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Ataraxic

352 karma · joined August 11, 2016

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Ataraxic··on The collapse of SVB exposes the largest crack in the economy
> The issue wasn’t that SVB couldn’t foresee higher interest rates.

Becoming insolvent because the rates reached ~5% when history has had far greater rates is in fact an issue for SVB. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate

The federal reserve has dual mandates for both full employment and to have stable inflation. These mandates are in many ways opposed to each other. Putting the blame on the fed in hindsight is always easy, but unlike an institution with such a mandate SVB failed at one of the most fundamental parts of being a bank.

Ataraxic··on The collapse of SVB exposes the largest crack in the economy
I think you're suggesting that somehow SVB a large and sophisticated bank could not contemplate that the fed would raise interest rates. Not to mention despite the size of their bet, they could have unwound this position for the last couple years since their initial bet.

>And they bought safe assets with that money.

The point is that you can't buy 100B of bonds and say "oh bonds are safe". When you buy low yield bonds with a 10 year maturation you're inherently betting that rates aren't going to rise since their valuation will go down if rates rise.

When you're a bank risk management does not involve hoping the fed doesn't raise interest rates. Sometimes you make the wrong bet but you recognize your mistake, take the loss and sell those T-Bonds earlier. Then you plan your communication to clearly explain why so that a bank run doesn't happen.

It seems the one of the pieces in the chain is that there was a big disconnect between the internal perception of the magnitude of the problem and what was communicated. Silicon Valley VCs and startups are twitchy right now and they tried to exit this position too late with too little explanation and got hit with a very old and very traditional bank run.

Ataraxic··on YouTube CEO Susan Wojcicki is stepping down
hmm I'm going to admit my mistake here.

It does exist but it's hidden in the tabs. My m1 mac screen is not large enough to show the search icon which I must click on the right chevron icon to see as it's on the far right.

I'm glad it's there but it wasn't always like this. I wonder if I'm just an idiot (totally possible), a dark pattern, or just a bad UI change.

Ataraxic··on YouTube CEO Susan Wojcicki is stepping down
I am personally completely unable to understand the decision to remove the ability for me to search a youtuber's videos. I didn't even know this was something a video website could take away!
Ataraxic··on Rise of ‘zombie’ VCs as startup valuations plunge
Layoffs in tech. Not hearing much about other parts of the economy. Totally possible I haven't seen the reporting but I'd argue that tech/growth industries suffering layoffs don't really indicate a recession by itself even if they are large.
Ataraxic··on Part II: The failure points from $5M to $100M in ARR
Hiring speed, hire quality, compensation (including things like work/life balance, healthcare, flexibility). I think you can try for two.

Once you get large enough your ability to really selectively recruit gets a lot harder when natural attrition means you need to replace X amount of people just to continue operating as before.

Of course earlier on, the fewer the people the larger the impact each one will have so just like the article says about transitioning to enterprise, the focus and requirements of the HR team change as well.

Ataraxic··on Part II: The failure points from $5M to $100M in ARR
I wonder if you have more context or numbers. What companies are you thinking of. I remember companies like WeWork and Coinbase dropping in valuation but what more traditional Saas companies have run into this sort of hurdle?

I'd argue that ARR is still a good measure just not the growth at all costs, w/e it takes to get toe 100M ARR/Unicorn status anymore. After all, sales is sales and if you don't have repeatable sales you probably don't have much of anything.

Ataraxic··on Please don’t film me in 2023
So all tiktok videos shot in the "tiktok" format are about provoking a reaction?

You're the one who makes the claim.

Ataraxic··on Please don’t film me in 2023
> The ones filming aren't courteously approaching people to ask a question; they are provoking a reaction

And you're making this claims about all videos in this format or what? The "Man on the street" format isn't anything new. I don't think you have any evidence to state this as an absolute.

I'm sorry you had a bad experience with a video camera in public but you can be publicly humiliated and harassed without a camera too.

My disagreement is that there is no law requiring consent to film in public and there shouldn't be. We should clearly define what kind of behavior is considered harassment and create more avenues to reduce it but that is irrespective of recording. Something that was harassment without recording is still harassment with recording and vice-versa.

