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vba616

1,281 karma · joined January 12, 2022

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vba616··on Religious 'Nones' are now the largest single group in the U.S.
What was Marx's "wrong reason"?

I had the impression his point was that religion distracts people from improving this world, not that he had a substitute.

> we live in a time, perhaps unprecedented in history, when the world is generally rotten

It has been argued - I forget by who - that this was the normal view of history across cultures for thousands of years, that there was a golden age before writing now fallen into decay, until Western progressivism became a prominent ideology.

It seems to me there is a lot of religious scripture in support of the idea that history is a cycle of decline, corruption, false prophets, and indiscriminate punishment from God.

vba616··on Pentagon moves to declassify some secret space programs and technologies
You've probably heard of the ceramic tiles on the Space Shuttle and how they had to inspect each one. And the story about the Soviets using a pencil instead of the US "space pen".

Somewhere I read about an early space capsule that had ablative shielding made of hardwood, oak or something several inches thick. "Carbon fiber composite", right? The way I remember it, it was said to work well because the wood was dense and didn't just burn up; instead it slowly carbonized. If you've ever made a fire with a large log, it makes sense. It has to get really hot to catch, and then it lasts a long time.

But I remember it as being attributed to the USSR, and when I search the internet now, I get hits saying it was a story about the Chinese space program that might be apocryphal.

vba616··on Does anyone know what would be a good job for me?
http://seinfeldscripts.com/TheOpposite.htm

Jerry : If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right.

vba616··on NASA unlocks $1B canister of asteroid dust
According to the link posted in another comment, they don't look like Torx at all, and the main marketing points are:

  "Offset cruciform shape with straight wing walls

  Greater torque transfer
  Removal walls larger than drive walls

  Facilitates disassembly without drill outs"
https://www.phillips-screw.com/drive_systems/torq-set/
vba616··on Ask HN: Why isn't Twitter / X dead yet?
It sounds like you are arguing that buying Twitter probably had a substantial negative financial impact on Musk. That sounds plausible, but I didn't intend to minimize it.

What I meant was that, aside from sunk costs, keeping the website nominally operational doesn't have to cost any significant amount going forward. Things are now arranged such that admitting defeat vs sinking more money in it are independent options.

Therefore as outsiders, we are unlikely to have useful information about whether it is now a "going concern" if he remains committed to keeping up a facade. It seems opaque, now that it is a members only site run by a private company.

vba616··on Ask HN: Why isn't Twitter / X dead yet?
It seems to be in a position where you can't tell how well it's doing without logging in, so getting inactive users to try again, b/c it's thriving seems like a bootstrapping problem with no obvious solution.

If it's just a private company with a website that takes a dozen people to run, owned by the richest person in the world, then it could go on forever with any number of active users from zero to infinity.

vba616··on Ask HN: Why isn't Twitter / X dead yet?
Who are you asking?

Are you asking the people who quit logging in and assume it's dead but haven't seen for themselves?

Or are you asking the people who will pop up and say they're still there and it's better than ever?

Do you expect group "B" to tempt group "A" to log in again?

vba616··on Equity comp induces a desirable correlation between stock price and retention
The summary seems fine as far as it goes. But I don't see any comment on the source of the moolah.

From the point of view of someone who has never in their career gotten equity, options, RSUs, or whatever, all that free money is being expropriated from their IRA or 401k and therefore retirement.

It's odd when you think about it - in Soviet America, poor capitalists get robbed by rich workers. What a country!

vba616··on Most STEM grads don't work in STEM jobs
I'm sure that the census and other researchers make a valiant attempt at distinguishing technical and scientific roles, but I don't think it's possible.

How can you determine that a something something service analyst at a random non "tech" company in Illinois is or isn't a programmer? If you don't identify an extremely technical position as a STEM job when it's not named in a particular way, then what are you counting?

Suppose someone does have an IT-related title, but they majored in biology and are working for a paper company in Pennsylvania in the HR department as a programmer. Should they be counted as using their degree? Are they?

What if you are counting employees of a large government organization and for obscure reasons, they call everybody who touches a computer an "IT Specialist"? Then you might be vastly overcounting.

