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wgerard

2,298 karma · joined March 16, 2015

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wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
It seems like you're more interested in being correct than having a discussion, so I'll leave you to it.
wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
I'm not sure what your argument is here, it seems like you don't think reverse splits have any implications or consequences for the company. You can't casually do a reverse split just to avoid being delisted. You're telling investors "we have no idea how to change direction so we're just gonna kick the can down the road for a bit". It's a really big deal, and if Blue Apron survives into 2020 it's very unlikely it will look anything like it does today.

Passing below the $1/share marker is a forcing function (i.e. it's not arbitrary at all) for the company to make significant adjustments, as opposed to the plethora of companies that trade in the $1-$10 range who can continue plodding along. BI's audience is one that's mostly aware of this fact, so that's why the article is about that "arbitrary" price marker - it's a sign of major changes incoming rapidly.

So, I guess I'm not really sure what your point is. "Just do a reverse split" is like saying "just declare bankruptcy" or "just charge more money" in that it glosses over the consequences of those actions greatly.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
> even Sun did a reverse split 3:1 on its way out of existence

"on its way out of existence" being the operative phrase there :).

Either way, Sun had been a public company for 20 years at that point - Blue Apron's been one for a year. Far more reason to believe that Sun could turn it around (and AIG and similar companies), which is why it works for them and not for Blue Apron.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
> It's a symbolic milestone

It's actually not symbolic at all, it's a very real (negative) milestone that has ramifications for the company.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
Doing a reverse split just to meet the share price requirements is generally viewed as a sign the company is spiraling out of control (i.e. investors will continue selling to cut their losses).

I don't have the numbers offhand, but I would wager a large sum that companies in trouble doing reverse splits just to meet listing requirements almost always continue tumbling downwards. For a recent example, see Helios and Matheson (MoviePass).

Companies that have successfully navigated reverse splits while publicly-listed (it's very common with pre-IPO companies for sure) are generally much larger and more well-known than Blue Apron (e.g. AIG), or in inherently risky businesses (e.g. Biotech companies).

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
It's not arbitrary at all (well, I suppose the listing requirements are arbitrary), as I've noted elsewhere:

> You'll get delisted from the NYSE if you fall below $1/share or below a certain market cap for more than 30 consecutive trading days.

It's actually a pretty big deal for Blue Apron.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
The SEC actually has a pretty concrete definition of what a "Penny Stock" is:

https://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/text-idx?SID=f4effbf9fb932f767e...

That being said, there's also the common usage of the term which blue apron arguably falls under.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
Investors aren't stupid and realize a company doing a reverse split just to maintain the minimum share price is doomed.

See also: $HMNY.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
NYSE has minimum share price/market cap requirements, so Blue Apron will get delisted if this continues for more than 29 consecutive trading days.

i.e. It could easily become one.

wgerard··on Blue Apron becomes a penny stock, trading under $1 for the first time
You'll get delisted from the NYSE if you fall below $1/share or below a certain market cap for more than 30 consecutive trading days.

Being delisted is generally a very bad sign, and it becomes much harder for shares to get traded.

wgerard··on Organizational Debt
Re: Github Discussions

Preface: I don't think this resolves the issue completely by any means.

It's seemed clear to me for awhile that Github discussions need threading, badly. The 200 comments on one of those issues probably amounts to about 40 actual discussion topics. Many of them are the original poster adding follow-up comments to their original comment, or back-and-forth discussions about one single comment. It's especially noticeable on contentious discussion topics.

Basic conversation threads wouldn't completely alleviate the problem--200 threads is much better than 1000 comments, but probably still an intractable amount for the maintainers. Still, it might mean you're able to scan 75% of the discussion instead of 25%.

wgerard··on Post-traumatic stress disorder may mimic autism in some children
I don’t think that’s totally true, and admittedly its somewhat arbitrary where to distinguish chemistry from medicine in this regard, but eg Humorism was a pretty popular theory until (IIRC) a chemist disproved it.
wgerard··on Etsy’s experiment with immutable documentation
I think I see what you mean, though maybe I'm misunderstanding still.

The answer (from my experience at Etsy, anyway) to questions like:

> how to modify the schema of the events going into B to add a specific piece of data,

was "Run schema_modifier", the docs for which were frequently obsolete. Figuring out how to "run schema_modifier" was usually a very frustrating experience in that particular instance, whereas unwrapping the actual problem was usually less frustrating.

wgerard··on Etsy’s experiment with immutable documentation
> I run into conceptual completeness problems of the "how do I think about this?" sort much more than "how do I do this?" problems.

While I agree with you, the latter problem is particularly frustrating to encounter.

Solving the conceptual problems feel more like an exploration or a learning experience, and I rarely feel like time spent solving those problems is wasted even if it's very meandering.