Ataraxic··on Please don’t film me in 2023
Feel like this article is trying to tie many disparate complaints about people filming in public together.

It at one time criticizes the surveillance state and then also tries to connect it to the "man on the street" format.

Seems simply like a compilation of complaints by someone who doesn't like to be filmed in public.

Ataraxic··on Please don’t film me in 2023
Asking someone in public a question isn't harassment. Doing the same with a video camera is also not harassment. If they make the polite request to stop and you don't, it would start to be harassment.
Ataraxic··on Why do all these 20-somethings have closed captions turned on?
Audio mixing has been absolutely terrible in so many productions that I started using subtitles a few years back and then I got used to them.

If I want to really focus on the movie I usually turn the subtitles off because sometimes the subtitles are ahead of the scene a bit and then it spoils some key moments slightly. HOWEVER, when I fail to understand a word and the subtitles are off I rewind, turn them back on, and just leave them that way. If audio mixing was consistent and good I would leave them off.

Ataraxic··on Contra Wirecutter on the IKEA air purifier
Sure totally, it just makes it harder for me to verify _their_ numbers though.

Someone else replied to me and said it is the levoit core 300. Their fan does seem weirdly inefficient, but comparing the high mode of the levoit model to the ikea isn't really the right comparison imo.

Ataraxic··on Contra Wirecutter on the IKEA air purifier
Looking at the wattage comparisons, the article talks about the "Wirecutter recommended air purifier" but seems to go out of its way to not mention it by name. Why?

Second, I don't believe this air purifier, or really any recommended air purifier is going to use 45 watts for any extended period of time. The main power draw is simply the fan and a fan using 45 watts is going to be extremely loud.

Secondly, I think there is an argument to be made for an air purifier quickly reducing particle count and then switching back into a lower noise mode.

The suspicious CADR numbers do require more investigation on the wirecutter side though.

Ataraxic··on Why We’re Sticking with Ruby on Rails at Gitlab
I actually disagree that it's suspicious. I think there are often trends in programming that despite being touted as newer, better, and faster have failed to deliver on that. Ala the amazing amount of churn in JS frameworks in the earlier years of SPA's and such. An article saying y'know what "X is actually good enough" isn't any more suspicious than all the articles saying "Y is the new hot thing".

I am biased here because with respect to the products that I've helped create the speed of ruby vs js, python, etc. has never been a dealbreaker.

Even if porting an entire application wasn't a nightmare, why would you ever do it unless your organization was going to fail without? Porting entire applications needs to be justified by some critical requirement that (in this case) ruby/rails isn't meeting.

https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2000/04/06/things-you-should-... -- Porting an entire application into a new language can easily be a rewrite and not a "port".

Ataraxic··on Dreaded commute to the city is keeping offices mostly empty
Sure I totally agree that people have different preferences. Do you have a link to the study which showed that open offices reduced personal interaction? That wasn't my experience and I'm wondering what their methodology was.
Ataraxic··on Dreaded commute to the city is keeping offices mostly empty
I feel like the unicorn where I both enjoyed my colleagues in the office and had a lot of fun. Was it _more_ productive? Hard to say but I could easily put on my headphones and work. The lack of visual privacy I realize but I would never say it hindered my work. Then again nobody was on me if I went on reddit for a bit because the tests are running.

I think a bunch of people on hacker news are discounting how much more you can learn in an office with helpful colleagues. When I was a new developer I absorbed so much information in the office just from being able to ask people questions in person. Just from people overhearing a conversation I was having and saying "I think you probably want to do it like X instead" and explaining! In my opinion many people are discounting the development of newer engineers. I'm sure it can happen remotely but remote work requires more intentional coordination and that's one area that I doubt it's happening more effectively than in an office (on the whole). I'm not saying in person meetings are awesome but comparatively, interacting with other people is easier and more enjoyable as opposed to having the same meeting digitally.