People who have exactly the same title and work in the same small department, even, can differ wildly in their actual roles, too.

vba616··on The Anti-Capitalist Software License
Questions:

1. Does the restriction of no law enforcement or military mean no government use, assuming the government user belongs to e.g. a state or country with law enforcement and military?

2. Does the license allow use by nonprofits that exploit their workers?

   2.5 Is a nonprofit assumed to be defined the same way as the US tax authorities define it?
3. What about for-profit companies that are partly or mostly worker owned?

4. What exactly is a worker, for the purposes of the license? Is a worker that owns stock a worker? A pension? A 401K? Is a manager distinguished from a worker if both subsist primarily on salary or wages? Is a retiree who lives on capital a worker if they worked at one point? Are white collar workers "workers"?

vba616··on Elites Cause Crime by Acing Marshmallow Tests
I don't wish to argue with you that "[y]our job is to make the best judgement call as you see it" but if you are going to avoid the obviously, superficially, relevant Bible verse, it's as conspicuous as if it was written in letters of flame 50 feet tall.

I'm not saying that verse has any particular objective meaning that we must accept. I haven't the least interest in promoting correct theology.

It's just that not mentioning it - given its superficial relevance - makes the whole comment seem like a strange joke.

vba616··on Women buy more cars, so why are the designs so macho?
If you want to create a car that appeals to men, it's important that the designer has a very manly name like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harm_Lagaay. It's practically a hate crime just to say it.

And it's also important that the exterior styling is as macho as can be. That requires it to be sculpted entirely out of voluptuous curves. Like a codpiece.

You can see a bright red example here (Mr. Lagaay's masterpiece was the Carrera GT): https://news.dupontregistry.com/porsche/rubystone-red-porsch...

vba616··on Women buy more cars, so why are the designs so macho?
Here's an interesting link:

http://www.bmwism.com/bmws_designers.htm

Juliane Blasi, a "German designer educated at Pforzheim University of Applied Sciences in Design, Technology and Business" says: “If you look at the car you should not be able to see whether it was designed by a woman or a man”

Nadya Arnaout, a "German automotive interior designer educated at Hochschule für Gestaltung (HfG – Academy of Art and Design) in Offenbach am Main, Hesse and at Art Center College of Design in Pasadena, CA" designed interiors for BMWs until 2010 when she left to become the "lead interior designer at Tesla Motors".

I can't find anyone on the page who seems to be the design chief whose name I've forgotten. Wikipedia claims the F10 5-series was designed (exterior) by Jacek Fröhlich.

vba616··on Women buy more cars, so why are the designs so macho?
I swear I remember that a woman succeeded Chris Bangle at BMW and the subsequent designs were a lot better looking.

However, when I google it I see that Adrian van Hooydonk came after him.

>an in-joke gone too far

"Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of"

vba616··on Women buy more cars, so why are the designs so macho?
The Prius C didn't have a rear view camera when almost every other car did, right before it became mandatory.

That's a significant part of why I never bought one.

vba616··on Built this: Takes any NBA Prop Bet, pulls hand-picked stats and runs it thru GPT
And what comes out?
vba616··on 2023's record heat partly driven by 'mystery' process: NASA scientist
<Applies envelope to forehead>

The unprecedented 2022 Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai eruption?

vba616··on Fired comedian ordered to get day job back after jokes ruled 'simply funny'
If nobody ever negotiates the terms of a pre-fabricated contract, then there is no freedom of contract going on, as a matter of common sense.

Have you ever been part of a corporate re-org where you were technically laid off and rehired and thus were legally forced to sign a new agreement? Such freedom!

All "contracts" that fit a pattern of take-it-or-leave-it with a zillion provisions should be negotiated by the government, a union, or some other collective entity with a reasonable claim to protecting the interests of the side that has no leverage alone.

Plenty of agreements are heavily constrained by regulators, (think insurance for example) and we take it for granted, so I am not suggesting any radical idea, just pushing back on the weasels who are always working at corrupting things.

vba616··on If humans went extinct, what would the Earth look like one year later?
The experience with Chernobyl is interesting.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_exclusion_zone

vba616··on Scientists rule out a popular alternative theory to dark matter
Experts say there are rare galaxies that act like they have no dark matter.

