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And humans see patterns in a sample size of two ;)

Maybe it will rain today. Maybe it won't. 50/50.

"Even though the chance of rain was higher than predicted, it wasn't quite so high that it actually rained that day"

(translated from a cartoon by Dutch absurdist/cartoonist "Gummbah")

They said on the forecast yesterday there was a 50% chance of rain today, and looking outside I can see they got it right. Uncanny.

You forgot to add in all those tie fighters chasing them that also tried to make it through an asteroid field.

Plus the bridge of one star destroyer which we've also seen as potentially disastrous for the ship.

Survivorship Bias.

Publication bias.

When it's people, I think that's the anthropic principle. (And the file drawer is a much messier place to end up...)

Han Solo is just force sensitive, that's all.