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BirdieNZ

575 karma · joined September 1, 2016

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BirdieNZ··on Remote work’s toll on cities
Wouldn't this be primarily due to lack of car travel, rather than the city generally? As I understand it, urban dwellings and populations are per-capita more environmentally efficient, because density enables economies of scale.
BirdieNZ··on What if your entire worldview was just because of near-zero interest rates?
In New Zealand we have a sharp cliff of building contracts; they're insanely busy for maybe another year at most, and then nothing new is in the pipeline. Building contracts pan out over years, and interest rates flow into property prices rather slowly compared to share markets.
BirdieNZ··on Be wary of imitating high-status people who can afford to countersignal
> I would love to see industry averages on if pre-sale renovations make any sense at all. Considering the outright financial expenses, possible financing, potentially weeks/months of organizing contractors, dealing with overages, delaying the house sale, yada yada.

They must surely make sense, given that there are people who "flip" houses (buy a house, do a quick paint/bathrooms/kitchen renovation on it and sell it for a nice markup).

BirdieNZ··on Be wary of imitating high-status people who can afford to countersignal
> A lot of newer kitchens have wooden floors, which is insane.

What's insane about this? I grew up in a pretty basic old house with a wooden floor in the kitchen, I don't recall it being an issue in any practical sense.

BirdieNZ··on California greenlights jaywalking. It’s a step in the right direction
In New Zealand we have a government organisation called ACC (Accident Compensation Corporation) which provides insurance for accidents and injuries. It prevents you from suing in this case:

"ACC is the sole and compulsory provider of accident insurance in New Zealand for all work and non-work related injuries. The corporation administers the ACC Scheme on a no-fault basis, so that anyone, regardless of the way in which they suffered an injury, has coverage under the scheme. Due to the scheme's no-fault basis, people who have suffered personal injury do not have the right to sue an at-fault party, except for exemplary damages."

BirdieNZ··on Being OK with not being extraordinary (2021)
Use alarms and your calendar religiously, alarms for unmissable events, calendar for every appointment. Use your phone for this, you're probably addicted to scrolling or games on it anyway.

Exercise and get good sleep. Caffeine helps but isn't as good as ADHD medication.

Remove distractions aggressively. Don't beat yourself up when you fail; expect it and move on.

Use people in your life to help be your executive function for you. It isn't really fair on them but if they love you they may be willing to anyway. A gym buddy or sports team is another way of achieving this without needing them to love you particularly.

Block all the sites you lose hours to, aggressively. You're not smart enough to build a system you can't get out of but you can make it high friction. Same for games or media or whatever it is.

Pair programming is tiring but it works for using an external party as your executive function. Keeps you on track.

Negative external consequences are motivating but stressful, use sparingly.

Try find a job with or structure your life with enough variety to keep you entertained; I find people to be stimulating but YMMV.

Medication is far more effective than any coping mechanism.

BirdieNZ··on Being OK with not being extraordinary (2021)
Have you considered if you might have ADHD? If you feel like you have great potential but can never apply it to anything productive, or only for short periods of time, then it might be worth first doing an adult ADHD self-assessment checklist (easily available online from official medical sources) and then if you score highly on it, book yourself in for a psychiatric appointment.

You may not have it but if you do then it can be a life changing diagnosis and subsequent medication and learned coping mechanisms/coaching.

BirdieNZ··on Being OK with not being extraordinary (2021)
We call this "Tall Poppy Syndrome" in New Zealand. If you're a tall poppy you get cut down to size. The only successful New Zealanders that are approved of are those that elevate NZ as a whole on the international stage and attribute it to the country rather than their own individual talent and ability.
BirdieNZ··on What if we talked about over-60s’ screen time as we talk about young people’s?
Amusing Ourselves to Death by Neil Postman addresses this; it's more or less pre-internet but it speaks to how different media forms work quite differently due to their inherent nature. TV inherently is the way it is (and lectures, and newspapers, and all other forms of media) because it cannot be anything else.
BirdieNZ··on My ADHD founder toolbox
I take methylphenidate slow release, and have for several years now. If I take an extended holiday, the first ~week back definitely feels like there is a stronger effect, but days when I take it vs don't are very noticeable in how difficult my day is. People in my personal life can call it out when I am unmedicated, my sleep is worse, chores don't get done, I waste more time at work, I go more crazy at social events and so on.

I really hope it keeps working in the longer term because it's been life changing so far.

