That is kinda crazy - state actors don't need to care about that level of obfuscation. From a state's perspective the situation here would be simple - hire a smart & patriotic programmer to spend ~1+ years maintaining an important package, then they slip a backdoor in. There isn't any point in making it more complicated than that.
They don't even need plausible deniability, groups like the NSA have been caught spying on everyone and it doesn't hurt them all that much. The publicity isn't ideal. But it only confirms what we already new - turns out the spies are spying on people! Who knew.
There are probably dozens if not hundreds of this sort of attempt going on right now. I'd assume most don't get caught. Or go undetected for a many years which is good enough enough. If you have government money on the budget, it makes sense to go with large-volume low-effort attempts rather than try some sort of complex good-cop-bad-cop routine.