Solving the "how do I do this?" problem rarely feels like more than a very isolated learning experience, and more often it feels like banging your head against a wall. Doubly-so when the documentation is obsolete and leads you in the wrong direction.

Learning the basics of media compression is interesting and worth spending time on. But I'm going to hate myself if I have to spend 6 hours figuring out how to convert a file using ffmpeg.

wgerard··on We Roam’s Death Stranded Its Customers Overseas, With No Refunds
> 1. Solve the legal issues before you take the first dollar

Err, it actually seems like they generated a lot of legal issues that they could've easily avoided.

You should read the attached court documents from their fight with Remote Year. It's pretty damning.

wgerard··on Canada has arrested Huawei’s global chief financial officer in Vancouver
I mean, it's obviously valid because this incident happened (and many other events that show the same validity). The logic is that the US says any transactions involving USD fall under US jurisdiction, because it's their currency--that is, the USD only has any value at all because the US government says it's legal tender.

Because the USD is the international reserve currency for a lot of countries and the US largely is pretty stable, most countries are fine with cooperating in cases like this with notable exceptions.

FWIW that's changing under Trump (i.e. people are seeing the US as less stable), and the EU is making efforts to increase the use of the Euro as an international reserve currency.

wgerard··on Canada has arrested Huawei’s global chief financial officer in Vancouver
Uh I mean, maybe not officially but there's a whole lot of precedent that if you engage in trade using USD that you're under US jurisdiction.
wgerard··on Leaving NYC for Nashville
I'm also much closer in age to high school students than I am to senior citizens. I wouldn't say I fit in particularly well with either group, though.
wgerard··on Google personalizes search results even when you’re logged out, new study finds
I can say for certain that I worked for a company that wasn't Google and employed plenty of ways to track people that didn't involve cookies.

We used it mostly to try and track malicious users (banned users, etc.) but it's still tracking nonetheless. It was reasonably effective.

I'm sure a company of Google's size and sophistication has many more advanced methods than we did.

wgerard··on Leaving NYC for Nashville
But that's exactly what I take issue with - you're not! Someone's delivering your food, someone's working at the bodega you go to. You won't encounter nearly the same level of homelessness as you do in SF, but you will encounter homeless people regularly nonetheless. You run into the actual underclass far more often than you encounter the extremely wealthy.

If you call yourself part of the underclass, either you're: Forgetting that they exist, or you're pretending that your economic situation is somehow roughly equivalent. I don't think you need to keep that on your mind every single second of the day, but at least be honest about it.

wgerard··on Leaving NYC for Nashville
I also hope the author was joking about being part of the underclass--which I'm willing to give them a charitable interpretation because of the quotes.

The mere fact that they can afford to live in a 1-bedroom in the EV is, well, evidence against that fact. You're not even part of the underclass in Manhattan if you can do that.

wgerard··on Leaving NYC for Nashville
Are you commuting into midtown? If so, there's a reason Astoria is exceptionally popular.
wgerard··on Leaving NYC for Nashville
If you're living in SF you already know what the thresholds are like, mostly. It heavily depends on your life situation. If you're willing to live with roommates and don't have much in the way of expenses, the threshold is significantly lower. The threshold is also significantly different if you're willing to live in one of the outer boroughs.

It's a vague answer but honestly, those factors can swing the threshold almost $100K in either direction.

wgerard··on Overdose Deaths Set a Record Last Year
Curious because it's not mentioned: How much of that is due to higher availability/usage of Narcan?
wgerard··on UBlock Origin 1.17.4 released
In general, the IRS rarely cares about how you're generating income more that you just remember to pay taxes on it appropriately.
wgerard··on AI Mistakes Bus-Side Ad for Famous CEO, Charges Her With Jaywalking
Interesting. Thanks for the response!
wgerard··on AI Mistakes Bus-Side Ad for Famous CEO, Charges Her With Jaywalking
Hah, fair enough!

For some reason I'm imagining the worst-case scenario of a pedestrian completely oblivious to what's going on around them and just crossing without looking on a busy street, which I realize is pretty unlikely.

wgerard··on AI Mistakes Bus-Side Ad for Famous CEO, Charges Her With Jaywalking
I don't think that's true, it's just a very minimal fine (which I would be completely fine with):

https://www.mass.gov/how-to/respond-to-a-jaywalking-ticket

wgerard··on AI Mistakes Bus-Side Ad for Famous CEO, Charges Her With Jaywalking
From my original post:

> It could work, but I think it would involve re-designing countless intersections to provide higher visibility of pedestrians for drivers--not a bad goal, but I think a pretty unfeasible one.

wgerard··on AI Mistakes Bus-Side Ad for Famous CEO, Charges Her With Jaywalking
Wait, is it just inside the major cities? Not everywhere?
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