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xerox-elf

2 karma · joined January 4, 2022

noah.b.aust@gmail.com
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xerox-elf··on Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
What's your reasoning for late 2024/2025 for the recession? That's oddly specific
xerox-elf··on Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
1. The 'swipe-based' dating app model (Tinder, Hinge, Bumble, etc) begins to implode. Driven on one hand by the rise of AI partners, and on the other hand by a resurgence of IRL in-person events.

2. The US sees its first domestic terrorist attack by consumer drone

3. A major tech company (Microsoft?) announces an enterprise competitor to the Vision Pro that only functions while tethered to a desktop PC. We see VR devices bifurcate into recreational wireless headsets and tethered enterprise models.

4. Tiktok loses market share

xerox-elf··on Ask HN: Self-Employed folks, are you earning a living wage from your work?
I'm not in tech, but I'm a self-employed independent contractor (motion graphics design).

My annual gross income is between 100-150% that of my full-time colleagues. For roughly half the working hours. It's a pretty sweet deal.

How I did it: I spent 2.5 years full-time at one of these pressure cooker SF ad agencies that churns through junior employees like nobody's business. By the time I left, I had connections at ad agencies throughout SF. Five years later, all my jobs have come through word of mouth referrals.

I bill based on a day rate. The average job is between 1-4 weeks long.

However, there's a strong caveat: for the last couple years, 75% of my work has come from one client. The tech recession has made a lot of my smaller side gigs shrivel up, so I'm pretty dependent on this one agency holding steady. I'd feel a lot more secure if I had a more diverse client roster-- I've been brainstorming ways to be more proactive about client outreach.

Looking back, I should have started looking for opportunities to productize from day one. The thought didn't occur to me. It's definitely something I'm looking into now.