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yodelshady

1,109 karma · joined June 8, 2020

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yodelshady··on A first for Canada: New type of nuclear plant opening by 2028
"Begrudging" is a pretty telling phrase.

I'm happy with whatever actually delivers carbon-free watt hours, which yes, in Australia should be solar.

Clearly you want something else as well.

yodelshady··on A first for Canada: New type of nuclear plant opening by 2028
In my country, which is a relative success story for wind?

apparently circa. $ 40 billion, for, right now... one GW. On average - and be assured I have checked this - five, which puts it in the same cost / GW as nuclear, and a capacity factor, not of sixty percent as advertised, but twenty-five. And we don't dump a megatonne or so of CO2 into the atmosphere a week running gas plants to cover nuclear variability. As alluded to by someone else, big wind projects are starting to run into the same levels of NIMBYism as nukes, because the footprint is huge.

You want to advocate for less nuclear, that megatonne a week is something you answer for.

yodelshady··on Details emerge of Air France B777 landing incident
Then you send a letter to Byzantine and ask the Generals if they have any bright ideas?
yodelshady··on A few concrete arguments for e-bikes
You're never going to fund any of those, are you?

So no you don't support them.

yodelshady··on Things I can’t do on macOS which I can do on Ubuntu (2020)
> Read MTP devices

> Mount an SSH or NFS drive

I know fanboy debates are tiresome, but... I really do struggle to comprehend taking a device that can't do these things seriously as a computer.

As a toy yes, or as a specialised tool for video or audio rendering, which... fair enough. But moving bytes is something any general purpose computing device should be good at. It's almost something you have to actively design out. It's certainly a deliberate, non-budget-constrained choice from Cupertino to be bad at this.

Crap like "should Apple be [scanning for CSAM | scanning for copyright | scanning for anti-CCP | whatever I've almost stopped caring ] before uploading to iCloud?" exists primarily because the devices are so bad at moving bytes around without relying on iCloud.

yodelshady··on A few concrete arguments for e-bikes
You know, sometimes I am extremely glad I do not live in the United States.

There will always be people who cannot afford to drive. Others are making a conscious decision to impose the enormous burden on everyone that is inherent to driving. And this is how you want to treat them.

Sorry not sorry - that is appalling and I'm glad I'm not in that country.

yodelshady··on ThorCon: Cheap, reliable, CO2-free electric power
He's not missing it at all.

I've seen the investment pitches. Nobody is seriously considering it for a reason, it's a terrible, terrible, idea.

Covering intermittent sources is pretty much 100% public sector's responsibility, everywhere.

yodelshady··on ThorCon: Cheap, reliable, CO2-free electric power
> Isn't that solvable with HVDC links?

No, because then you have the Russia situation times ten - namely that a foreign power can cripple your society at will.

yodelshady··on ThorCon: Cheap, reliable, CO2-free electric power
> solar in the desert

Some places don't have deserts. Or even large unpopulated areas. Definitely not large unfarmed areas.

yodelshady··on Why the WHO took two years to say Covid is airborne
Non-experts have no credibility to lose, nobody remembers or cares when their predictions are wrong. So what's the risk in concluding before you have all the data?

Experts are pinning their credibility on the line - not even if they issue every guess under a giant glowing banner saying "THIS IS JUST A GUESS WE DO NOT HAVE THE DATA TO BE DEFINITIVE YET". So: they're slower. I am not, incidentally, saying WHO's response is perfect.

yodelshady··on Germany boosts renewables with “biggest energy policy reform in decades”
Yeah, hydrogen's the only storage medium that makes sense at that scale.

I'd expect some - actually probably quite a lot - of excess CAPEX on wind+solar, and some deficit (less CAPEX, but buying some electricity at retail) so you don't have electrolysers and thermal plants just lying around.

You're still stuck with the investment issue: either you pay (Hinckley-scale!) fees to providers to just lie around, or the public sector runs it itself, and the "private more efficient" bollocks is exactly that, because the private sector isn't providing the value. The people providing SLAs are.

yodelshady··on Proposed EU rules would require clothes to last longer and be easier to repair
The heuristic seems to be: have a brand name but *not* one you'll see on the high street.

If it is on the high street, it's expensive in order to fund advertising, not higher quality.

yodelshady··on Proposed EU rules would require clothes to last longer and be easier to repair
> “This is what happens when companies become Software Engineered"

But... people do use a very similar term, overengineered. Quite appropriately. You are absolutely allowed, encouraged, to call out someone specifying a product to the nines because they can. See Juicero, I'd argue Peloton, a.. decent proportion of products that involve Heroku or Kubernetes.

But so are engineers allowed to call out someone playing financial find-the-lady to obscure what they're really doing: using trust relationships built over decades, if not centuries, to fuck over customers.

yodelshady··on Majority in Japan backs nuclear power for first time since Fukushima
My sources have been two large private investment firms, a government agency, and a university research group. None thought that 5% of my countries' GDP - an amount easily enough to fund a permanent comparable nuclear output with the second most inefficient funding structure ever devised - could, at any point in the conceivable future, cover the energy shortfall this week in batteries, even the scientists who are typically financially optimistic. This week has been a 99th-percentile week at worst, more likely 95th.
yodelshady··on Majority in Japan backs nuclear power for first time since Fukushima
Optimised current cells, next-gen cells, and next-next-gen cells are all projected for similar price per kWh (one that makes any storage approach more than "buy us time to spin up a burner" impossible). For the record, that's now what I've heard from:

private market analysts, government strategists, and scientists.

