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vwoolf

2,686 karma · joined September 23, 2011

https://www.ridecarbo.com
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vwoolf··on Big water cutbacks ordered amid Colorado River shortage
Back then they didn't have good desalination technology. Now we do, and, while Israel is a leader, they export: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/israel-proves-the...
vwoolf··on Big water cutbacks ordered amid Colorado River shortage
The desalination plant solutions a "let's do both." https://californiaglobe.com/articles/california-coastal-comm...

Charge market prices for water and build desalination. Create abundance.

vwoolf··on Toyota unveils 8.7 kWh battery for residential applications
I was just talking to a relation about this, and he said Tesla's guy said he needs two Powerwalls to replace a generator in the event of power interruption.

Is that true, or a sales guy thing? I'm not sure and haven't investigated.

vwoolf··on Toyota unveils 8.7 kWh battery for residential applications
What's interesting is because Toyota has been developing the NiMH for so long, it has achieved densities of approx. 150Wh/kg

This is an interesting point; why hasn't Toyota made longer-range plugin hybrids with these batteries, which would seem to be sensical? Looks like the largest battery in a plug-in Prius so far is just 8.8 kWh, according to Wikipedia.

vwoolf··on Chesa Boudin Recalled by San Francisco Voters
housing the homeless

SF and the Bay Area have been preventing housing creation for decades: https://techcrunch.com/2014/04/14/sf-housing/, to the point that average SF rent is $3700/month: https://bungalow.com/articles/what-is-the-real-cost-of-livin.... The Bay Area is more politically left than anywhere else in the U.S.

vwoolf··on Clean-Power Megaproject Held Hostage by a Ranch and a Bird
We need far better state capacity and simple ability to build, if we're going to create abundance and ameliorate serious problems: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/29/opinion/biden-liberalism-...
vwoolf··on New York Now Has More Airbnb Listings Than Apartments for Rent
Maybe it is time to liberalize NYC's housing restrictions and create abundance instead of scarcity: https://newyorkyimby.com/2021/01/yimbys-2021-construction-re...
vwoolf··on With plunging enrollment, a ‘seismic hit’ to public schools
Maybe this will create the voting bloc needed to get charter- and voucher-based schools off the ground, and out of the hands of unions. Public-sector monopolies don't have a great track record.
vwoolf··on For most Americans, owning a home is now a distant dream
It's like 50 years of holding back the housing market and denying people the right to build on their land has had the intended impact https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/mac.20170388

The outcome is sad but also consistent with limiting the supply of any good or service.

https://www.slowboring.com/p/homeowner-nimby

vwoolf··on FAANG promo committees are killing Kubernetes: A Short Thread
The Bay Area is unaffordable because most cities haven't allowed anywhere near enough housing to be built by land owners over the last five decades: https://techcrunch.com/2014/04/14/sf-housing/.

Return building rights to land owners and the problem will be solved. The insane thing is the way coalitions of existing owners conspire to reduce supply and thus increase the values of their assets, and the rest of us just go, "Oh, okay, that's cool, that you're conspiring to embeggar the rest of us."

vwoolf··on Linux on an M1 Mac
A person who wants to use Linux can use Linux.
vwoolf··on Innovation around houselessness fails so much
The biggest problem around homelessness, by far, is regulatory barriers to building housing, not innovations in tracking or other areas.

https://www.slowboring.com/p/homelessness-housing

This is "looking for lost keys under the street light, not where the keys were lost."

vwoolf··on Gov. Newsom signs law to stop UC Berkeley enrollment cuts
even the ones who were forced to move due to costs

The policies you advocate are the ones that raise the cost of housing by limiting supply. Your own preferred policies force people to move, who can't afford the rent.

vwoolf··on Gov. Newsom signs law to stop UC Berkeley enrollment cuts
If you want to control a given parcel of land, buy it. If you don't own it, then you shouldn't get to control it. You're telling other people what they should or should not be able to build and, in the process, are creating society-wide distortions that systematically raise the cost of living: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20170388. Read that carefully.

