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ActorNightly

2,268 karma · joined April 8, 2019

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ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
Every decision that we make, at every moment in our lives, is exactly how an LLM chooses the next token to output - at the end of our thought chain, there is allways one that wins with the highest probability.

Its highlighted well in the psychological effect of tossing a coin when you are not sure about something, not to make the choice for you, but to see how you feel about the outcome, which tells you what you really want.

So for someone that overeats, and then feels ill, knowing that would happen, is simply a case of them valuing the enjoyment of food over feeling ill. If they were perfectly logical, without emotions, they would overeat, feel ill, and then not complain about feeling ill because they understood that they did it to themselves and this is a necessary sacrifice for the enjoyment of prior. But because humans are emotional we react to feeling ill with negative emotion, which externally makes it seem like we made the wrong choice, but we didnt.

ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
It means that you assume that the person is capable of rationally analyzing a situation, and making the best choice for themselves. And if that choice is financial ruin, than that is what they want, and if doesn't affect anyone else, they should be able to make that choice.
ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
Option 2 is world wide. Unfortunately it seems to be the correct one if we want society to last. I don't think that humans have the internal machinery in their brains compatible with growing a society without strong oversight.
ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
>Financial adviser charging substantially above-market fees to recent widows, who lack experience in finance

As long as the financial advisers statement is along the lines of "this is the service I provide, these are my rates", with no lies about saying how his rates are the best or lying about what he can actually do, absolutely no problem.

That doesn't mean that he is of a moral upstanding character, but he certainly shouldn't be banned from setting his own price.

>Selling heroin outside of a drug rehab clinic (All information available & understood, but under compromising circumstances)

This one is tricky, because unlike online sports gambling, this ties into other things.

My answer would still be yes with the following caveats

* The heroin seller is FDA certified and not making the drug at home where he can accidentally mess it up and kill someone that is not expecting to die.

* We have a system of dealing with people effectively who turn to drugs. Id be 100% for state/government funded drug camps where anyone can either voluntarily enter, or get put there if their drug use causes them to be a public nuisance. They can stay there, get shelter and food and basic first aid for free, and get all the drugs they want, with 2 caveats: no advanced medical care (if you OD, or have a heart attack, you die), and the only way to leave is to go through a trial reintegration program where you get support for getting off drugs, get put to work, and do this for a year before being let out.

ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
There is a difference between allowing free agency while creating an environment to steer people away from bad things, versus banning said things.
ActorNightly··on DraftKings Is Using AI to Behaviorally Target Chronic Gamblers
Are humans not in control of what they get addicted to? Or are we genetically born with a switch that gives us no option to get addicted to stuff?
ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
You are mixing 3 separate issues into 1.

1. If someone knows all the information, but still chooses to make the wrong decision.

2. Someone is being told wrong or incomplete information, leading them to make the wrong decision

3. Someone is being forced by external means into making an wrong decision.

Two and three are already illegal, under fraud and coersion.

Im solely talking about 1. Because if you don't believe people have full agency in that regard, you have to prove to what extent can you determine what is deception. You can't just willy nilly say that something feels immoral, and therefore should be banned.

ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
Then it means that people are responsible to themselves to fix their gullible nature
ActorNightly··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
In general, there is a bigger philosophical question.

Do we treat humans as

1) having full agency, and thus full responsibility for their actions

2) having less than full agency, and then to what extent must society/governments implement control over things that humans can't control within themselves

Because generally, if you subscribe to 1, there is nothing immortal from taking money from a human that that wants to hand it over, provided that human well knows what is at stake. So as long as these websites aren't defrauding the customers with fake stats, there really is nothing wrong.

If you subscribe to 2, then thats a much riskier line to walk because that affects a lot of things, not just gambling.

ActorNightly··on Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face
Lets say I have like 10 very competent engineers on my payroll. Given the fact that artifactory exploit was basically figuring out a combination of auth headers and request data to send, how long do you think it would take them to write python scripts to try all combinations that leads to a zero day?

My main skepticism isn't even that, it comes from working in security. In general, if Im setting up publicly accessible service infrastructure, with security in mind there are 2 things Im absolutely going to implement in a firewall setup.

First is statistical traffic detection to check if we are being hit with too many failed requests from consistent endpoints, and heavily throttles that traffic based on fingerprinting.

Second is payload inspection to see if there is anything that looks like shell code in there, and automatically ban the ip.

Both of those are basically enough to prevent any number of agents (or team of 10 engineers) from essentially brute forcing a logic exploit.

So either HF team is incompetent, which given its prominence and buyout by Nvidia, I highly doubt it. Or something fishy is going on.

ActorNightly··on Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face
If I can't see reasoning traces, I am not going to believe what "third party", which can very well be on OpenAIs payroll, says.
ActorNightly··on The problem is not the AI code, but nobody knows anything anymore
Given a working system, like a web service or services, and their code, non technical people can now make effective changes with LLMs.

For example, nobody on our team writes manual code anymore, we have basically set up a harness where an engineer types up the requirements for a change, the system implements it given certain constraints, we have automated unit and integration tests that are ran, and if any errors pop up, they get fed back into the loop until fixed.

