Then quit now. Go find another job. Why do you feel that way? Give me something substantial instead of this.
Why do I feel this way? Because I expect significant improvement from Orion, and I don’t think it will stop improving after that.
By that time I really hope we will have some sort if UBI, so at least we won’t starve to death.
Most software teams can pretty much run themselves and the only real use a SWE manager has imo is running interference because the rest of the company are morons and/or chaotic and being the gopher for things the team needs. I think a manager who isn't also participating in the work should be removed as they are a net-negative.
If the rest of the company is calm and sane, in my opinion, you could have a team with senior+ ICs that take turns doing planning or doing a collaborative planning.
You just said developers will be gone in 2-3 years. There won't be any humans to manage. Did you mean you'll be a SWE manager of LLMs?
Yes, hopefully for a couple more years until such managers are themselves automated.
Could you share the scientific basis for this expectation? Something other than pure hype from OpenAI would be good.