Ataraxic··on The math prodigy whose hack upended DeFi won’t return funds
That may be the premise, but has that actually be held up and recognized as such in courts in major countries? Like are there precedents regarding this?

At that point it's no longer a premise (for those particular countries), but until then it's just a supposition.

I think courts are wary to wade deeply into a new financial system like this but at the same time I find it hard to believe that the judiciary and the legislature would rule (in the long run) that they have no ability to "make things right".

If crypto grows as as many people suggest and you have some significant percentage of the country that has savings or investments tied to these smart contracts, if there is a loophole like in this case, you'd have lots of people writing their local or national representative about this. I find it hard to believe that politicians would tell the people they represent "tough luck code is law".

Ataraxic··on The bottom is dropping out of Netflix
I think it's not just canceling their "best" shows. They have lots of data on what people watch. Rather I'd say that when you cancel shows people love whether or not they have great ratings you're creating a lot of brand damage that is not accounted for. I think this latest price increase really tipped that over the edge for plenty of people that weren't getting much use from Netflix.

Price increases bring increased scrutiny on the value of the service compared to just hiding as a monthly $15 charge or so amongst a sea of subscriptions that products are sold as.

This is anecdotal but this is my experience. I used to love Netflix and though maybe they didn't have the most shows they had shows I realllllly wanted to watch. Now? There is so little that I care about and the positive brand sentiment is gone. Great shows that I became attached to were canceled so regularly that I am truly not interested in investing time into their shows. Not all shows should go on forever but then you might as well commit to making everything a limited 2 season series and be honest about it.

I actually canceled Netflix and had not had it for a year before the pandemic (where I gave in) but I think many people in this economic environment are finding it easier to give up a TV subscription to a company that produces _mostly_, mediocrity.

It truly has been interesting to watch a giant brand so committed to their own internal analytics that they've lost so much of their brand reputation.

Ataraxic··on Ian Cutress leaves Anandtech
I remember joining the anandtech forums in the very early 2000's. I'm continually surprised how great a resource it's remained for over 20 years now. Certainly impressive!
Ataraxic··on Our Rails test suite runs in 1 minute on Buildkite
I think your last statement captures something that not often emphasized, which is that startup time of workers and app are variable costs which scale with the amount of parallelization and so if you have a very large test suite there may be a limit where setup eats up so much time that parallelizing more is going to be pretty "wasteful" and I guess that's where the money comes in.

Secondly if you're actually trying to startup 100+ test workers per build and so on there's going to be some time distribution for how long it takes for each worker to startup and that adds a bit more time for all workers to complete. This distribution probably isn't _that_ wide timewise but if you really start to push your test suite runtime down it may pop up. If you're running things in docker sometimes a node doesn't have the image in it's docker cache...

Unsure if CI services like buildkite have really made this that much faster but it seems like they are using a single box with 64 cores.

Ataraxic··on Ask HN: Firefox connection problems after enabling DoH?
Thank you this indeed works.
Ataraxic··on A single line of code made a 24-core server slower than a laptop
Just as information for some later readers, but this is applicable not just to Epyc but also the consumer version Threadripper. My understanding is that this is an example of a Non-Uniform Memory Access (NUMA) which was also used to link multiple cpus in different sockets together for a long time now, but now they've been integrated into a cpu that fits in one socket.

This actually has an importance if you are running a VM on such a system since you'll run into things like the actual RAM (not l3 cache) is often directly linked to a particular NUMA node. For example accessing memory in the first ram stick vs the second will give different latencies as it goes from ccx1 => ccx2 => stick2 versus ccx1 => stick1. This is applicable to I think 2XXX versions and earlier for threadripper. My understanding is that they solved this in later versions using the infinity fabric (IO die) so now all ccx's go through the IO die.

I ran into all of this trying to run an ubuntu machine that ran windows using KVM while passing through my nvidia graphics card.

Ataraxic··on Avoid Ultrasonic Humidifiers
I recently bought an ultrasonic humidifer after a recommendation from wirecutter but after doing some research I am returning it.