I thought that was what put the end to taking MOND seriously. Isn't the whole point to explain the alleged dark matter by some uniform rules instead of local conditions?

But I never understood what started the interest in it.

Everything I have ever read by proponents on the internet has resembled "believing in stuff (like "luminiferous ether") you can't see is unscientific".

I have never understood the feeling that dark matter is illegitimate, because there are so many invisible things that we do take for granted, like radio waves.

I have written similar things before and gotten lectured by anti-dark-matter-ites on why radio waves are obviously different from dark matter, but it didn't illuminate anything.

vba616··on A Generation Lost in the Bazaar (2012)
A thing that seems incredibly rare these days, in my perceptual bubble anyway, is an online address form that lets you enter US states on the keyboard with the standard postal abbreviation.
vba616··on FTX – The fraud was in the code
I think it is? I don't have much python experience, but I think that inner expression is equivalent to

   ignore_collateral ? balance.available_ignoring_collateral : balance.available
Personally I would agree that it would be clearer if the syntax was more differentiated between a conditional expression and a statement.
vba616··on FTX – The fraud was in the code
"Some have wondered why Wang chose such a seemingly arbitrary number as $65,355,999,994"

int((2^16 - 180) * 999999.9999 + 1) = 65,355,999,994

vba616··on Indoor wood burning raises women’s lung cancer risk by 43%
Maybe it's the weeds that are evolving.
vba616··on If AI is going to take over programming jobs, where are the new languages?
Responding to you and not the submitter because I'm not sure what they mean either:

An AI that generates binaries directly is a compiler. Or a compiler/assembler/linker in one, whatever.

So it raises the question of what language humans should use to communicate with this compiler. What language does it compile?

If the language is some existing programming language, then how can the "AI" technology help much? Suppose it compiles C. The semantics of the existing language have to be maintained or it isn't C. So maybe AI can improve optimization by 0.0001%. Or do something really ridiculous based on the undefined behavior loophole. Who cares?

English (or Chinese or Norwegian) are not programming languages - they are too ambiguous.

Therefore it makes sense to me that a higher-level programming language than existing ones would be useful to talk to this hypothetical compiler - a language that gives the AI more freedom than the existing languages, but more precise than languages used by humans to talk to each other.

Maybe someone already has invented one, but probably the last word hasn't been written on the subject yet.

vba616··on Nuclear Engine for Rocket Vehicle Application (Nerva)
>Both the US and China have committed to fission-powered spacecraft in the near term. It’s probably the most important area of superpower space competition in the sense that it’ll enable space resource exploitation far beyond what’s possible with chemical energy alone.

https://www.etec.energy.gov/Operations/Major_Operations/SNAP...

(This was not the RTG of Voyager and other well-known spacecraft)

vba616··on Nuclear Engine for Rocket Vehicle Application (Nerva)
>Surely a lot of the dangerous testing could be replaced with simulation

During the cold war, starting in the 1960s, weren't there dozens of fission reactor satellites launched into orbit? I don't mean spontaneous decay devices like RTGs, I mean fission reactors. Primarily, but not exclusively Soviet.

I bring this up because every discussion I see of the risks of nuclear power in space seems to presume an alternate historical record where political opposition prevented it from becoming a reality. Where uncontrolled deorbiting of reactors or disintegration in orbit were hypothetical and unacceptable failures.

I don't know, were we always at war with Eurasia or was it Eastasia? Which history is the disinformation?

vba616··on I'm a diehard Google Pixel Android user and I just switched to iPhone 15
Google, at least as of a couple years ago, provided chat support and painless warranty replacement on Pixel phones that actually broke.
vba616··on The housing market is about to take a hit as student loan payments restart
>The less extreme option is to find the cheapest online community college in your state

If you start your education with 2 years of community college, it works even better to manage debt.

vba616··on The housing market is about to take a hit as student loan payments restart
Or moot.
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