I literally don’t understand, and have a deep distrust of people who say we haven’t seen deceleration.

The diminishing returns are colossal. GPT 4 is more than 3 years old now, and while Sol is definitely better, it’s better at a tremendous cost. And 3 years of development. And it still fails in nearly all the same places as 4.0.

I’m not some “zero AI” person, I don’t think this industry will collapse into nothing and we will go back to a no LLM world.

But to look at this industry, which basically began in November 2022, almost 4 years and a trillion+ dollars later and say “oh yeah, definitely riding that exponential growth still” is some of the wildest shit I’ve ever seen, and it’s so common.