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27153

320 karma · joined December 5, 2022

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27153··on [dead]
Piece argues that health wearables offer little in the way of marginal health insights or benefits while exacerbating health anxiety, discounting signals from the body, and providing data to big tech and insurance companies.
27153··on Phone searches at the US border hit a record high
https://archive.ph/cx5HQ
27153··on [dead]
Where are the weirdos? Is it all just AI now?
27153··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
Would love to hear why you think this. Couldn’t disagree more at first glance. He feels like a breathe of sanity and rationality in a crazy political world.
27153··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
Appreciate the comment. This is the author here. Unfortunately, due to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brandolini%27s_law as pointed out by another comment, there is an asymmetry of effort in making vs finding/disproving false claims. I was just lucky to have been recently primed with the information to notice this mistake. My usual niche is writing about climbing and skiing, but if I'll be sure to share future thoughts in this realm.
27153··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
Ezra Klein
27153··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
The order of magnitude of his mistake makes it damning. Especially considering he began his commentary by noting that "the data can be confusing"
27153··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
Government spending is how a Keynesian combats a recession. For perspective, though, look at this chart of government spending as a % of GDP. It has never gotten even close to 85% of GDP (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=8fX). Chamath claimed it was 85% of GDP growth, which is a different calculation, but looking at [this data](https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2024-10/gdp3q24-adv....) from the past couple of years you can see that the claim is still incorrect.
27153··on Learning not to trust the All-In podcast
It's frustratingly impressive how grifters are able to maintain a grift even after it's made evident that they are grifting...
27153··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
How do the costs not apply to the tens of thousands of lives that could have been saved?
27153··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
I don’t think EAs are focused on assigning credit here. It’s very consequentialist; they would say “it doesn’t matter who saved the 100 lives, it matters that they were saved.”
27153··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
Think about the counterfactual: a student doesn’t go to Harvard, they instead go to Duke or a public Ivy. They’re only marginally worse off. All of these schools already have enough money to where families making under $75-$100k won’t be paying anything.

Donations to Harvard are exposed to extremely diminished marginal utility at this point.

27153··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
No, because everyone doesn’t think that way.
27153··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
You don’t think doing more good with the same resources is a good thing? Is it not better to save two lives than one life, all else equal?
27153··on The least impactful way to spend $300M?
Nah the money he gave was unrestricted. They just decided to name the grad school after him. The money isn’t earmarked for anything in particular.
27153··on Tipping Is Spreading and It Sucks
Right! That would disqualify me from going to every coffee shop and small quick service restaurant in my city.
27153··on Companies use drip pricing to overcharge consumers
See https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/meditations-on-moloch/
27153··on Companies use drip pricing to overcharge consumers
Looks like the FTC is aware of it but I'm not sure that there have been any regulations against it yet. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/events/2012/05/economics-dri...

According to Wikipedia there were some strongly worded letters sent to some hotel operators... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drip_pricing