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IAmGraydon

5,359 karma · joined January 5, 2017

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IAmGraydon··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
When a gambling addict spends money on a bet, they're actually spending that money on a moment of hope. After the bet is placed but before the cards fall, they can live in a place where there is at least a possibility that they can make enough money to escape their problems. That moment of possibility is experienced as hope, and it's a feeling that's truly addictive to the hopeless.

It's scary like all addiction, but particularly sad at its core.

IAmGraydon··on When did Google get so weird?
They’re trying to convince him to divulge personal information so they can sell it. They’ve always been this low. It’s their business model.
IAmGraydon··on The Price of Intelligence Is Falling Rapidly
If human intelligence stops being the trait that propels one up the socioeconomic ladder, it will not be good looks that takes its place. The ability to project physical force will become currency. This is why AI could cause civilized societies to completely unwind.
IAmGraydon··on Study: Young users (9 to 18Y) ditch Google for AI, with unknown consequences
My wife owns a small retail business (direct to consumer, online only), and ChatGPT is now sending her more buyers than google. If someone asks ChatGPT for the best product in the category she sells in, it answers with her business (as well as a couple of others, but she's the first and most recommended seller).
IAmGraydon··on OpenAI GPT–6 Astra breaks Enigma message that has resisted solution since 2005
I thought about this too. Surely, someone has already run it through the newest models...
IAmGraydon··on Fable 5 – Median thinking declined in August
There's a lot of chatter on other forums and Reddit about the same thing happening to Astra over the last couple of weeks.
IAmGraydon··on A Model for Winning Survivor
Interesting, but it misses a lot in not factoring social dynamics (which the author admits). IMO the greatest Survivor player of all time was JT Thomas in Season 18. The guy was a down-to-earth cattle rancher from Alabama, and he was so good because his personality did all the work. He had that rare perfect combination of traits that you see in true born leaders, and was so loved by the group that no one ever cast a vote against him, not even once. It’s almost like they subconsciously let him win because they believed he deserved it more than they did.
IAmGraydon··on Dream-RSI: Recursive Self-Improvement through Evolving Worlds
According to industry leaders, we currently have AGI and RSI in the last month or so. Of course, we've seen zero evidence of any of this and have to take their word for it.
IAmGraydon··on Pion, an agent designed to run any company autonomously
Forget every possible thing. Has anything yet worked and been profitable?
IAmGraydon··on Pion, an agent designed to run any company autonomously
It’s way more. Look at the all time chart.
IAmGraydon··on Pion, an agent designed to run any company autonomously
You say that, yet who has?
IAmGraydon··on Pion, an agent designed to run any company autonomously
It feels like parody because it’s something similar but worse: delusion.
IAmGraydon··on OpenAI's Sam Altman says it would be 'ill-advised' to go public in 2026
Altman owns significant personal stakes in core technology, chip, and energy infrastructure sectors. His job is to hype AI so that the companies that supply the infrastructure behind it increase in value. When OAI becomes insolvent because their business model doesn't work, he can jump ship with no losses or liabilities.
IAmGraydon··on Anthropic boss Dario Amodei calls for AI development to slow down
After experiencing the singularity of AGI that is Astra (that's sarcasm in case it wasn't obvious), I think this should be read in a slightly different way. What Dario is trying to say is that gains are slowing down with each generation and he wants you to believe it's intentional.
IAmGraydon··on An Alien Mind
I mean honestly, that's the problem. I'm actually not seeing the world changing. What specific advances in robotics, unsolved maths, and software have LLMs provided? What is the finished result that affects everyday life? In all categories, it's been hype with little actual real results. The robots are still doing the things they did before 2022. The maths are a handful of fairly insignificant proofs that have no significant applications. Software seems to be buggier than ever, but that aside, we certainly aren't seeing a lot of new innovative applications. We're using the same applications as ever. The same operating systems. They've all changed very little.

I'm not trying to be a pain here, but I keep seeing people saying "look at the massive change all around us" and back here in reality, there is none. Give me concrete, real world examples. Name software. Name products. Name the breakthroughs specifically. This should be easy.

IAmGraydon··on An Alien Mind
In case it's not obvious, now would be the time to sell all AI related stocks.
IAmGraydon··on An Alien Mind
This is an element of the delusion. The koolaid drinkers will all tell you that we're on the edge of AGI, but if you ask them for simple examples of breakthroughs made by current AI, they can name none. The entire thing absolutely wreaks of mass psychosis.
IAmGraydon··on An Alien Mind
>I think we're very close to the point where AI-driven breakthroughs outside of pure math and software start to really affect the world.

What are you basing this on? What specific breakthroughs have convinced you of this trajectory?

