> I don't think NATO engaging necessarily leads to nuclear war. It's highly unlikely.

I don’t know what war you’ve been following over the past month, but Russia would be destroyed by NATO in a conventional conflict. According to their doctrine, they will go nuclear if this happens. They’ve threatened the use of nuclear weapons at various levels of government and it’s been floated on Russian state media programs.

Given all that, it does not seem highly unlikely that nuclear weapons would be used.