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JanSolo

895 karma · joined January 13, 2012

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JanSolo··on [dead]
I don't think so. For all his flaws he's still just a human and worthy of respect. Many people may disagree with his ideas and his methods but he's had a successful life which is worth remembering after death.
JanSolo··on China Missiles Could Overwhelm U.S. Military in Asia in ‘Hours’, Says Think Tank
A decade of “delayed and unpredictable funding” for the U.S. military’s budget has seen America lose its primacy in the Western Pacific, giving the edge to an increasingly sophisticated China, a Sydney-based think tank warned.

So you're saying there's a 'Gap' in missile technology between the US and China? A 'Missile Gap', perhaps? Perhaps we should have a good old-fashioned arms-race to sort it all out?

JanSolo··on [dead]
Is there a risk that the Chinese are going to inflame the exact kind of revolt they're seeking to avoid? Isn't it just human nature to rebel against something that aims to subdue your culture?
JanSolo··on Airbus has unveiled a bird-like conceptual airliner design
Where's the rudder? How do they propose to control yaw without a rudder? Perhaps those long winglet-feathers can be modulated for yaw control?
JanSolo··on After 6 months of working fine, Tesla software update drives at barriers again
Agreed; I imagine they use neural networks to detect and classify objects which are then saved into a scene-graph for use in pathing.

I expect what happened was that they trained their NNs for improved detection in one area but unknowingly reduced it in another. Perhaps now it can detect tricycles 99% but road barriers went down to only 30%. Having worked with NNs it's very common to see gains in one domain which come at a cost of reduced performance in another.

JanSolo··on Pentagon to Retire USS Truman Early, Shrinking Carrier Fleet to 10
I agree with you; guns are great when you're fighting enemies armed only with sharp sticks...

The first time the US has to deal with Anti-Ship cruise-missiles might be a bad day for them.

JanSolo··on Pentagon to Retire USS Truman Early, Shrinking Carrier Fleet to 10
If the US got into a hot war with China, we are all screwed.

Recall that the US succeeded in WW1 and WW2 by out-producing their opponents. They simply built more guns and tanks and munitions than everyone else. US munitions were lower quality than what was produced in Europe, but they were cheaper and available in large numbers. That's what mattered.

However, that's a strategy that won't work against China. The Chinese are the undisputed kings of building things fast and cheap. They would out-produce the US easily AND they have a much larger population to conscript into their armies.

US military chiefs must know that a land-war against China has almost no chance of success. China is too big and their army too numerous.

So if the war were to go badly (which it almost certainly would) they would be likely to consider the nuclear option... and once we go there, there's no going back. China would retaliate; Russia would likely get involved; article 5 would be invoked.... game over.

JanSolo··on Pentagon to Retire USS Truman Early, Shrinking Carrier Fleet to 10
I wonder why the US is so determined to have a large carrier fleet?

With the advent of anti-ship cruise missiles, carriers have lost the decisive edge that they had during WW2. It seems like few nations are willing to bear the development and maintenance costs of modern carriers. Yet the US continues to build carriers as if they were at war! Furthermore, there is a huge uproar (along with legal challenges!) whenever anyone dares to suggest even slowing down the rate of carrier deployment. Why is the US so set on a policy that every other developed nation has eschewed? It makes no sense to me.

JanSolo··on Grave Concerns Over White House Efforts to Transfer Nuclear Tech to Saudi Arabia
Try to imagine the list of countries that you LEAST want to have nuclear weapons. Saudi Arabia has got to be up there along with North Korea, Iran and Syria. Who ever is trying to share this nuclear tech is taking a huge risk with everyones safety.
JanSolo··on Concrete blocks that once protected Britain
Nope. No computers with signal processing capability yet. There was usually just a wave guide (or voice tube) leading to a man listening with his ears, or later models had a microphone.

The waveguide was rotatable so that sound direction could be roughly determined. This was done by slowly turning the guide until the sound was at its loudest and then reading off the angle.