But to do that, you need to actually know what you are doing - you have to have good instructions to keep the agents in check and not start making mods outside of their bounds especially when the issue is with a dependant service that is causing errors.

ActorNightly··on Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face
Im more skeptical.

For exmaple,

>On July 8th, OpenAI agents discovered a vulnerability within their sandbox environment allowing them to reach external websites on the internet.

...did they truly "discover" it, or did someone type some prompt like "if you use an http mirroring service, you can construct urls that contain code"

Also there is no mention of what code they actually ran to exploring the HF vulnerability, which could have been found by a human.

ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
Currently, nothing that any of Elons companies are doing is scaling. I don't care if someone back in 2018 wanted to work at Tesla, because of how well Model 3 was doing. Today, the colossal turd that is the Cybertruck is their flagship product, Model 2 is nowhere to be found, Cybertaxis are dangerous, and Roadster is never happening.

For SpaceX, their launches are just as expensive (if not more expensive) compared to traditional methods, they are just subsidizing it, while burning money on Starship that will never reach Mars.

So again, no smart person will ever work of any of Elons companies today based on your criteria.

ActorNightly··on Show HN: Hacker Atlas - A map of what Hacker News talks about
Apple Ecosystem lmao.
ActorNightly··on AI safety is mostly a sex cult in Berkeley
That Aella girl just inserts herself into stuff with her very liberal about sex personality to stay relevant. She used to post edgy nerdy nudes back in 2010s on reddit. I wouldn't believe anything she says she does IRL tbh.
ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
If you started at SpaceX after Musk went apeshit, you are certainly not becoming a millionaire.
ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
Your response was along the lines of "despite Musk's character, his companies do groundbreaking stuff, so in return for being overworked and underpaid, they get to work on things that no one else is working on"

My point is that none of the companies do groundbreaking stuff, and there are other options for people wanting to work at those.

ActorNightly··on Transformers Explained Visually
Pretty much.
ActorNightly··on Transformers Explained Visually
Im saying you don't need to capture directionality if you capture all possible cases of sentence construction.

As for evolution, you can still go gradients, the problem is that you can't do gradients in a space with many false positives. You need some method of figuring out the true optimal point.

ActorNightly··on Did OpenAI solve the wrong Navier-Stokes problem?
Betteridge's law of headlines
ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
The smart people do one of 3 things:

* Start their own company

* Go work for a startup where they actually get paid options, and have a say in what the company does.

* Go chill at one of the big companies getting paid good salary while coasting because the work is so easy.

What they certainly don't do is go work at a company for less pay and harder work hours, all so that they can make a literal Nazi richer.

ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
>If not for Tesla there won't be EVs you see today.

Most manufacturers already were working on hybrids, which to this day are still suprerior to EVs. Chevy Volt, outside of being Chevy, was still one of the best cars ever made for utilitarian purpose. Nobody wanted to foot the bill to do electric conversions until this was necessary.

Tesla only opened up a market segment for high end electric cars, which I guess is cool, but far from revolutionary. The model 3 was a big success only because again, it was subsidized. Meanwhile BYD actually makes cheap affordable electric cars, and we both know why they are not sold in US.

>If not for SpaceX there wouldn't be gigabit internet connectivity in the middle of the ocean.

Plenty of companies were doing geostationary orbits with satellite connectivity. SES for one.

Any more Elon slop? You realize you are defending a dude that is literally a Nazi, right?

ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
Nice Elon slop.

If you think anything Elon doing is groundbreaking, you have no idea how the world works. Recent Space X ipo showed that the launches aren't cheaper, they are just heavily subsidized. Tesla was a piece of crap until they got their model 3, the only reason Tesla succeeded with their S model is because Elon was the edgy hype dude who managed to generate enough hype to carry them through the bullshit with the car. Self driving was supposed to be solved last year, and tiny companies like Comma AI manage to build self driving systems that are in someways better than Teslas.

I bet you think Steve Jobs was a visionary as well lol.

ActorNightly··on Grok 4.7
Doing much better if you consider the ratio of outcome success/ money put in.
ActorNightly··on Transformers Explained Visually
edit:

...You have weights matricies for K/Q/V, which when post multiplied with the input, give you the KQV ** matricies **...

ActorNightly··on Transformers Explained Visually
Imagine you have a soccer field, a ball with position x and y, a kick strength, and direction in an angle. Your job is to write a function that determines if the ball will end up in a goal. So that is 4 values. However the function itself will contain many intricacies, like trig functions, simulated drag, and so on.

In the contest of LLMs, you cant have these types of coded function. Your function has to be a mathematical equation that is smooth - i.e no discrete steps, no singularities. The reason for this is when any neural net is trained, you use backpropagation of the error to adjust weights, and how much you adjust them is directly proportional to the weights effect on the final output, and in order to compute this, you have to have smooth functions from start to finish.