BirdieNZ··on The FDA has officially declared a shortage of Adderall
I'm diagnosed with ADHD, I self-describe it as a mental retardation. Mentally ill seems accurate, too. I don't have a learning disability, per se, whereas most forms of mental retardation involve a learning disability. Perhaps that's why people aren't so fast to call ADHD a mental illness or mental retardation.
BirdieNZ··on Evidence-based conclusions about ADHD
We've had Ritalin for ADHD treatment since 1954.
BirdieNZ··on Ask HN: Are there any positive sum board games?
The original Monopoly, not sure how easy it is to get your hands on a modern version but it has two rulesets and you switch from classic Monopoly rules to Prosperity rules when a majority of players agree. The Prosperity rules are non-zero-sum.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Landlord's_Game

BirdieNZ··on The anti-inflation pivot of 2022
> Plenty of land

Land is generally not very valuable by itself, it is locations that are valuable (specifically desirable locations in growing cities). There are highly limited locations available in Canadian cities, particularly the desirable cities of Toronto and Vancouver.

Same with the Bay Area, NYC, Hong Kong, Singapore, Sydney, Auckland etc. Singapore does probably the best job of the above at keeping housing relatively affordable despite very limited locations.

BirdieNZ··on Building future cities out of timber could save 100B tons of CO2 emissions
Note that this isn't a problem in wood frame buildings built with proper sound insulation, so it's more that regulations in many municipalities allow weak sound insulation, and developers build to the cheapest spec possible if there's no compelling reason not to.
BirdieNZ··on Speech by Chair Powell on monetary policy and price stability
The theory sounds good, but in practice we can see that rents stay quite stable as a ratio of income, and not as a ratio of interest rates, or house prices, or anything else that would be a landlord cost. Check out the rent to income ratio in your own municipality and compare to, say, rent-to-interest rate, or rent-to-property-price. Landlord costs only get passed down when there is significant room to increase rents in the tenants income and there is insufficient supply to handle the number of potential tenants.
BirdieNZ··on Speech by Chair Powell on monetary policy and price stability
Landlords in supply-constrained cities are able to charge the maximum rent their tenants can afford; and increase in landlord costs is thus not able to be passed onto the tenant, because if the tenant could bear more they would already be charged that much.

This is in aggregate, of course; individual landlords may charge less than what individual tenants can bear but across the rental market, landlords extract monopoly rents already.

That's why you will find rents increase proportionately to incomes, not landlord costs. This is highly apparent in New Zealand, where mortgages are not fixed rates for more than 5 years; interest rate changes have little to no impact on rents, but supply and tenant incomes do.

BirdieNZ··on Housing is at the root of many of the rich world’s problems (2020)
The difference between land (and natural resources) and gym memberships, 401ks etc. is that you can make more gyms and companies and investment fhnds, but the supply of locations and natural resources is limited. This means that land functions as a monopoly (hence the board game!) whereas 401ks and gyms are non-monopolistic.

Owners of monopolies stand to benefit from not just a reasonable return on investment, but an excessive return on investment proportion to their contribution to society.

Many countries and societies have handled this in different ways, such as the idea of the commons, or Norway's taxation of oil extraction, or land value taxes and land leases.

> You feel like you are salty that you couldn't get a hold on such a resource in time.

I am a software developer, and as such am able to comfortably acquire land in a good location and provide for my family. However, many of my generation are unable to, unlike previous generations, because the good locations have all been taken by the previous generations. This is why we see enormous poverty next to enormous progress, because late comers to the party are so far behind as to be basically unable to "get on the ladder". The ladder is being pulled up before their eyes.

A great solution to this is to tax the excess economic rents that monopolies create, rather than taxing labour and capital. Henry George is the most famous proponent of such a system, and you can find out more here: https://www.gameofrent.com/ or at astralcodexten's book review of Progress and Poverty.

This means that those who contribute to society through labour and capital are not discouraged from doing so, but those who leech off others through monopoly rent extraction return that rent to the society that created it in the first place. This is a far more just and equitable solution.

Of course, many existing monopoly owners (e.g. landowners, and particularly property investors) hate the idea, because people tend to act in their own self-interest to the disadvantage of others.

BirdieNZ··on Housing is at the root of many of the rich world’s problems (2020)
> The landlord magically pulls a home out of thin air and some group of people maintain for them for free?

The building-lord should receive some return for their investment, as they have created value and added to it through maintenance.

The land-lord receives return for doing no work, no addition of value, and only through extracting the excess economic rent from their tenants.

