Is this the start of WW3? How will NATO respond?
Strengthen air defences. In practice, this means placing SAMs closer to Russia, which isn’t exactly stabilising.
Give longer ranged munitions, like ATACMS, to Ukraine, along with intelligence pinpointing missile launch sites and let nature take its course.
If we don't interfere with the attacks at all, then aren't we effectively letting them get away with attacking a NATO state? And if we do that, won't they get even bolder?
How do you know that? Maybe it was intentional to test out how Nato responds.
Of course it's valuable. Our air defenses were, if not evaded, pierced. Biden's "fully prepared" and "every single inch" warning was challenged. That, in turn, lays groundwork for intimidating e.g. the Baltics.
If anything, it gives NATO a fig leaf to give the Ukranians weapons systems they've held off thus far on, like ATACMS.
Cui prodest?
Hint: where else S300 are in service, besides the Ukraine?
That aside, two missiles supposedly hit; if one's an S-300, that strengthens the theory the Ukranians intercepted a Russian cruise missile.
The Ukranians success on the battlefield makes false flag desperation pretty unlikely, especially with the risks to their aid in getting caught.
Whatever happened was almost certainly unintentional.
Cruise missiles doesn't fly in a duet. AA missiles on other hand are often fired in pairs to increase the change of successful interception.
> strengthens the theory the Ukranians intercepted
If there was a cruise missile (what it needed to do there? hit a Polish tractor? Because it makes sense?) then it would be or a giant hole much bigger than that tiny one on the photos or it would be found more-less intact somewhere near. Yet we have only one video of the tractor and a couple photos of an unknown debris.
> false flag desperation pretty unlikely
This type of operations are ... coordinated with partners, as Russians would say.
Personally, between false flag, Ukrainian AA and Russian cruise missile my Occam says it was Ukraine AA doing whatever they did yet ended in Poland.
BTW all AA missiles have a self-liquidator which triggers by a command from the ground station OR automatically on a given altitude. For two AA missiles to go who knows where and not to self-liquidate is a sign of anything but normal. Which begs the question where are photos of the second hit?
NB: despite what even the first report claimed what missiles hit a grain storage - there are no photos of it yet.
> "The Ukraine" is a bit of a tell.
Oh, I knew you will get triggered, it was a low hanging fruit. How often do you wake up and think "Today is the day when my country should be written THAT way in a language what doesn't have any resemblance to my own. By the way only 1% of population of my country even know that language and 1% of that 1% could even understand the difference"? Did you ever wondered who guessed that change to AP style guide?