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yskchu

1,272 karma · joined October 18, 2011

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yskchu··on Turkey to implement pact on access to shipping straits due to Ukraine war
My comment is not misleading.

> "Clearly they are reconsidering what they said."

I don't think that is the case. The short answer is, here's a link to a more detailed version of the article above - their recent change is calling it a "war", which allows them to trigger Montreux:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkey-implement-i...

Quote from the article

"Yet Cavusoglu (Turkey Foreign Minister) reiterated that Turkey cannot block all Russian warships accessing the Black Sea due to a clause in the pact exempting those returning to their registered base."

The long answer is, if you have been following European and Turkish politics in the last few years, you would see that Turkey is getting closer and closer to Russia (the F-35 debacle, getting S400 missile batteries, Turkstream etc). Turkey is also smart enough to play both sides. So, this move (to do nothing) is expected.

yskchu··on Turkey to implement pact on access to shipping straits due to Ukraine war
Yeah, the HN mods fixed it; previous headline was Turkey closed Black Sea
yskchu··on Turkey to implement pact on access to shipping straits due to Ukraine war
Can you please not change the title? The original title is "Turkey to implement international pact on access to shipping straits due to Ukraine war"

Turkey has NOT closed the Black sea; this article does not say that at all.

Turkey has stated continuously in last few days that it will follow the Montreux Convention, under which they cannot restrict vessels going back to their home base, including Russian ones.

yskchu··on Netflix’s Prices Are Rising Faster Than Cable
Sorry, I totally disagree that is is "completely in the right", I use 3 other video apps, they all give exit prompts instead, here is an example:

Netflix could have done what Prime video does

Prime Video: "Do you want to exit the app? (Yes/No)", then done

Netflix: scroll all the way down the menu options: Home, Play something, New & Popular, TV Shows, Movies, My List, Get Help, Exit Netflix (click), 8 clicks in total before you can exit.

So it takes orders of magnitude more clicks, and more time out of my life, every time I try to exit the Netflix app. Considering that exiting an app is something I do all the time, it is not great

yskchu··on Netflix’s Prices Are Rising Faster Than Cable
I agree with you that the Netflix UI is superb for browsing, however I have one major gripe - on Android TV they broke the back button.

I had to hardcode a kill app shortcut just for them.

For all other android tv apps that I have been using so far, the back button works normally, exiting the app at the topmost layer. However, repeated clicks of the back button in netflix UI just re-triggers the menu - part of their dark patterns to make it harder to quit the app...

yskchu··on You people are just vectors of disease to me
So many outrageous things in that video...

Tenure or not, is he seriously going give his students random final grades even before the first day of class (as he put it, "predestination")? Surely the school won't allow him to do this

yskchu··on Judge tosses $4.5B deal shielding Purdue's Sackler family from opioid claims
Besides that episode, he made two others about the Opioid Crisis / Purdue Pharma / Sacklers, 3 in total since 2016:

2016: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pdPrQFjo2o

2019: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qCKR6wy94U

2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uaCaIhfETsM

In addition there's some sites made by them as well (referred to in the video):

https://sacklergallery.com/ (with Bryan Cranston, Michael Keaton, Richard Kind, Michael K Williams)

https://judgeforyourselves.com/

yskchu··on Intel’s Turnaround and the Future of Chipmaking
Because Fab space has been at a high premium for some time, many manufacturers are focusing on producing higher priced (and higher margin/higher profit) items, maybe that is why you see less availability of down market AMD products? Also, AMD was pretty much sold out across the board beginning of the year; there was basically no availability of 5000 series in most retailers, and limits on CPUs per customer when they do come in stock.

Once the semiconductor situation settles down and it all goes back to normal, you'll probably see more availability of AMD on the lower tiers - the situation is already getting better with most of the 5600 (and higher) series of cpus back in stock now.

yskchu··on ANA, JAL plan drone services to boost remote areas, own bottom lines
The Japanese have several interesting drone projects, here's another one from Rakuten for drone delivery which has been in irregular short trials since 2016.

https://drone.rakuten.co.jp/en/project/

yskchu··on The chip shortage keeps getting worse – why can't we just make more?
> "Just-in-time" means "no buffer".

