This seems like a bit of an overreaction. Everyone knows that chatbots are fucking stupid, especially when there's zero context provided. This seems less like a real issue to me, and more like just your standard "Google sucks" post that people are constantly making on HN yet nobody cares outside of it.
You're missing the forest for the trees here. The point OP is trying to make is that calculators originally were essentially non-deterministic. Technology will go from unreliable to reliable.
Am I the only guy who still thinks we're kind of putting the cart before the horse here? Look, I would love to live in a world where AI is in the business of designing terawatt fusion plants and revolutionizing all other aspects of society. But right now it can't even really tell a puddle in the road. I feel like we have a really long way to go here, hype-laden PR releases about solving math problems aside.
This article is certainly a bit light on details. I'd prefer some more fine-grained and thorough analysis when it comes to this. Like, honestly, I'd have learned more by just asking Claude.
I'm starting to think that AI development might be the great filter. There are so many levels of competition at play here and even if an agreement is reached to slow everything down, the incentive is to cheat at that. I really don't think there's much of a chance we have control over the situation, we're just gonna summon these things and all we can do is pray they don't want to kill us.
OpenAI definitely seems like the company most likely to doom humanity. Their CEO is a psychopath megalomaniac, and they've clearly dropped all pretense at trying to be safe in their quest to capture coding market share from Anthropic. Personally, I think the government should nationalize Anthropic and shut OpenAI down (and possibly even prosecute their leadership).
Seeing a lot of people in here say that they need Fable for the tasks they're doing and Opus just isn't enough. My experience could not be more different. I seriously feel like Opus-level performance is totally adequate for most of my use cases, if not all of them. And it's probably been this way since, like, realistically, Opus 4.6. On the other hand, Fable I've observed getting into verification loops that just burned so much of my token budget. Combined with the higher cost of tokens from Fable to begin with, I just pretty much never use it for anything.
No no no, absolutely not. There's only one man that should be allowed these privileges, and his name is Dario. Dario alone can deliver us to salvation. The lord himself shalt smite these companies and models from this barren earth, and Dario will rise from the ashes to ascend to godhood. Dario. He alone has the power to decide what capabilities us mere mortals have access to.
I know nothing. But when I see headlines like this, and our dwindling missile stockpiles, and the fact that we have moved all carriers away from Asia, and the many other worrying things, I have to ask - are we about to get attacked? We seem rather weak right now.
I think Google realized that it's more profitable to sell compute to AI labs than to make AI. They are not an ideologically driven company like Anthropic. They very much turned into a conventional company that just wants to protect the bottom line. This was evident even back when they had LAMDA and refused to release it.
It's funny how Google is essentially trying to compete with the software side of Tesla only - Waymos (which AFAIK they plan to partner with major automakers), now this, etc.
Is it really so hard to understand that open models are behind and yet they are also continually improving and way better than they were a year ago? Like I'm not sure what your point is here. Are you purposely playing dumb to troll people or something?
This is such a smooth-brain reply, dude. The capability literally exists, today. You're telling me that it's just SO fantastical that people will be able to catch up? Give me a break. Anthropic and OpenAI are not staffed by demigods.
All you've said needs the qualifier - "for now!" Look at the trend line. It's clear that if they're not yet at the level of being "good enough" for coding, they will be soon. Sensationalist headlines aside, we all need to be preparing for a world where open models can do pretty much any software tasks you need them to.
I know that Flash is obviously no Opus or Fable. That being said, when I want a very quick response, my go-to is Gemini Flash. It's just really damn fast and generally tends to be accurate enough.
The reason is because AI is viewed by the powers that be as inexorably linked to national security. If you haven't noticed, every lab out there has the same excuse when pressed about the disruption caused by their technology - "we do it or else China does."
Of course not. This coming crash will be where we learn that tech is "too big to fail" in the same way that the financial system is. They'll let one player fail (likely Anthropic, due to the constant fighting with the government) and bail out the rest.
I think at the end of the day, we're still able to produce really effective technology and products. Like the economy is still functioning. I feel like this is different from the Soviet situation where the problems were more related to product quality and shortages and black markets.