401 karma · joined April 26, 2022
I'd like to respond to this OP (don't have a Twitter account):
https://twitter.com/mSanterre/status/1622015664042164224
I actually have done one of those things. I work in HFT building execution systems for options market making :)
If I interpret OP's statement correctly, that chatGPT can build complex systems from scratch in 10 years. Then according to that statement, the only adaptation is to choose a new career because it has made almost all SWE jobs go the way of the dinosaurs.
It is one thing to train an AI on megatons of data, for questions which have solutions. The day ChatGPT can build a highly scalable system from scratch, or an ultra-low latency trading system that beats the competition, or find bugs in the Linux kernel and solve them; then I will worry.
Till then, these headlines are advertising for Open AI, for people who don't understand software or systems, or are trash engineers. The rest of us aren't going to care that much.
Also, strategies change all the time and are mostly the domain of quants and traders. What they did a year ago, could very well be history at the firm they worked at.
I'd say an idea that generates alpha is tougher. I have seen firms like XR have great technology, but sucky ideas. They were fast, not smart and hence they didn't make a killing like their competitors did, due to all the volatility in the last three years.
While non-competes on our side are paid, they're a pain in the ass to navigate if one is a visa worker (my case). So, I am praying for this to pass. If it does, I am starting interviewing with competitors the very next day.
The day when AI technology can fix bugs in a multi-million line codebase, make improvements to it; that's the day when I will start worrying. That day is far, far away.
Does that mean, once the jet reaches us 850K years from now, we can say that will be a mass extinction event, or even the end of life on Earth? Compared to a billion years from now when the Sun's luminosity increases.
Some firms like Jane Street and Old Mission have no non-competes.
When an employee resigns to go to another trading firm, to ensure that they don't leave right away and use the secret sauce at their new firm, they put that employee on a non-compete or a garden leave. Basically, for a period of time, could be as little as 2-3 months to 2 years, that employee can either sit at home or go work in an industry that is not trading but for that duration they cannot work in the same industry. The logic is that strategies and systems change pretty frequently, so in that time whatever knowledge that employee has, becomes outdated.
If they decide to sit at home, to make it lucrative, most firms will pay their base salary for that period, or some percentage of total comp (base+bonus). Since the employee is getting paid to do nothing, almost nobody in trading has any issues with non-competes.
While this is pretty awesome, it is a pain in the butt for a visa holder making such a transition. Technically, to remain in status a visa worker has to also be performing the duties on their petition, so even if they get paid during non-compete it can lead for them to leave the US. Since this is not as simple to enforce and not rigorously checked, their previous employer does not revoke their petition till they start at their new firm. Since the workers petition is still active with USCIS, they're getting paid and have benefits still active, it just appears that the employee is still working.
Pretty right. In the HFT world, we have people going on non-competes all the time. During that time, most firms do not pull their visa petition from USCIS, pay continues every two weeks and the employee is still technically an employee of the firm, just that they're on garden leave. This is done by firms so that the employees do not have to leave the US during their non-compete.
They're not doing any work, so technically still counts as a visa status violation.
They need to understand that immigration is a privilege and not a right. If it were a right, then could have successfully sued the US government in a court of law and gotten their green cards ages ago. They forget that and start crying when faced with long wait times. The US didn't invite them , they made the decision to come here.