Just in time doesn't necessarily mean no buffer, the goal is to minimize excessive stockpiling and keep enough for continuous production, increasing stockpile when required.

Toyota, some might say THE pioneer of Just-in-time manufacturing, was one of the car manufacturers least impacted by the component shortage precisely because they started stockpiling very early on after they saw the upcoming issue.

Here's a quote from another Bloomberg article specifically on Toyota[1]:

"Toyota asks its Tier 1 suppliers to input detailed information about their most obscure parts and materials providers in a complex database that it maintains. Using this system to glean information about, say, a single headlight Toyota purchases for one of its cars, it can get information as granular as the names and locations of the companies that make the materials that go into surface treatments used on those headlights’ lenses and even the producers of the lubricants used on the rubber pieces in the assembly, Toyota spokeswoman Shiori Hashimoto says.

These lines of communication alerted the company early on that it needed to stockpile chips."

[1]: How Toyota Steered Clear of the Chip Shortage Mess - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-07/how-toyot...

yskchu··on How many robots does it take to run a grocery store? [video]
According to this[1], they list the below 5 patents which are still active until 2033

AutoStore alleges Ocado is infringing on the following five patents: 10,093,525[2], 10,294,025[3], 10,474,140[4], 10,494,239[5], and 10,696,478[6].

[1] https://www.therobotreport.com/autostore-sues-ocado-over-as-...

[2] https://patents.google.com/patent/US10093525

[3] https://patents.google.com/patent/US10294025

[4] https://patents.google.com/patent/US10474140

[5] https://patents.google.com/patent/US10494239

[6] https://patents.google.com/patent/US10696478

yskchu··on The risky bat-virus engineering that links America to Wuhan
If you want to know the actual conditions, there is a recent article from a much better source

Bloomberg: The Last–And Only–Foreign Scientist in the Wuhan Lab Speaks Out

She is an Australian virologist, now working in Melbourne’s Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, previously scientific director of the biosafety lab at Singapore’s Duke-NUS Medical School in 2016.

Archive link:

https://archive.is/IFDZY

yskchu··on Why wood has gotten so dang expensive
Yes it has fallen a lot (nearly 50%) from the May peak:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/lumber-...

yskchu··on Japan's government plans to encourage 4-day workweek, but experts split
One of the things I love most about Australia (New South Wales at least) is the mandatory 2 months long service leave after 10 years of service

https://www.industrialrelations.nsw.gov.au/employers/nsw-emp...

yskchu··on The Physics of baking good Pizza [pdf]
Interestingly, the History Channel just aired an episode of "The Food that Built America" that featured pizza recently, how Pizza got "reinvented" in America

https://play.history.com/shows/the-food-that-built-america/s...

yskchu··on Roaring Kitty to testify on GameStop alongside hedge fund managers
Actually you were right, Fidelity did sell off all the stock they owned.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/fidelity-cashes-in-most-of-game...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2021-02-11/why-ga...

They owned 13% of the company; now they own only 87 shares; they sold 9.3 million shares in 1 month.

So, during the Robinhood GME debacle, Fidelity could sidestep the issue, since they wanted to sell their own GME shares anyway, and also managed to look good in the process (no GME buying restrictions compared to Robinhood etc); win win for them

yskchu··on Google suspends Terraria author's account; He cancels support for Google Stadia
Earlier discussion thread:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26061935

yskchu··on Ubiquiti Networks Breach
More discussions on Ubiquiti subreddit:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Ubiquiti/comments/kv9fc8/ubiquiti_e...

yskchu··on Permanent suspension of @realDonaldTrump
> You didn't see this sort of reaction in 2000, and that was far far closer.

Just a comment on this point, I see two huge differences:

1) Gore conceded. On 13-Dec 2000. Trump only just "conceded", and still called it rigged, stolen etc. It makes a big difference when the leader concedes.

2) Technology has totally change the landscape in the last 20 years. There are now plenty of spaces on the Internet, huge echo chambers, allowing people to share posts and fuel each others hatred, spread misinformation, organise and mobilise.

yskchu··on AMD's desktop CPU share passes Intel's for first time in 15 years
Yeah agreed; also, how often do people do benchmarks?