It's amazing how no one attaches numbers to these kinds of points of view: a GDP increase of more than 1/3 is a tremendous amount of money. NIMBYs make us all poorer.

vwoolf··on The Ford Mustang Mach-E and the danger of electric cars
This essay is consistent with my feelings. In particular, the ending paragraphs: "Ultimately, my fondest wish is that I lived somewhere where I didn't want or need a car at all. I hate cars. I hate driving. I really hate other people's driving, and other people's cars." I wish the same, but those wishes seem not to be sufficiently widely shared for them to appear in local and state elections, and so we see the world in which we sadly live. In the U.S., L.A. appears to be the only city somewhat on the way to having a real, large-scale, and functional rail transit system, and even that is occurring with aching slowness.
vwoolf··on Teaching is a slow process of becoming everything you hate
This is also how teaching went for me. I found out why teachers have attendance policies, quizzes, and all the other things that, as a student, seemed inane, if not counterproductive, to me. While those things sometimes are, and can be overly punitive or poorly applied (like anything, much of the apparatus around teaching can be done better or done worse), I now get why instructors do those things.
vwoolf··on Linux Developer Laptops: Dell's Precision 5500 series reigns supreme (2019)
Did you miss all the M1 MacBook Pro hoopla? https://hn.algolia.com/?q=macbook+pro+14%22
vwoolf··on Why I Broke Up with Firefox
Why I'm still non-monogamously dating Firefox, who is my main partner: It's the closest to free-as-in-speech browser software I can get.
vwoolf··on Down the Rabbit Hole: The world of estranged parents' forums (2015)
I'm sure there are children who unjustifiably cut off their parents, and the reverse. I can say that I read Adult Children of Emotionally Immature Parents and it rocked my world: https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/adult-children-of-emotional... by thoroughly describing my upbringing. I've not cut off contact but I have containerized it and set strict boundary conditions, if you will, and my parents seem not to understand their own behavior, at all.
vwoolf··on Linux Touchpad Like MacBook Update: Touchpad Gestures Now Shipping
From what I see the proprietary operating systems are in decline now

[Citation needed]

If anything, one of the world's most-used OSes, which could have gone more open, did the opposite: https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2018/07/googles-iron-grip-on...

Yes, I approve of e.g. https://puri.sm, but they're so far behind.

vwoolf··on [dead]
I don't, but the answers are almost certainly going to be:

1. Money.

2. Work on interesting problems.

The rest will be commentary.

Someone will then analogize Meta/FB to $bad_company, and someone like me will then say, "When users stop using it, developers will stop working for them." Outside the NYT media bubble, normal everyday people love social media. I personally don't, for the same reasons someone is going to enumerate, but my preferences aren't universal.

vwoolf··on New Zealand passes bill to allow denser, more affordable housing
We should be next.
vwoolf··on New York City, Facing Housing Crisis, Targets Illegal Airbnb Owners
"New York, facing housing crisis, declines to build enough housing."

I just submitted https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2021/12/th..., it's right on target.

vwoolf··on Home Prices Are Surging: The Manufactured-Housing Industry Sees an Opening
Partial text: Elvira and Bobby Guerra spent three years searching for a home to buy in southern Texas, but their real-estate agent repeatedly showed them houses that were too expensive and still in need of work.

Late last year, they went to see a house they found on Zillow and were surprised to learn it had been built in a factory. They liked the large backyard and that it was in a new 21-home subdivision in the San Antonio outskirts of Seguin. The first-time home buyers closed in February.

“We were very impressed with it being a manufactured home,” said Mrs. Guerra, a homemaker. She lives in the three-bedroom house with her 18-month-old daughter. Mr. Guerra, a welder, died from Covid-19 in August.

Housing lenders, developers and advocates think they have found a winning formula by building homes in factories that look like site-built homes but cost less. More developments like the one in Seguin could help alleviate America’s housing-affordability crisis, they say.

“We have a lot of teachers, first-time home buyers and folks downsizing after retirement,” said Dustin Arp, managing partner of Spark Homes LLC. It developed Cordell Oaks, where the Guerras bought their home. “Maybe they used to qualify for site-built housing but no longer do.”

A new single-family home built on-site sold for an average of about $392,000 in 2020, or about $309,000 excluding the cost of the underlying land, according to government data. New manufactured homes cost $87,000, not including land. The industry is on pace to deliver more than 100,000 new manufactured homes this year for the first time since 2006, according to the Census Bureau. The Biden administration has pointed to manufactured housing as one solution to the shortage of affordable homes.

Still, manufactured-home makers face a battle convincing prospective buyers that their homes have solid construction and safe financing choices. The industry boomed in the 1990s, when dealers pumped up sales by offering unrealistic loan terms to people who couldn’t afford them. Home shipments spiked to nearly 400,000 a year. Many borrowers defaulted and lost their homes, and many lenders shut down.

During the pandemic, households living in manufactured homes of all types have been about twice as likely to fall behind on rent or mortgage payments as the broader population, according to an analysis of census data by Alexander Hermann, senior research analyst at Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. About 19% were behind in the third quarter of this year.

Those occupying manufactured homes were also more likely to report losing incomes during the pandemic than other households, Mr. Hermann said.