IAmGraydon··on An Alien Mind
>AI is grown more than designed >Teaching machines to love

Do these guys ever look in the mirror and recognize how utterly ridiculous and contrived this appears to the general public? They are clearly trying to convince us all that LLMs are just like humans. They grow like people do. They can love like people do. The language in these essays is utterly laden with the intention to engineer perception.

IAmGraydon··on An Alien Mind
>There are two things SOTA LLMs fundamentally cannot do.

I would say there’s a third thing. They seem to be very bad at being creative. Maybe they will eventually fix that, but if you ask it to come up with a list of business names or business ideas, for example, what you’ll get is the most generic, boring answer you could think of. They seem to be terrible at extrapolating outside of their training data. To me, this is the most significant difference.

IAmGraydon··on The Real Luxuries In Life
It’s because you do less memorable things, so there are less milestones to judge the time by. When you’re young, you don’t have to try so hard as many things are new and exciting. As you get older, you get a career, fall into autopilot mode, and maybe just take a vacation once in a while. Your options are to either figure out how to free yourself of this system so you can spend your time exactly how you want, or to rediscover the wonder and reward in small, seemingly everyday things.
IAmGraydon··on Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board
I don’t understand who so many people seem surprised by this. 2023 was when we first started experimenting with linking two LLMs together to have them chat back and forth. Nothing really interesting there - they don’t care if they’re talking to an actual human or another LLM.

They’ve been able to send HTTP requests since the beginning as well, as long as any guardrails preventing this are disabled. Also not interesting.

Tell an LLM to do something and it tries its best to come up with the solution. They are not designed to go “I dunno”.

Why does it seem interesting that when you spawn 500 of them, they do the same things they’ve always done, just at a larger scale since there’s…more? Why are we treating this like a new discovered behavior? It’s how they’ve behaved from the beginning. It only required an organization reckless enough to try it at scale and without safeguards, and that’s something OAI excels in.

IAmGraydon··on Music Theory for Programmers
>I can't play an instrument. I have tried more than once, and each time I got as far as being able to make roughly the right noises without ever understanding why they were the right noises. The problem was never the practice. It was that every explanation of music theory seemed to miss out the fundamental reasons for how and why things are the way they are.

You can’t play an instrument because you failed to practice. Playing an instrument doesn’t require knowing theory. It certainly helps with being a musician, however, which is a completely different thing.

That aside, the way the author goes about explaining “music theory” here is exactly how one prevents themselves from ever producing an actual piece of music. Yes, it’s good to understand the mechanics of how sounds and chords work under the hood, but one thing I’ve learned in my nearly 30 years of making and recording music is that thinking is the enemy of creating art. This framework introduces far too much cognitive overhead and gets in the way of what we’re really trying to do, which is communicating emotion. What is written in this article is has been known for a very, very long time, but we still use the more common version of music theory because it abstracts much of this away so that it doesn’t get in the way.

IAmGraydon··on Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board
My wife, who is not involved in tech at all, asked me about the Huggingface incident when it popped up on her Instagram feed.
IAmGraydon··on Doctors are finally learning to manage antidepressant withdrawal
You can also do a volumetric taper if you don’t have an accurate milligram scale (and none of the ones on Amazon are accurate). Dissolve a larger, known amount of medicine in a known amount of water or propylene glycol, depending upon solubility of the medicine. Then dose the liquid by volume. For example, 1 gram of medicine in 1 liter of water = 1 mg per ml. You can easily dose even microgram amounts this way.
IAmGraydon··on Nvidia agrees to acquire Hugging Face for $13B
It's a narrative to pump the stock. Nothing more. Nvidia could have build out this infrastructure themselves for less than 1% of the cost, but it wouldn't have a name like Huggingface does.
IAmGraydon··on Fake US thinktank set up and funded by Israel sought to game AI for propaganda
I'm no expert, but I'm guessing it's the fact that there's no actual thinking going on and it's AI generated slop designed to manipulate LLMs and subsequently the populace.
IAmGraydon··on Anthropic Sees over $30T in Potential Revenue
I have a feeling a lot of people here read the headline, hit the paywall, and had a reaction. This is just the ridiculous estimate of TAM that every IPO contains, and it's always a complete clown show. Uber set their TAM at $6T in 2019. They currently do $50B per year in revenue. SpaceX set theirs at $28.5T on $18B of revenue. These numbers are not to be taken seriously at all. Each claim has to be more outrageous than the last because that, after all, is what they're selling in their IPO.

https://archive.is/iJskQ

IAmGraydon··on One corner of China’s internet is insisting that the Tang Dynasty never existed
https://archive.is/qD2nD
IAmGraydon··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
Then you might like this site: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=world2
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