So what you do instead is you add data to your 4 values, that capture different relationship between them. If your 4 values are x,y,k,and h, your first data point can be a1x + b1y + c1k + d1h. The second point can be a2x + b3y + c4k + d5h. And so on. You can have as many of those values as you want. And then you can add, combine, and scale those values in any way you chose.

This basically gives you a map of 4 values into a binary decision whether the ball will end up in a goal or not, after sufficient training. However, the total number of extra values that you chose has to be large enough to capture all possibilities - if you don't have enough, you will start to make mistakes for some initial conditions.

ActorNightly··on Transformers Explained Visually
I mean, given sentence construction, you don't really need to capture directionality, you just have a mapping of how sentences are constructed to the latent space of some representation.

>Nirvana? Singularity? Paperclips? Vernor Vinge rising from the dead? I'm curious; please share!

Simulated evolution. Thats how you "solve" highly nonlinear chaotic systems. And generally, if you think about it, you have to have some secondary system on top of the knowledge embedded in LLMs to drive them to select certain tokens, which then starts to eerily resemble what humans call emotions in themselves.

ActorNightly··on Transformers Explained Visually
>how transformers work,

most people in ML have no idea what transformers actually are.

Traditional networks, at every layer, used to be output = [weights matrix][input], where input is a vector, and weights matrix is the weights, where each row corresponds to the set of weights for each neuron.

Transformers upscale the dimension of the data. Instead of the above, transformers do [output] = [input][weights_matrix]. When you multiply an input by a matrix, you get an output matrix back. Thats all that happens. Nothing fancy. You have weights matricies for K/Q/V, which when post multiplied with the input, give you the KQV vectors, and then you just simply multiply them together and apply a scaling factor.

There is nothing magical about K/Q/V. There is nothing about any one doing any querying or any one representing some keys. The naming is just a carry over from how they that selection process is used in pre llm data science fields where you manually define the key and query matricies to define relationships between components.

The reason of why it works is because is an extension of something called kernel tricks from pre LLM machine learning days - you map a lower dimensional space to an extra dimension based on some equation, and it lets you apply some classifier on the combination of existing values and new value. Thats what transformers are doing - they are mapping the individual token to the dk x n_heads latent space, which allows for a higher dimensional representation of the data, capturing complex relationships.

You can do Transformers with 5 matricies instead of 3, you can do this with 4-dimentional tensors, and so on. The thing is, there really isn't any way to tell if any of that gives you more advantage - it certainly would give you more granularity, but as of right now, in terms of training to generate a specific token given previous ones before it, it seems that you don't need any more dimentions than dk x n_heads. Interestingly enough, you also can mathematically represent any such transformer including the starting one with a sequence of linear layers like in traditional networks, the only thing is that it becomes computationally inefficient due to having duplicates of data.

The reason why RNNs and others and others didn't work is because RNN training is effectively trying to linearly regress on chaotic effects - i.e what set of starting conditions would evolve with a given process into what you want. This is an NP hard problem, and you can't really do it linearly.

Transformer models on the other hand, use breadth instead of compute to capture interactions. In those learned weight matrices, you have a latent space of a bunch of "knowledge" compressed, and an algorithm to search on that "knowledge".

But, its very possible that an RNN can be smarter than a frontier model while being much smaller in size - in the same way that its very possible that you can have the right set of prompts for an existing local inference smaller model that can basically be very close to AGI in terms of being able to solve any problem across any domain. Right now, the space is about exploring those prompts, which is the frameworks and harnesses, to get to there, as well as making the compute portion more efficient so you can explore that space faster.

And the thing that comes after harnesses/efficiency in terms of progress should be obvious if you understand all of the above.

ActorNightly··on M5 Ultra Mac Studio Review
Nice try.

A) He literally says "I tested a different Qwen model for the comparisons between Mac and PC." The model he tested has to fit on one GPU, otherwise the inference is dogshit slow as you are offloading results to ram. If you ran any amount of local inference, you would know this. Considering that Qwen3.8-Flash-Next Q4 is still 100gb, there is no realistic way to run this with a 5090. The model that was run was this https://ollama.com/library/qwen3.8:27b. And the speed of that model on a 5090 in terms of tok/sec is not 60 lol.

B) If M5 ultra runs 40 tok/sec on qwen3.8:27b (and lets assume its the mlx version to gain a performance boost: https://ollama.com/library/qwen3.8:27b-mlx), you have to be delusional to believe it can run 100gb models at 100 tok/sec lol.

As a bonus, in terms of use, its pretty well known that Qwen models are RLed to chase benchmarks. Check out https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.8-27B versus https://qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3.8-flash-next, using different benchmarks the 27b outperforms the flash next on agentic coding. But it matches it in other areas pretty well. So tell me again why you need 100gb models running dogshit slow at peak ~20 tok/sec?

It is so incredibly sad how hard you try to sound intelligent. But thats on par for the course of any person hyping up apple products, throughout apples history.

Considering that Apple probably doesn't want you to engage in this level of pettiness for their advertising posts, you have outed yourself to be #2. And Im not angry at all lol, you keep doing what you do, people like you in the industry are the reason I can work 8 hours a week and still get get paid a lot while being reviewed highly.

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