Me personally, I only bench around when the build is finished and not much after that; maybe bench again only if there's some significant hardware/software change (software change example being video driver that improves performance etc)

So, if passmark says "This graph counts the baselines submitted to us during these time period", then it probably mostly reflect new builds only. Which is still a significant data point, showing lots of AMD uptake (by enthusiasts), but not what the Techspot headline says/implies.

yskchu··on The Future of RTS
Adding another game with good logistics to the list of games:

The Wargame series from Eugen (the most recent one being Wargames: Red Dragon)

Logistics is a huge part of it, your armies can run out of ammo, or be stranded without fuel - there are dedicated units used for resupply.

Supply dumps, supply columns, and their protection, is a big part of the game as well.

yskchu··on Raspberry Pi Webcam
This reminds me of the Pisight - Raspberry Pi inside an Apple iSight

https://github.com/maxbbraun/pisight

Of course, this one has a better lens than the pisight, and uses the high quality camera module also

yskchu··on Moderna Covid vaccine candidate almost 95% effective, trials show
Yes, Moderna said it expected the vaccine could be shipped and stored for up to six months at minus 20C

It can even remain stable once thawed for 30 days if refrigerated at between 2C and 8C

This is much much easier to transport/manage compared to the Pfizer vaccine (store at -75, survive only 5 days after thaw in normal fridge)

yskchu··on Masayoshi Son had help pulling SoftBank from the brink
Seems many of the replies below this are referring to this post, so I'll reply here:

1) FT seemed to have changed the headline, it used to be "SoftBank’s Northstar tech unit racks up $3.7bn in losses" (refer to archive link below), which was much more specific.

The article contents are the same however - many comments below refer to $100B, however the article does not refer to Vision Fund $100B; it refers to their new "speculative trading" division, which was officially announced back in August.

2) Since this is FT, probably most people don't have access to the article due to paywall - the article itself:

http://archive.vn/8NAW7

3) The loss is significant, it is not 4%.

When Northstar started, Softbank announced it started with $555 million; however as of Wednesday announcement now they say Northstar manages 21B of Softbanks 43B cash pile.

3.7B quarter loss is 17.6% of 21B

4) FT has been reporting on Softbank trading for some months now - it was one of the first (or the first) to break the news about Softbank large speculative call options trades back in September (https://www.ft.com/content/75587aa6-1f1f-4e9d-b334-3ff866753...)

5) Finally, this is my personal opinion.

Softbank seemed to have built up a reputation for throwing money at companies at high valuations, with some disastrous consequences (Wework etc).

Now, it seems they are approaching trading with the same cowboy attitude; these high risk trades may work some of the time, when the market is in your favour, but when the wind changes, big losses may incur - this FT report is one indication of such losses.

yskchu··on Web based Windows XP desktop recreation, built with React
The source code: https://github.com/ShizukuIchi/winXP
yskchu··on How Scrabble Blew Its Big Moment
Wordfeud created by Håkon Bertheussen; he's a multimillionaire from this game, so probably safe from EA for now

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wordfeud

yskchu··on Vim-Mario: Mario on Vim
> Nintendo lawyers incoming. People never learn

The last commit is from 6 years ago so, it has been up for 6 years, why do you think Nintendo will suddenly take action now?

yskchu··on Wall Street’s Largest Oil Trade (2017)
Yes an absolute killing, similar to the one mentioned in the article for back in 2008 - may not be as much as back then but still a lot.

This is a case where a hedge plays out well, and the main motive for their play is stability for their government spending. Good for the citizens of Mexico

yskchu··on Wall Street’s Largest Oil Trade (2017)
How interesting, I was just reading that same article yesterday!

The article is from 2017, but Mexico has been doing the same trades still every year - for example:

https://www.worldoil.com/news/2020/1/3/mexico-hedges-2020-cr...

This is from this January 2020 - they hedged at $49 per barrel... just before the coronavirus demand shock and oil price fall... another great Hacienda hedge.

yskchu··on California Covid-19 risk screening and testing
> https://techcrunch-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/techcrunch.com...

Your AMP link is 404, here's the direct link:

https://techcrunch.com/2020/03/15/trump-says-google-ceo-sund...

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