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Informative thread, so thanks for that. This seems to be the key issue:

>Ethnicity, race and culture is not enough for the new states to work out. For them to succeed they must be able to pay their bills. Ergo, the principle of economic clusters will be at least as important for defining their borders as the ethnic or cultural one

Which one wins out? The fact that there is a conflict between economic cluster and ethnic cluster seems to strongly raise the likelihood of a civil war.

Yes, but those parts that’s potentially might want to leave Russia are not geographically and economically significant compared to the rest of Russia.

Siberia is way more significant than western Russia. That’s one of the pieces we’re commonly missing: Moscow is a hollow parasite.

"Last colonial empire " Have you heard of the United States of America? Standing rock was like only a few years ago my guy