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SongofEarth

478 karma · joined January 8, 2022

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SongofEarth··on Civic honesty around the globe (2019)
It's important to note that most Chinese people hardly ever use email, the Internet started rather late in China, for most Chinese people the Internet means smartphone and WeChat, and WeChat often is the only place where business communication happens, had they put a WeChat QR code on the business card, the result would be much more interesting.
SongofEarth··on RoboCat – A Self-Improving Robotic Agent
Deepmind is google, and google suffers from chronical dabbling and never shipping products, I'd be surprised if they even care much about generalizing to useful tasks.

And about floor vs ceiling, what's really important is robustness, only robust robots can be deployed in the wild, at this time Dactyl with all its fingers is still too difficult to control, RoboCat got the grippers right, the problem really is they are again doing cute things with large models instead of raising robustness.

SongofEarth··on The planning of U.S. physician shortages (2020)
It can be really hard to leverage this combination of skills, the demand for cross-discipline talents is usually much lower than for a single skill set, but also much deeper when the demand exists, it's going to take some serious searching to find a match but likely it's worth it. There was HN post about working with radiologists when building a AI diagnosis company:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36111596

May be try talk to some similar AI companies is a good idea, at this time the pay can be really good.

SongofEarth··on Ask HN: What did you do when a employer rejected a raise?
Your boss could be worrying about politics in the company, asking for a raise directly can lead to that, you can find some examples in Ben Horowitz's "The Hard Thing About Hard Things", the part "HOW TO MINIMIZE POLITICS IN YOUR COMPANY".
SongofEarth··on Where Do Great Ideas Come From?
I think here we can assume it's not someone completely ignorant in the field(they did mention "outsiders in analogous fields"), so it's really about someone with a good understanding of an adjacent field, whose skills and knowledge can often be applied to the field in question, like bringing a computer scientist to robotics or biology, not like asking an accountant to design a rocket.
SongofEarth··on Anthropic's 100k context is now available in the web UI
On youtube there are timer and stopwatch videos that have millions of views, people are streaming 1080p videos for something that can be implemented locally within 20 lines of code, but does it matter really, it won't make a dent on Google's revenue.

If LLMs are deployed in large enough scale, the convenience really could justify the cost.

SongofEarth··on Ask HN: What software technology had impact like ChatGPT?
If anything it's more like the "Early PC moment", it makes your life a whole lot easier if you use it at work and what you work on can be automated, but for most people it's more of a fun novelty, a nice to have instead of something they can't live without.

So if a parallel has to be drawn, I'll say it's WordStar and Visicalc, even the use case is similar, mostly word processing and analysis.

SongofEarth··on Ask HN: How do you know which model is hidden behind the API?
By delta I really mean the kind of finetuning people are doing to avoid directly giving Llama weights. May be watermarking will be the norm even for open source models to prevent abuse.
SongofEarth··on The Machine That Changed the World
I wonder what books will be written for BYD or Tesla, now that they are eating Toyota's lunch.
SongofEarth··on China’s BYD is overtaking Tesla as the carmaker extraordinaire
For the government, direct technology transfer is much less of an incentive than building a domestic supply chain, which helps every other player in the industry, plus Tesla and other automakers are big taxpayers.
SongofEarth··on China’s BYD is overtaking Tesla as the carmaker extraordinaire
The winner of Chinese car export might be the one with the most ships. These days car shipping is in really high demand, and cost has been rising in recent years, but shipping cost could be lower given that BYD is build their own shipping fleet.

https://qz.com/chinese-car-makers-are-becoming-shipping-comp... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-04/china-car...

SongofEarth··on GPT-4 Outperforms Elite Crowdworkers, Saving Researchers $500k and 20k hours
PC and Xerox eliminated the secretarial pool, and working women since then have been working on much more meaningful things.
SongofEarth··on Ask HN: How to figure out profitable niche things to manufacture?
You really need to be more specific, you want to make something small or large? Electronic or mechanical?

As a general advice, look for the intersection of things you love and use yourself and things people want.

There are interesting youtube channels if you need some inspiration:

Knifemaker, from garage to factory: youtube.com/user/JohnGrimsmo/

Kit planes: youtube.com/c/DarkAeroInc/

SongofEarth··on Number of pubs in England and Wales falls to record low
Reminds me of a WWII training film for American soldiers in Britain, there's a scene about the pub culture, very interesting.

How to Behave in Britain: https://youtu.be/ltVtnCzg9xw?t=228