In many ways, manufactured housing remains a world apart from the site-built housing market. The homes are constructed in factories and shipped to their destinations. They are traditionally sold in dealerships that might offer limited financing options. In those cases, a person might buy a manufactured house as a piece of personal property, like a car, rather than getting a mortgage that tethers the house to underlying land.

Some 42% of manufactured homes are purchased with loans secured by the home but not the plot of land, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Those loans typically have far higher interest rates. Owners can also be at greater risk of losing their homes if they don’t own the land.

In recent years, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have made it easier for lenders to extend conventional mortgages on certain manufactured homes that have features like porches or garages built on-site. Buyers in Cordell Oaks get mortgages like these, secured by both the house and the land.

vwoolf··on Home Prices Are Surging: The Manufactured-Housing Industry Sees an Opening
Partial text:

Elvira and Bobby Guerra spent three years searching for a home to buy in southern Texas, but their real-estate agent repeatedly showed them houses that were too expensive and still in need of work.

Late last year, they went to see a house they found on Zillow and were surprised to learn it had been built in a factory. They liked the large backyard and that it was in a new 21-home subdivision in the San Antonio outskirts of Seguin. The first-time home buyers closed in February.

“We were very impressed with it being a manufactured home,” said Mrs. Guerra, a homemaker. She lives in the three-bedroom house with her 18-month-old daughter. Mr. Guerra, a welder, died from Covid-19 in August.

Housing lenders, developers and advocates think they have found a winning formula by building homes in factories that look like site-built homes but cost less. More developments like the one in Seguin could help alleviate America’s housing-affordability crisis, they say.

“We have a lot of teachers, first-time home buyers and folks downsizing after retirement,” said Dustin Arp, managing partner of Spark Homes LLC. It developed Cordell Oaks, where the Guerras bought their home. “Maybe they used to qualify for site-built housing but no longer do.”

A new single-family home built on-site sold for an average of about $392,000 in 2020, or about $309,000 excluding the cost of the underlying land, according to government data. New manufactured homes cost $87,000, not including land.

The industry is on pace to deliver more than 100,000 new manufactured homes this year for the first time since 2006, according to the Census Bureau. The Biden administration has pointed to manufactured housing as one solution to the shortage of affordable homes.

Still, manufactured-home makers face a battle convincing prospective buyers that their homes have solid construction and safe financing choices. The industry boomed in the 1990s, when dealers pumped up sales by offering unrealistic loan terms to people who couldn’t afford them. Home shipments spiked to nearly 400,000 a year. Many borrowers defaulted and lost their homes, and many lenders shut down.

During the pandemic, households living in manufactured homes of all types have been about twice as likely to fall behind on rent or mortgage payments as the broader population, according to an analysis of census data by Alexander Hermann, senior research analyst at Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. About 19% were behind in the third quarter of this year.

Those occupying manufactured homes were also more likely to report losing incomes during the pandemic than other households, Mr. Hermann said.

In many ways, manufactured housing remains a world apart from the site-built housing market. The homes are constructed in factories and shipped to their destinations. They are traditionally sold in dealerships that might offer limited financing options. In those cases, a person might buy a manufactured house as a piece of personal property, like a car, rather than getting a mortgage that tethers the house to underlying land.

Some 42% of manufactured homes are purchased with loans secured by the home but not the plot of land, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Those loans typically have far higher interest rates. Owners can also be at greater risk of losing their homes if they don’t own the land.

In recent years, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have made it easier for lenders to extend conventional mortgages on certain manufactured homes that have features like porches or garages built on-site. Buyers in Cordell Oaks get mortgages like these, secured by both the house and the land.

vwoolf··on Upgrading the soldered-on RAM of a Dell XPS13 7390 laptop
It's his fault for buying a product being sold with defects that are apparently known to insiders?

This kind of shit makes me hope Framework succeeds.

vwoolf··on Upgrading the soldered-on RAM of a Dell XPS13 7390 laptop
Either way, does it sleep or hibernate effectively? https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28639952
vwoolf··on Bogus “Historic” districts: the new exclusionary zoning?
The number of ways that NIMBY insiders have to attempt to restrict the supply of housing and thus make housing more expensive for everyone is impressive.
vwoolf··on Apple didn't revolutionize power supplies; new transistors did (2012)
At first glance I thought the article would discuss GaN. Agree with the overall point; Anker seems to be making well-thought-out GaN chargers.
vwoolf··on I Got a 'Mild' Breakthrough Case
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2019/01/28/bullshit-a...

What you're saying is almost certainly wrong, even if you are cargo-culting the form of papers https://sites.cs.ucsb.edu/~ravenben/cargocult.html.

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