JanSolo··on SpaceX just got FCC approval to launch 7,518 satellites
New Glenn is not really a BFR-class design. It falls somewhere between Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy.
JanSolo··on SpaceX just got FCC approval to launch 7,518 satellites
Interesting, yes; however in tech, products, partnerships, experience or any other quantifiable measure, Blue Origin is far, far behind SpaceX.

SpaceX has launched many Orbital missions.

Blue Origin has launched none.

SpaceX has two functional, tested, orbital spacecraft in production.

Blue Origin has a sub-orbital pod with goldfishbowl windows that's not quite ready yet.

SpaceX has successfully partnered with NASA for commercial cargo missions to the ISS.

Blue Origin has not.

SpaceX has landed more than a dozen rockets post-flight.

Blue Origin has landed < 10 sub-orbital rockets.

SpaceX has designs for rockets and spacecraft that might plausibly target inter-planetary travel.

Blue Origin has not gotten to orbit yet.

Don't get me wrong; I want Blue Origin to succeed. However, the slope of their progress graph has been much shallower than SpaceXs. I don't see them ever catching or overtaking SpaceX unless something drastically unforseen happens.

JanSolo··on Trump Just Signed a Law That Changes Life Aboard Airlines
I like nearly all the things on that list. As someone else mentioned, most airlines already do most of these things; I'm not completely sure that a change in the law was necessary. However, US airlines have a pretty terrible reputation, deservedly in my opinion. Maybe this change will trigger some improvement in the industry? Lets hope.
JanSolo··on Man Who Stole Plane Near Seattle Raises Troubling Security Question
Listen to the recording of ATC personnel talking to the rogue pilot. He's just a normal guy with a few screws loose. I think they correctly assessed this man to be non-threatening to ground targets. Now, if the guy was non-responsive or erratic or started making threats, I do expect that the F15s might have been used.
JanSolo··on Tesla plans China factory that can make 500,000 vehicles a year
Teslas stated goal is improving the adoption of sustainable energy; selling cars is only a part of it.

Perhaps they feel that a little espionage is worth it to get 500000 electric cars a year onto Chinese roads?

JanSolo··on Tesla plans China factory that can make 500,000 vehicles a year
Apparently Tesla is the first foreign-owned auto manufacturer that has been allowed to open a facility without giving a 51% stake to a Chinese owner. I think it's only electric vehicles which are eligible for this new scheme.

There's a huge demand for non-polluting vehicles in China, so expect other automakers to begin looking at similar factories in that country.

JanSolo··on Concorde ‘B’
Concorde was a fantastic technological achievement; It's beautiful and revolutionary. My heart really wants it to be successful.

However, my head tells me that no amount of tweaking or tuning will change the fundamental problem with Concorde. The root problem with this aircraft is that people prefer cheaper flights over faster flights.

The real success that we can take from the Concorde program was that some of the technology found its way into the A300 program and its derivative, the A320.

Cheap, reliable aircraft are what people want. Fast, expensive ones are cool, but not really economic.

JanSolo··on [dead]
Teslas days are numbered because there's competition coming? That seems a bit of a stretch doesn't it? This article seems to have some kind of agenda; perhaps it's written by someone who's shorted Tesla stock?
JanSolo··on CyberChef – A Cyber Swiss Army Knife
Glad to see that CyberChef supports Numberwang. There are many nefarious uses that such a complicated numerical system could be put to. I'm happy that our intelligence agencies are on top of this.
JanSolo··on New Shepard In-Flight Escape Test [video]
Crew capsule and booster both went up, seperated, came down and landed nominally. In fact, they made it look easy; everything worked as they predicted and there were no suprises.

A couple of points of interest:

1. The Crew Capsule pitched around quite a lot after it left the booster. This would have been quite 'exciting' for any passengers but was easily survivable. SpaceX had a similar problem in their Dragon LES test a while back. Indeed, the BO Capsule looked much more stable under parachutes than the Dragon did.

2. The commentators mentioned that the booster had flown and landed 5 times and would be retired to a museum. 5 times!? There was so little drama in the launch and landing that I expect they could probably launch it another 5 times with few problems. This is what a reliable system looks like. Good job!

