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How do you know that this isn't already priced by quant firms?

Even if it's expected most can't do the trade because we're Pre-IPO.

Also, realized move always carries more value than expected because of uncertainty.

More like: why would you think it's not already priced in. Answer: I'm super special!

I'm not special, this is a pretty basic idea so there's no edge here but that doesn't mean there's no trade.

Also, you'd be surprised at how simple the most profitable Quant strategies are.