vonneumannstan

>I think the rest of us should rest easy knowing that LLM's can't (and maybe were never meant to) tackle the tacit-knowledge-filled, human-system-centric, ambiguously-defined-problem-space jobs most mortals work.

A Statement all but guaranteed to look incredibly short sighted by 2030.

Burning Man is just polyamarous glamping for the Coachella set...

Until you definitively rule out all the dark matter candidates or get a direct detection the controversy will remain

Its kind of shocking after having an infant myself and hearing from his grandparents how little my wife and I's fathers did. One never changed a diaper and has never cooked dinner and the other looked like he had never held a baby in his life despite having 3 kids. I can't imagine not being incredibly hands on and involved.

>I've felt this way for a long time, but for the past month I've kept a journal where I put an "X" next to every date where a GitHub outage has negatively impacted my ability to work2. Almost every day has an X.

I must be a filthy casual because I'm sure I can count on one hand the number of times a Github outage has affected my work.

Not really the standard line anymore. https://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/does-money-buy-h...

Yeah I have no idea whats up with their pricing. My main point was that $99 jeans is not some insane luxury only a select few can afford.

Yeah I get that but it's not as though we're on a forum for foodstamps recipients. The median income on HN is no doubt top 10% in the nation and often far higher. Talking about $99 jeans as some great luxury is literally from a different universe.

>I acknowledge not everyone has the privilege to spend $99 on a pair of jeans, but if you find yourself able, I think it's worthy to support American manufacturing.

I feel like I'm in a parallel universe. What year is it? Base Levis are more than that... We're also on a site filled with well off tech workers. $99 jeans aren't exactly a luxury.

https://www.levi.com/US/en_US/clothing/men/501-original-mens...

>I just got a few pairs of shoes from AllBirds because while the name will live on I have no doubt the quality will become pretty generic now that it's no longer a Silicon Valley must-have thing.

Didn't get the memo? They're an AI infra company now ><

Doesn't even seem to be in the same ballpark of capability.

https://red.anthropic.com/2026/mythos-preview/FRT-Blog-Chart...

>This initiative probably could have started a few months sooner with Opus and similar models, though.

Evidently they tried and even the most recent Opus 4.6 models couldn't find much. Theres been a step change in capabilities here.

I think that would be a good precedent given the current lack of rules around AI Safety. These models don't seem to be plateauing yet and could be much more dangerous than Mythos in 1-2 years.

They seem like fundamentally different things.

Perhaps feeding strangers homemade GMOs isn't the best idea...

Until recently Claude wasn't building itself. A group of people with agency were.

You can check the hardware costs for self hosting a high end open source model and compare that to the tiers available from the big providers. Pretty hard to believe its not massively subsidized. 2 years of Claude Max costs you 2,400. There is no hardware/model combination that gets you close to that price for that level of performance.

So you are doubly stupid, by not seeing any improvement in the models and also paying for models you believe are terrible? lol

>If we don't innovate, someone else will.

Terrible take. You don't get to push the extinction button just because you think China will beat you to the punch.

>This is the very nature of being a human being. We summit mountains, regardless of the danger or challenge.

No, just no... We barely survived the Cold War, at times because of pure luck. AI is at least as dangerous as that, if not more. We have far exceeded our wisdom relative to our capabilities. As you have so cleanly demonstrated.

Are you guys ready for the bifurcation when the top models are prohibitively expensive to normal users? If your AI budget $2000+ a month? Or are you going to be part of the permanent free tier underclass?

Lol you haven't used a model since GPT2 is what it sounds like.

This seems like something uniquely suited to the startup ecosystem. I.e. offering PQ Encryption Migration as a Service. PQ algorithms exist and now theres a large lift required to get them into the tech with substantial possible value.

Disagree, there are a lot of reasons to use open source local LLMs that aren't related to free/libre/oss principles. Privacy being a major one.

Pretty sure the entire markets for Storage, HBM, DDR5, etc are completely sold out for next several years. How is that saturated?

Do you really need Game Theory to figure out you need to build more houses and can't let NIMBY's be in charge of the decisions for where and when that is done?

>Haven't read his book, but the idea that monopolies are good isn't typically made in a vacuum, it's made relative to alternatives, most often "ham-fisted government intervention". It's easier to take down a badly behaving monopoly than to change government, so believing monopolies are better than the alternatives seems like a decent heuristic.

What? How is the first alternative poor government instead of multipolar competing companies? When was the last time a Monopoly was actually broken up in the US? ATT/Bell 50 years ago? lol

Yeah I mean ChatGPT 5.4 Pro can't even pick my nose for me so it's obviously not AGI /s

Except you will never run out of challenges and my sense from Chollet has been that every challenge was hinted at being the final one where once beaten AGI would have been created and of course at the end of each one he comes out saying akshuallyyyy this isn't AGI and it wont be AGI until ARC Challenge+1 is beaten!

>As long as there is a gap between AI and human learning, we do not have AGI.

This is an absurd constraint. You could have a vastly superhuman AI that doesn't learn as efficiently as a human and it would not pass this definition while it simultaneously goes on to colonize the galaxy...

>Talking to the ARC folks tonight, it sounds like there will be an ARC-4,5,6,etc. I mean of course there will be.

Quintessential goal post moving...