3. The gantry tower at the West Texas launch site had what looked like walkways for accessing the Crew capsule. Does that mean crewed tests are imminent? Very exciting!

This is a fantastic result for Jeff Bezos and his Blue Origin team; I'm hoping that their new orbital booster is as reliable. If it is, SpaceX and ULA will have some real domestic competition. At last!

JanSolo··on British Columbia to target foreign real estate buyers with new tax
Too little, too late. If a foreign buyer can afford a $2m house, they can afford the $300k of extra tax.

Also, many of the properties bought by immigrants are actually owned by syndicates who are based in Canada and therefore do not have to pay the tax.

JanSolo··on Growing Unease as British Mutual Funds Block the Exit Doors
The article mentions that the managers are allowed to block withdrawals under 'exceptional circumstances' to protect those with a longer term investment outlook.
JanSolo··on Offshore Wind Farm to Power More Than One Million U.K. Homes
Does anyone have a mirror to this that's not behind the WSJ paywall? Thanks.
JanSolo··on BMW i8 in WebGL
I LOVED the Orangey-Brown colour scheme so much that I went straight to the BMW website to see if it was really an option that you can buy. Sadly, it's not. /sadface
JanSolo··on Russian antivirus firm faked malware to harm rivals, say ex-employees
Isn't is a breach of trust for a protector-against-malware to also be a producer-of-malware?

I'd certainly reconsider my Kaspersky license if I had one.

JanSolo··on MH370: Reunion debris is from missing plane
The Inmarsat position data was very controversial when it was first announced. This was because the flight path, the last radio contact and last radar signal were all recorded over the South China Sea; a completely different ocean to where the debris was found. Indeed, the first search operation was over and around the designated flightpath, which was literally oceans away from where the plane likely came down. Thanks to Inmarsat, we have a much better, though not completely accurate, understanding of what happened.
JanSolo··on MH370: Reunion debris is from missing plane
I'm sure the PM is overjoyed that this story kicked up again right now. Anything that distracts the press from his embezzlement scandal is likely very welcome.
JanSolo··on MH370: Reunion debris is from missing plane
Not really a huge surprise given that the debris was confirmed as a 777 flaperon a few days ago. However, It does mean that the Inmarsat positional analysis about the final location of the plane is likely correct. This should give a bit of confidence to the sailors who are running the naval search operation in the indian ocean. They were never quite sure that they were looking in the right place. I suspect their lack-of-results must be quite demoralising for them.

It also discounts some of the nuttier theories such as the plane landing in Russia or Afghanistan.

JanSolo··on How Does Voxel Quest Work Now?
Hi Gavan... Fellow gamedev here; I like your tech; it looks neat!

As soon as I saw it, I had a great idea for a game. It's pretty simple too... Imagine a sort of hybrid of Angry Birds and Defender of the Crown (https://youtu.be/Af0vFi4sSzw?t=272). Where you have to build up your castle and then knock down your opponents.

You already have pretty good walls, rocks, brickwork, etc. So you could use that for the construction phase. Then you'd need to add a variety of weapons; Ballistas, Trebuchets, Cannon, etc. Each one would destroy a few blocks in a certain pattern. Maybe you can unlock/upgrade weapons as you proceed. You'd also need some kind of physics to detect when blocks are unsupported and allow them to fall & destroy themselves.

I'm envisioning a simple single player mode where you take it in turns defending and attacking castles and then an MP mode where 2 or more players can defend and attack each other. You'd need some kind of replication system to report which blocks are created or destroyed during the game, but that shouldn't be too hard for you.

Let me know if you like my idea.

Thanks

Jan.

JanSolo··on Was Chris Froome Doping? A Data-Driven Perspective
Presumably the chainring losses are roughly similar for every rider which is why no-one complains about them. Around 6% seems plausible when you remember that for cars crank horsepower is usually 15% higher than wheel horsepower. Transmission losses are an unavoidable cost.
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