I think the tone of this article is a bit alarmist but there is a truth here: ultrasonic humidifiers significantly increase measured PM2.5 particles in the air. PM2.5 is used here because they are tiny and will travel deeply into your lungs and can be absorbed into your bloodstream. Now, with respect to the _kind_ of particles that ultrasonic humidifiers put into the air... well it's whats in your water. If you have easy access to distilled water then ultrasonic humidifiers can be both efficient and you don't have to worry about particles.

I think there is some reason to believe that the particles in your water even if absorbed into your lungs are less likely to cause damage than say PM2.5 smog particles just from a comparative point of view.

As someone who used to get bronchitis from sinuses too often I both want to use a humidifier and also not worry about this sort of issue in the first place so for me it's just not worth evaluating the risk not that there is enough information to do so anyway.

My opinion is get a simple hot or cold evaporative humidifier, clean it regularly because you should be doing that anyway and move on. I think it's pretty useful to use a few drops of some water treatment as well since it will reduce bacterial and mineral buildup.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3922954/ > These results indicate that aerosol particles released from ultrasonic humidifiers operated with tap water initiated a cellular response but did not cause severe acute inflammation in pulmonary tissue. Additionally, high mineral content tap water is not recommended and de-mineralized water should be recommended in order to exclude any adverse effects.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/51859262_Indoor_par...

Ataraxic··on Demystifying USB-C and Thunderbolt Docks (2017)
I appreciate this article but fundamentally this is just a fault of the USB-C standard. One of the hardest parts is not just that it's sometimes confusing what is supported, a lot of the complexity is also pushed onto what any given usb-c cable supports.

Sometimes, especially with video, there is a distinct direction built into many of these cables. Now you need to find in your cable bin/storage the right kind of cable for each application potentially killing a lot of re-usability (if you have neatly organized usb-c cables labeled by their technical capabilities you're much better than me).

Not to mention, there are issues with power. Lots of laptops have video wired to usb-c which you can connect to a monitor, but I bought a portable monitor that took usb-c as an input using the DP standard last year and it was a nightmare to get it work correctly. My understanding was that usb-c => DP, most of the time the cable itself is unpowered from the usb-c side since the monitor accepting displayport will power the connection on its side (since it's usually plugged in). Since mine was a portable monitor this wasn't the case and I basically needed to use a wacom link to combine a DP signal, separate usb power into a combined signal out. Totally lame...

Ataraxic··on Making Emacs Popular Again
Popularity is more of a marketing problem than an editor problem.

At the same time, if we compare emacs to vscode, vscode simply requires less configuration to get going. Given how much tooling exists in the javascript ecosystem, I think having a few plugins "just work" goes a long way.

Asking users to configure emacs from scratch to have a reasonable editing experience in their programming language of their choice is a lot. I think configurations like doom or spacemacs do a lot for this problem, but it really comes down to marketing.

Ataraxic··on Making Emacs Popular Again
It's the notation for the shortcut Ctrl+c, which would be used in windows to copy and Ctrl+v for paste.

It's written in most emacs documentation as C-c for brevity.

Ataraxic··on Deepfake 'Silence of the Lambs' with Willem Dafoe and Gillian Anderson [video]
The pupils are often not centered or circular for hannibal. Was actually a bit creepier at first because of it.
Ataraxic··on Artifact: What Went Wrong?
I enjoyed the point about tutorials. As far as tutorials go, it was maybe the best I've seen. At some point though, no matter if I know I can take 1 of 10 actions, I still have to make a decision and I had no idea which one to make or how to model my thinking to help me.

I think if you look at a comparison like Dota or League, whenever a new player is being given an explanation of the game, they are told to just "last-hit" the minions for gold. This is sort of mini-game within the game and allows players to feel like they are achieving something while also improving their skills. It creates simple gameplay in a complex game. Without simple actions or choices to improve at the game starts complex and remains that way throughout. This creates a high barrier to an intuitive understanding of the game, and I think intuitively people understand whether a game is fun or not.

Ataraxic··on Boeing 737 MAX crash and the rejection of ridiculous data
I will edit my post with the update.
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