Do you relish the prospect of Russian troops on the borders of Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania? I don't.
Meanwhile US relations with Europe would be at the lowest level since WW2, it would be seen as an utter abandonment and betrayal of our shared values, including US treaty guarantees on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. America's allies across the world would know for a fact the US could not be relied upon to support them. Russia would know this. Taiwan would know this. China and North Korea would know this.
They would also realise that this situation might only last as long as the current administration. There are some in the world that would see this as a golden opportunity.
> Meanwhile US relations with Europe would be at the lowest level since WW2, it would be seen as an utter abandonment and betrayal of our shared values, including US treaty guarantees on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine
If you’re referring to the Budapest agreement, it’s not a treaty. And other countries should educate themselves and understand that unilateral commitments by the President that aren’t ratified by Congress aren’t worth anything.
That is being affected by the land war. As soon as the first tank went over the line into Ukraine there were going to be harmful global consequences whatever any other country did.
As for presidential commitments. Taiwans existential security is based entirely on verbal presidential commitments going back to George W.
China relationship is strained for many reasons, Ukraine and their general support for Russia conducting the war is just icing on the cake. This has strained Chinese relations with multiple countries though (UK, EU members, etc.).
India I’m not seeing much in the way of change. The US at least didn’t really do anything different with India buying Russian oil.
US relations with South American companies are variable and generally slightly negative based on what I’ve seen, but I’m not really sure how they have gotten worse. What is leading you to believe that they are?
Saudi Arabia I somewhat agree with but think Middle East politics are extremely complex. Wouldn’t read much into Chinese efforts there.
On the other hand, the US has shored up massive support from all of Europe ex Belarus, Japan, South Korea, Canada, and Australia at a minimum. Finland joins NATO tomorrow.
Overall I’d say the war has been a large boost to American foreign relations on the whole. Can’t please everyone anyway.
W.r.t cost -> everybody is spending money. Russia especially.
On the contrary, perhaps relations are not that good.
https://hindupost.in/world/target-modi-us-regime-change-mach...
> The US is working very hard, in full force to change Modi regime; its the top agenda item for the Hillary-Obama Cabal that is the real power behind Biden.
> On the other hand, the US has shored up massive support from all of Europe ex Belarus, Japan
Regarding Japan this very news article contradicts you somehow.
> Finland joins NATO tomorrow.
Finland is insignificant from a geopolitical point of view. Its joining NATO only makes NATO less secure as a whole, rather than strenghtening it.
Why is that?
Strong disagree. With Finland, NATO's control of the Baltic sea is insurmountable. Together with Turkey's control on the Black Sea, this completely cripples any Russian maritime capabilities.
> rather it's a country in need of protection
Also unlikely. The geography of the Finish border is such that an invasion via land is incredibly difficult. Dense forest and mountainous terrain create many easily defended bottlenecks, and the Finns with their outsized artillery are in a perfect position to defend those.
Even without NATO protection, the Finish gave the Russians a very bloody nose the last time they tried to invade. Since then, the Finish military has been re-structured with the single purpose to defend against another Russian invasion, whereas the Russian military is constrained by many other factors. Any Russian advance against the EU now has to come via the Ukrainian and Polish plains.
This makes zero sense. Please elaborate.
> The dollar relevance is degrading
Can you give some facts and figures to support this ? Because as I understand then the world would be tradin in multiple currencies for Oil&Gas.
I did in another comment under this one. Would you elaborate on why the opposite would be true?
Meaning you don't need to only depend on your own Military capabilities in order to protect your borders.
Finland joining makes Finland's borders a FAR more expensive attack than was previously.
> joining NATO only makes NATO less secure as a whole
NATO is not an offensive/invading force. It's a defensive force. If NATO had what you're referring to as a level of security, it has only increased due to more forces available to respond.
It's that simple.
China and the Saudis are unlikely to somehow turn into genuine friends, and in China's case specifically the unified stance in Ukraine (as well as the "it's harder to invade than you might think" message) sends a bit of a message in the case of Taiwan.
The trade-off seems pretty acceptable.
China and the Saudis are the perfect match. Both are authoritarian regimes that do business. China needs liquid energy and the Saudi needs access to stuff and capital markets. The Chinese can now provide an alternative.
Call me when every European nation actually hits their required NATO spending amount. Until then, talk is cheap.
As an Indian, I detest the Russian invasion. In fact, a number of Indians do, and it's only a few vocal fanatics who seem to support Russia's invasion. None of us thought Russia would be stupid enough to invade Ukraine, and we all thought it was a ploy to raise oilprices by making up "tensions at the border". And trust me, the West's relationship with India hasn't changed. Rather India's relationship with Russia has degraded slightly, since India has begun programmes in every front to dispose of Russian military tech.
India continues to buy oil from Russia, as does Japan, China, etc, only because it's the rational thing to do - you're getting dirt cheap prices and you're an oil-starved nation, why wouldn't you be an opportunist? And if I remember correctly, the West leadership tacitly supports this arrangement as that helps stabilize oil prices for the West buying from the rest of the suppliers.
US relations with the other countries in the list have degraded but that's largely because of the Trump and Biden governments policies towards them, and less because of Ukraine.
I've been wondering about that. I imagined that countries buying weapons from Russia would be worried and considering to pivot to another seller. Maybe this not because of the poor display of those weapons in combat, after all they just must be not worse than the weapons of the neighbors or of the other internal factions, but because they could run out of spare parts and new items. If Russia doesn't have enough weapons to refill its own losses, it can sell some to get money, but not as much as one year ago.
I don't think that China is an option for India, so maybe the USA, something from Europe or internal production. The latter would be best because of no strings attached, but is it feasible in the short / medium term?
We just got 100s of thousands of Ukrainians and Russians killed so we could write a huge check to the US arms industry.
Relations with China were already decaying, things seem normal with India, and Saudi Arabia is the result of Trump and Co kissing MBSs butt while in power. The Saudis are much more reliant on the US than the other way around