> 1) at best this happens at~50% of the games.
That is an assumption. We don't know all the facts yet. Some are suggesting the camera could have been nothing more than a smartphone and there is a source from within the Astros org that say some of the players wore electronic buzzers under their shoulder to signal the call to them. There is no reason to rule out signals were known on the road as well.
> 2) what is the end game here?
Stop cheaters from winning titles and saving the sport from ruin like cheating did to the sport of boxing.
> 3) do you think they’re the only team?
Probably not but both existing and former Astros speaking up tells us Astros were doing it at an unprecedented level.
> 4) what rules were broken?
First of all sign stealing using technology goes all the way back to 1876. Illegal sign stealing involves mechanical or electronic technology; the rules regarding this have become more stringent over time and continue to evolve. This is also why an 8 second delay was added to the broadcast feed.
> 5) is it wrong for a base runner to scream change-up if they are on 2nd base?
Screaming anything while the opposing pitcher is about to throw I suspect is against the rules but stealing and signalling the signs in other ways is permitted. This is typically done by the base runner using closed fist or open hands.
> I don’t think a huge advantage was had here.
The Astros obviously thought it was enough of an advantage to break the rules to do it. The Astros went from dead last in the AL in strikeout rate in 2016 to 1st in '17 and their strikeout to walk ratio was an extreme outlier compared to the rest of the league.
> Ironically the “cheaters” couldn’t cheat their way to a second victory.
Ironic how? Teams were onto them by then. Once you know your opponent is stealing your signs you can use that against them.