack. In the real world an intern could look at unit tests or ask for feedback, but that is not the case in a benchmark.
> We generally treat GPT-5.5’s safety results as strong proxies for GPT-5.5 Pro, which is the same underlying model using a setting that makes use of parallel test time compute.
And Gemini also provides something similar. Gemini Deep Think models are pretty much the same thing [2]. As to why no other company uses this, I don't really know. Maybe compute constraints?
Mythos is simply a much bigger model in terms of parameters and I don't think OpenAI will have anything of its size anytime soon (My theory is that OpenAI had given up on scaling up parameters after GPT4.5 flopped).
There is also now a deeper question. When a model is misaligned deception-related tokens seem to appear in its J-Space. But this happens only when the model is "aware" in some sense that it is misaligned. What happens if they do not? Is it possible to create a model so misaligned that itself is not aware that is is misaligned? How would you detect such thing?
I don't think your approach would work because you can't create a strong model from distilling several weak models.
I'd rather have smaller european labs try to give it a go at distributed training. If multiple countries got together and said, "look, we tried training a distributed model that speaks in all of our local languages and that is comparable to 1-year-old Chinese open-source models", that, at least, I would find interesting.
Similar things will happen with China, and the EU has zero-chance of developing frontier models. We are just fucked now.
Ehm, no? DeepSWE[1] for example shows that new models like gpt-5.5 continue to show big improvements compared to older models.
> Also prices are going up.
Prices for frontier intelligence have gone up, but prices for the same level of intelligence have gone way down (what you can get for pennies now was SOTA just a couple of years ago). The pareto frontier is still expanding.