I think you're just wrong on this. Stadia did flop, but that's a Google problem, not a tech problem. I play online games with multiple people who only play through GeForce Now, and they've never complained. Especially in an era of increasing hardware prices, this is just gonna grow.
Also, do you know much about the games space? There's an enormous difference between a live service game, and a cloud game streaming platform.
Yeah, absolutely. I feel like we've replaced "deep work" with constant context switching, breakages, and friction. I got into this line of work in order to go deep and build cool stuff, but now the vast majority of my day-to-day is spent fighting against interfaces. Couple this with unreasonable expectations from the man and yeah, my dev job is leaving me more exhausted than ever.
Unfortunately, we don't experience creative destruction in abstract terms like reading about it in a history textbook. Most people are really just focused on their own lives. Losing their job AND the economic value of their skills is nothing short of a disaster. I don't think telling them "relax, eventually you'll be able to switch over to entirely new categories of employment!" is really going to strike the chord you're looking for.
Prediction: it's not gonna be worthless for games. This is what's gonna make cloud gaming really take off. True, you can't use these as desktop GPUs, but they can be installed in data centers for purposes of video game streaming rather than AI.
I use DDG but the problem I have with it is that, well, the results just kind of suck. I have slowly used the "!g" operator more and more over the years to the point that now probably 95% of my DDG searches are just Google searches.
The thing I don't get though, is that most people just don't have that much work they need to do. I can use AI to pretty easily get my work done just via the regular chat interfaces. But because of the tokenmaxxing metrics that leadership tracks, I end up just having the AI deliberate for hours on random things just so that I can boost my token numbers. I think tokenmaxxing for the end goal you described is only realistic when the engineers are truly buried under a backlog of work.
Does anyone else feel like Google is just always a dollar short and a day late here? Maybe not a dollar short, but it's like they've consistently been focused on the wrong thing. First they missed chatbots, now they're missing coding agents while they double down on chatbots and video gen (which OpenAI has already basically abandoned). Maybe this strategy is actually genius and I'm too stupid to grasp it.
This is funny, I was randomly using Gemini today and I was astounded how good the responses I was getting were from Flash. I guess this must be the reason why.
I feel like the main issue here is that it does seem like in the current trajectory the job loss outcome is going to happen before any of these potential really good outcomes. I'm down for a utopian future, but I don't have to want to spend 10 to 20 years in a depressing unemployed hellscape before I get there.
I don't know about this one. For me, at least, the reward of "self progression" is intimately tied to external systems. I would not care about getting better at programming if there wasn't a social and financial reward attached.
In my view, UBI basically puts me, an upstanding citizen with hard skills that AI made obsolete, on the same playing field as the average junkie off the street in SF. Why on earth would I want that? People are different, the modern economy is a great stratification mechanism at putting you near people of similar conscientiousness, and getting rid of that is a recipe for misery.
I feel the backlash really comes down to the fact that AI is a fucking pain in the ass when it comes to planning your life. Nobody asked for it, nobody wanted it, but regardless we're all now thrust into a technological revolution where you have to bust your ass upskilling or else be fired. Most people are inherently lazy and "work to live" as opposed to the other way around. It's no wonder they'd be less than enthused about a technology that basically promises to enrich their bosses thanks to they themselves being more productive.
Moreover, the executives have done an absolutely horrible job of communicating the benefits. It's all "your job is going to be replaced in the next few years". I've had plenty of amazing conversations with Claude about the imminent AI-enabled revolutions in materials science, biotech, etc - and yet for some reason this is the exact opposite of the PR line they're taking.
This happened to me and I can promise you that I did nothing wrong. It is very frustrating to essentially be locked out of the app-based dating market without even knowing why.
This is pretty cool. How would you say that these open models compare to SOTA on coding tasks? I pay $200/mo for Claude Max but honestly this sounds way more fun.
I don't get why you would have an LLM interpret things for you. Like honestly, you replace the software in this example with simple transcription software, the issues disappear.
Isn't this a good thing though? Europe becomes more self-reliant and less dependent on US technology, the US is able to refocus to the Pacific which is a more strategically relevant area, the anti-US people in Europe become happy, and the anti-Europe people in the US become happy.
It's not like tourism or cultural distance is going to disappear. All that disappears is the military entanglement, which to be honest, was mostly obsolete after 1991 anyway.
I don't think we were ever a "high trust" society in the way that like Denmark is or something. But I'd find it hard to argue with the assertion that rather, the US has become increasingly more of a low trust society recently, more than we already were.
I don't think the strategy of trying to figure out what an "AI laptop" should be will work. The best bet is to see what use cases organically emerge from the current tech, figure out the biggest gaps, and design a product around that. This is more like they just took "AI" plus "Laptop" and came up with a grab-bag list of cool sounding features, like "custom widgets".
I get that these data center companies are in a race right now and speed is the name of the game. But if they really want long-term acceptance for this technology, I think they will need to basically be fully self-sufficient with renewable energy, in a completely isolated power grid, so that we don't have to deal with the above issue.
I too am addicted to hot peppers. But doesn't this... IDK, it seems like it would mess up my stomach or esophagus lining or something. All that acid and capsaicin on an empty stomach?
Yes, Nintendo is essentially the futuristic version of Disney. And families will continue to pay a premium in exchange for a curated experience that you know will be OK for your child.
The reason I think AI is essentially guaranteed to be a bubble is that all the optimistic profit projections and such are predicated on the easy, continuous integration of AI tools into society.
There's not a chance in hell this happens. It seems pretty clear that in terms of AI, it's going to first destroy jobs before it ends up creating them. People are going to be furious. Politicians are going to step in - you can already see the start of this, but my guess is this is going to be THE issue in 2028. You're gonna get more attacks like the people who attacked Sam Altman. There's going to be a chilling effect on the field and the tech industry as a whole.
The idea that these revenue trends just continue without any issues for the next 4 years, it's just absurd to me. Not denying that the tools are useful, but the companies in the space set too ambitious of a scaling target IMO. They're not gonna get to where they need to be in time.
The Python inclusion is fascinating to me. I, like many other kids in the US, did a lot of calculator programming with the TI-84 back in school. It definitely taught me the basics in a way that made my CS classes much easier. I'm jealous of the kids who now get to make that journey with Python instead of TI-Basic.
That's the case for now, but I get this feeling that in 3 years we're all likely to just be running local models on Apple Silicon and they're gonna be having the last laugh.
Isn't America such a wonderful nation? We invented the car, forever ridding us of those horrible walkable cities. And now, we invented the smartphone, and we are in the process of forever ridding us of those horrible in-person interactions and sexual encounters. You're welcome, everyone.