As always, please show me a credible plan that says otherwise. I would be extremely happy to be proven wrong.

yodelshady··on Majority in Japan backs nuclear power for first time since Fukushima
I don't fear that.

I *know* that the money I've given to a gas company to cover periods of low wind and solar in the last twelve months has funded those rockets, and the emissions have turned fertile ground into desert, the latter being if anything more lethal.

That is a cold certainty.

And I came off a conference call on battery tech today. So let me say this: anyone who says batteries will replace that blood money is a liar.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
24 GW of renewables in my country are not delivering even 1 GW when demanded currently.

That's not demand response. That's failure.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
There's no savings if there's NO POWER.

150 MW currently.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
180 MW today.
yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
> They have delivered cheap and green electricity and weaned us off fossil fuels gradually.

I'm sorry we're just living in fantasy land now.

We're not weaned off fossils. Not even close. That's just a lie.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
No, it isn't. It's a colossal example of both complacency at big engineering firms, and wider myopia about climate change.

Nevertheless, the >30-year old nukes still delivered what every single technology you have listed categorically failed to deliver. I have provided ample, repeated evidence of that. They failed and fossils came to the rescue. Repeatedly.

Why should they get even half the subsidy nukes get (which is what they do get), when their output is simply useless.

I've posted numbers. Please, you want to show me storage can be economically done, today, do so. Or admit you can't because it can't. We no longer have time for utopianism.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
> Every winter I see the same post about how little energy solar panels are producing today and why this means we need more nuclear plants.

The low-wind periods last December had a peak of 1.2 GW solar.

Combined wind and solar right now are producing only very slightly more than a tech that has had zero real investment in thirty years. I wouldn't brag about that.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
https://gridwatch.org.uk/

currently 0.63 GW.

That's interesting that they disagree. Gridwatch has been around a while but I'll have a look.

edit: yep, electricitymap's free figures are not even close to live.

yodelshady··on Developers of small modular reactors hope their time has come
The ~25 GW nameplate capacity of wind power in the UK is producing 0.76 GW as a type this.

Last calendar, it produced > 1 GW for 784 hours.

In the last four months, assuming a 40% capacity factor and therefore an expected capacity of 10 GW, there have been at least three periods with > 100 GWh shortfall.

The UK does not yet, but plans to, shift heating loads onto the electrical grid, meaning that is likely to become a 100 GWh shortfall in heating.

Please, show me an estimate for an alternative fossil-fuel system that can guarantee that shortfall.

edit: more specific to SMRs, and I have ranted on this before: they've been given ~ £ 500 M, which does... just feel like the right amount. We're all aware how 100 times that can be disappear into consultants, and much less simply wouldn't get you a complete product. £500 M I can see engineers spending.

yodelshady··on First Raspberry Pi Powered Ultra-Small Form Factor Rugged for Defense, Aerospace
Hard to see how that tactically beats a Javelin or other anti-tank missile, which are clearly affordable enough.
yodelshady··on Electricity map: Mapping the climate impact of electricity
Yet today, France is as green as it was.

And I'll bet money that, couple of days ago, the carbon put out by the spinning reserve that is necessary to cover a day like today wasn't counted.

If you're going to advocate for wind, great. Can we examine your plans honestly, please? Because if you want to deliver an equivalent service to France, one where "SLA" and "disconnect the customers if convenient" are treated as different things, then our current plan is not wind. It is gas.

yodelshady··on Two-minute battery changes push India’s delivery riders to switch to e-scooters
More practical zero-emission scooters in India could be, as I understand it, quite something. I complain enough about exhaust fumes in Western cities.
yodelshady··on OneWeb will resume satellite launches with SpaceX as the launch provider
Samsung will happily sell Apple parts.

If you have a competitive advantage in launching, why limit your exploitation of that? Worst case, you find out that your satellite engineers were coasting off that advantage. Best case, you make money proving they aren't.

Plus you're now antitrust-proof, if that's ever a thing again.

yodelshady··on Bicycling Street Smarts, Chapter 6: Using Your Brakes (2001)
Unpopular because it's victim-blaming and awful.

If party A operating multiple tonnes of high-speed steel hurts party B who is not, the dangerous party is party A. They might have been careful enough to discharge any direct liability, but they are *always* the party who bought multiple tonnes of high-speed steel into the situation.

yodelshady··on Ukraine warns Chernobyl nuclear plant suffered power outage
There are at least three different actually deployed methods for doing so, all with working principles older than nuclear. If you want to be in an energy debate knowing them is not hard.

I have to downvote you, because requiring others to spend their time explaining basic technologies as a rhetorical tactic is *rude*.

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