Unfortunately, conversations around property investment and land taxes and so on tend to derail because the land-lord and building-lord are often the same person. The response to "the landlord is a leech on society" is "no, he built a house and maintains it!", but in reality it is "the land-lord is a leech on society, the building-lord is a contributor to society".

BirdieNZ··on NIMBY No More: Gainesville, Florida, Moves to End Single-Family Zoning
Can I not, as part of my local community, advocate for my right to build what I want on my land? Can the person who wants to have only low density not move somewhere else if the community decides to allow density?
BirdieNZ··on NIMBY No More: Gainesville, Florida, Moves to End Single-Family Zoning
The NIMBYs don't want to let me build what I want on my own land.
BirdieNZ··on Google adds a tag to identify Asian-owned businesses in Search and Maps
Who are these people who think having enough parking spaces is a bad thing?

The closest I can think of are people who think parking minimum regulations should be removed, so that stores and house owners can decide for themselves how much parking they want to put in; certainly a far step different from not wanting an adequate number of parking spaces.

BirdieNZ··on The global housing market is broken, and it’s dividing entire countries
It's hard to tell, because it somewhat coincided with interest rates moving (first down, then now up), but it seems to have increased rental supply enough that the rental market is becoming competitive. Land prices generally went up, which you would expect when you can extract more rents from the same piece of land. More housing density = more rent per land area!
BirdieNZ··on The global housing market is broken, and it’s dividing entire countries
> You can't physically fit unlimited people in a small area.

You can certainly fit a lot more people in most major Western cities, without even much difference in lifestyle. Simply allow people to build what they want on their land, within reason. We've seen this in New Zealand, where recent law changes have allowed townhouses (terraced housing, with shared walls but otherwise freehold) and many many townhouses are being built everywhere.

Most houses are still standalone houses, no one is forcing you to develop your property, but if every 20th section is turned from a single house into 6 townhouses, a lot more people are able to fit into a smaller space while still having a comfortable, quiet home in a good location.

Our intertenancy walls have good soundproofing, enforced by regulations, so you don't really hear your neighbours. You can pay more for a standalone house, or less for a house with shared walls.

BirdieNZ··on The global housing market is broken, and it’s dividing entire countries
> we turned housing into a retirement scheme

It wasn't turned into a scheme by anyone, it's the nature of land. See Ricardo's Law of Rent; owners of land are able to extract rent from the tenants, and in desirable locations they can extract larger amounts of rent. If you want to make money without doing any work, buy land in desirable, growing locations and rent it out.

The solution is a land value tax, accompanied with a citizen's dividend or a reduction in other taxes such as income taxes.

BirdieNZ··on High property taxes are good
Right now we have lots of income tax, but most countries have very low land value tax/property tax. This means you don't "own" all the fruits of your labour, but you "own" land, which derives its value from the labour of society as a whole around the land.

The Georgist proposal is that you should own all the fruit of your personal labour (no income tax) but that the proceeds of the labour of society should be returned to society at large, through a land value tax that captures the rental value of the land.

The current status quo in most countries is that you can own a piece of land in the middle of a metropolis and do no labour, and yet reap significant reward. This is in essence a theft from society, as the citizens of the metropolis are labouring and building capital that creates value for the piece of land, yet the land-owner proportionally does very little to create value for their land. If you want to discourage theft and encourage keeping the fruits of your labour, the Georgist proposal is fantastic.

BirdieNZ··on High property taxes are good
It disincentivises labour, yes.
BirdieNZ··on Abolish Zoning
> But this push to take away the freedom of people to not live on top of each other is another form of classism

This sounds like a ridiculous straw-man; who's pushing to take away freedom of people to not live on top of each other?

People advocating for suburbs to pay their fair share of taxes, and for less car subsidy, and for less restrictive zoning are not restricting freedom but increasing it.

BirdieNZ··on Finally, no bid on mortgage-backed securities
If interest rates go to 18%, you bet the house would drop to $550,000.

I'm expecting house prices in my country to drop at least 30% in the next couple of years and I'm only expecting interest rates to get to around 10%, 18% would destroy the housing market.

BirdieNZ··on Inflation is differential and restructuring (2021)
You can still do all those things on the Pentium 4 (boot up Windows XP, install Morrowind, use MS Office 2000 or whichever version was current, watch The Matrix), but the cost to buy the PC is significantly less (even taking into account the second-hand nature of the PC).

It isn't comparing like to like to compare the cost of a modern PC to one 20 years old, with modern games, modern websites, modern Office products etc.

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